Ark.-Fort Smith
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 856 (#483) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 821 (#492) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 966 (#529) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.0 (#161) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.5 (#179) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.388 (#406) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.187 (#370) | NetEff -11.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.786 (#280) | AdjNet +11.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.808 (#277) | AdjNet +12.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.669 (#276) | AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 64.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.629 (#139) | AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 55.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.621 (#253) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.623 (#249) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 970 (#280) | RD 158 | GP 7 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Ark.-Monticello | L | 45 - 60 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Newman | W | 72 - 53 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Emporia St. | L | 71 - 77 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Mo. Southern St. | L | 36 - 59 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Pittsburg St. | L | 58 - 68 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | W | 67 - 49 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Fort Hays St. | L | 68 - 73 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telisha Brown | - | 7 | 28.2 | 12.9 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 10.9 | 6.7 | -32 | -2.0 | -9.1 | 40.8 | 37.8 | 73.7 | 0.08 | 53.3 | 50.0 |
| Keytonna Ross Wilson | - | 7 | 28.1 | 9.9 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 9.9 | 4.9 | -19 | -0.9 | -7.1 | 37.7 | 22.6 | 76.9 | -0.32 | 46.2 | 42.8 |
| Haleigh Jackson | - | 7 | 26.5 | 8.9 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 9.7 | 3.0 | -65 | -3.1 | -23.1 | 29.4 | 18.2 | 78.3 | -1.24 | 39.7 | 32.4 |
| Marie-Rose Priscilla BALOWA KASAMBU BABENESHA WEMBA | - | 7 | 24.6 | 8.4 | 7.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 5.7 | 9.3 | - | - | - | 55.0 | 0.0 | 78.9 | - | 61.0 | 55.0 |
| Senese Rainey | - | 7 | 16.5 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.4 | 3.6 | -36 | -1.8 | -27.9 | 48.4 | 42.9 | 40.0 | 0.54 | 61.7 | 62.9 |
| Jordan Gregory | - | 7 | 24.1 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 7.6 | 1.1 | -10 | -0.6 | -4.5 | 24.5 | 13.9 | 50.0 | 0.18 | 30.6 | 29.2 |
| DAjha Horton | - | 5 | 10.0 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 1.6 | -26 | -1.6 | -12.1 | 38.5 | 14.3 | 60.0 | 0.01 | 48.9 | 42.3 |
| Jordan Gramlich | - | 2 | 6.8 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -5 | -0.6 | -4.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.78 | 61.5 | 62.5 |
| Jah'Mareah Linville | - | 6 | 17.9 | 2.8 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 4.8 | 2.8 | -30 | -1.7 | -27.8 | 24.1 | 9.1 | 50.0 | -0.31 | 27.6 | 25.9 |
| Ndidiamaka Chineke | - | 4 | 10.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | -34 | -2.8 | -31.7 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.82 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Layne Kirkendoll | - | 6 | 15.6 | 1.3 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5.8 | -68 | -3.6 | -24.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.32 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Shawna Beatty | - | 3 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 14 | 1.3 | 24.4 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | 1.75 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Taylor Addison | - | 2 | 10.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | -35 | -5.8 | -33.6 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.13 | 14.8 | 20.0 |
| Madison Young | - | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 2.0 | 56.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.79 | 0 | 0 |
| Abby Summitt | - | 1 | 11.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -9 | -1.3 | -16.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.35 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Caiyiah Smith | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -53 | -4.4 | -241.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jah'Mareah Linville-Finley | - | 1 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -11 | -11.0 | -80.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.87 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG