🐻⬇️🏀

Ark.-Fort Smith

Also known as: Ark.-Fort Smith
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1156 (#17) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1180 (#24) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +14.0 (#43) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.734 (#194) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.3 More → 0.508 (#216) NetEff +0.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.1 More → 0.878 (#161) AdjNet +17.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.1 More → 0.880 (#163) AdjNet +17.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 69.1 More → 0.755 (#175) AdjO 81.5 | AdjD 69.1

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Harding W 91 - 83
2024-11-09 @ Ouachita Baptist L 76 - 81
2024-11-12 vs Ozarks (AR) W 86 - 48
2024-11-17 @ Harding L 78 - 82
2024-11-22 vs Southern Nazarene L 66 - 68
2024-11-27 @ Quincy W 78 - 74
2024-12-03 vs Northeastern St. L 81 - 84
2024-12-07 vs Newman L 67 - 70
2024-12-13 vs Ecclesia W 112 - 52
2024-12-16 vs Dallas Christian W 89 - 58
2024-12-21 vs Drury W 89 - 76
2025-01-02 @ Pittsburg St. L 59 - 70
2025-01-04 @ Mo. Southern St. L 80 - 89
2025-01-08 vs Rogers St. L 76 - 79
2025-01-12 vs Central Okla. W 79 - 71
2025-01-16 @ Northeastern St. L 69 - 82
2025-01-23 @ Newman L 64 - 78
2025-01-26 @ Emporia St. L 75 - 81

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Shaun Williams - 1 27.0 22.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 13.0 17.0 -19 -0.8 -1.9 53.8 50.0 62.5 1.07 66.6 65.4
Anthony Marshall Jr. - 1 32.0 22.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 18.0 19 0.9 2.0 63.6 50.0 87.5 0.87 75.8 68.2
Malik Edwards - 1 30.0 22.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 11.0 14.0 -46 -2.1 -4.9 63.6 57.1 100.0 -0.41 86.2 81.8
Jacobi Sebock - 1 33.0 21.0 6.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 14.0 17.0 125 3.6 12.6 64.3 66.7 50.0 1.57 70.6 71.4
Trey Phipps - 2 39.0 20.0 6.0 3.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 12.0 16.5 -53 -2.0 -5.6 58.3 28.6 83.3 0.16 68.3 62.5
Rylie Marshall - 2 30.5 18.5 3.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 3.5 15.5 5.0 16 0.6 1.6 45.2 25.0 85.7 0.5 54.3 50.0
Josh Denton - 2 27.5 17.5 4.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 1.5 10.0 12.0 -6 -0.3 -1.0 65.0 33.3 75.0 0.86 74.4 72.5
Bryson Smith - 2 34.5 17.5 2.5 4.0 1.0 0.5 3.0 12.0 10.5 -13 -0.3 -1.3 50.0 50.0 85.7 -1.14 64.6 60.4
Jordan Frison - 1 35.0 15.0 5.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 18.0 -129 -4.4 -11.2 50.0 50.0 100.0 0.51 78.8 58.3
Kofi Hamilton - 1 30.0 15.0 15.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 12.0 18.0 -93 -5.5 -16.2 50.0 0 50.0 0.7 51.2 50.0
Baron Bracey - 1 36.0 14.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 7.0 191 8.0 21.7 36.4 20.0 83.3 1.15 51.3 40.9
Tracy Godfrey Jr. - 1 17.0 14.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 10.0 209 6.5 28.8 66.7 0 75.0 1.57 73.5 66.7
Karyiek Dixon - 1 29.0 14.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 6.0 -33 -2.8 -3.7 50.0 0 50.0 0.94 50.9 50.0
Ethan Blackmon - 2 25.0 13.5 4.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 11.5 8.5 -51 -1.5 -6.2 47.8 0.0 83.3 0.46 52.7 47.8
Sam Smith - 2 20.5 13.0 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 9.0 8.0 -109 -3.8 -9.6 44.4 50.0 80.0 0.52 58.0 50.0
Bam Johnson - 1 29.0 12.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 7.0 35 1.1 6.6 62.5 66.7 0 0.54 75.0 75.0
Stevie Strong - 1 32.0 12.0 6.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 10.0 135 7.5 17.6 45.5 28.6 0 2.08 54.5 54.5
Avery Taggart - 1 33.0 12.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 11.0 -109 -3.8 -9.4 36.4 37.5 50.0 0.38 50.5 50.0
JV Seat - 1 31.0 12.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 2.0 98 3.6 10.2 38.5 25.0 50.0 0.43 43.2 42.3
Dallas Bear - 1 27.0 12.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 7.0 15.0 -107 -3.6 -24.2 57.1 50.0 50.0 0.16 76.1 78.6
MJ Leslie - 1 26.0 11.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 7.0 -90 -4.1 -24.8 44.4 42.9 0 0.28 61.1 61.1
Taven Washington - 2 25.5 11.0 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.5 6.0 -96 -3.1 -18.2 41.2 42.9 100.0 0.23 57.3 50.0
Tanner Mans - 1 27.0 11.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 9.0 -24 -0.9 -2.6 75.0 66.7 100.0 1.48 103.4 100.0
Keyln McBride - 2 32.5 10.5 2.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 1.5 6.0 14.0 9 0.2 0.7 50.0 33.3 70.0 1.26 64.0 58.3
Caden Fry - 1 21.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 5.0 -80 -2.8 -8.0 37.5 0.0 57.1 0.1 45.1 37.5
Benard Omooria - 1 17.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 -20 -0.7 -4.0 66.7 50.0 100.0 0.62 96.2 83.3
Parker Hannah - 1 21.0 10.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 5.0 77 2.2 12.7 40.0 14.3 50.0 0.78 46.0 45.0
Jaxon Jones - 2 38.0 9.0 5.0 4.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 6.0 13.5 -120 -4.4 -12.0 66.7 40.0 0 0.27 75.0 75.0
Jabryn Anderson - 1 35.0 9.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 7.0 -89 -2.5 -9.8 60.0 0 42.9 0.16 55.7 60.0
Matthew Willenborg - 1 30.0 9.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 14.0 32 0.8 6.2 66.7 0 50.0 0.21 65.4 66.7
Chris Harris - 1 23.0 9.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 -175 -3.4 -24.3 50.0 0.0 100.0 -0.13 61.5 50.0
Keon Edwards - 2 22.5 8.5 1.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.5 3.0 -33 -1.2 -4.0 46.7 40.0 50.0 0.78 53.5 53.3
Stetson Smithson - 2 23.0 8.0 6.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 2.0 5.0 10.0 8 0.3 0.7 60.0 0.0 66.7 1.26 63.3 60.0
Rollin Belton - 1 19.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 41 2.0 7.4 100.0 0 0 1.01 100.0 100.0
James Burries - 1 20.0 8.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 10.0 137 4.4 25.3 33.3 50.0 50.0 1.19 51.5 50.0
R.J. Forney - 1 32.0 8.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 6.0 -82 -3.2 -8.4 33.3 28.6 0 0.77 44.4 44.4
Devin Conley - 1 24.0 8.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 11.0 -17 -0.7 -7.0 42.9 100.0 0 0.42 57.1 57.1
Evan Jackson - 1 5.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 -34 -1.3 -9.6 60.0 0 25.0 0.42 51.8 60.0
Devyn Franklin - 1 25.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 85 3.4 15.2 16.7 0.0 66.7 0.28 34.7 16.7
Tane Prictor - 1 16.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 5.0 7.0 -32 -1.6 -10.0 60.0 0 0 0.17 60.0 60.0
Andrew Mason - 1 25.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 -66 -2.0 -7.0 60.0 0 0.0 -0.37 44.4 60.0
Jarreth Ingram - 1 16.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 -3 -0.2 -1.6 40.0 0.0 100.0 0.14 51.0 40.0
Jordan Thompson - 1 25.0 6.0 3.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 6.0 133 4.4 12.0 33.3 0.0 0 0.98 33.3 33.3
Brayson Laube - 1 17.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 -123 -5.3 -12.4 60.0 0 0 0.99 60.0 60.0
Wesley Booker - 2 22.5 5.0 3.0 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 6.0 5.5 -75 -2.0 -6.4 25.0 20.0 60.0 0.02 35.2 29.2
Reggie Martin - 1 20.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 8.0 26 1.2 2.5 33.3 33.3 0 1.27 41.7 41.7
Johannes Kirsipuu - 1 11.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 -119 -7.9 -43.6 100.0 100.0 0 0.1 125.0 125.0
Sam Davidson - 1 20.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 4.0 47 1.8 6.8 28.6 0.0 33.3 1.08 30.0 28.6
Israel Hart - 1 13.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 -1.0 171 5.9 17.1 28.6 33.3 0 1.61 35.7 35.7
Arhman Lewis - 1 32.0 5.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 2.0 -108 -4.3 -11.1 14.3 25.0 100.0 0.48 31.7 21.4
Justin Mack - 1 14.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 -1.0 -50 -1.9 -32.0 33.3 33.3 0 -0.1 41.7 41.7
Wyatt Gilbert - 2 12.0 4.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.5 4.0 -108 -5.4 -23.3 20.0 0.0 100.0 0.25 52.4 20.0
Jeremy Golson - 1 29.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 151 6.3 24.5 25.0 33.3 33.3 1.14 37.6 37.5
Timur Krupalija - 1 22.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 14 0.6 5.9 50.0 0.0 100.0 -0.01 69.4 50.0
Koen Derry - 2 11.0 3.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 4.5 -53 -2.4 -57.5 100.0 0 50.0 -0.28 90.2 100.0
David Cobin Jr. - 1 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 8 0.3 10.5 100.0 100.0 0 -0.35 150.0 150.0
Alex May - 2 6.0 2.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 3.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 57.9 33.3
Jadyn Haney - 2 7.5 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 -14 -1.6 -204.9 50.0 0.0 0.0 -1.39 45.0 50.0
Hayden Shanks - 1 15.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 29 1.4 37.3 33.3 0.0 0.0 -0.38 25.8 33.3
Angus Ole - 1 13.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 39 1.3 15.3 0 0 100.0 0.29 113.6 0
Ben Averitt - 1 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -18 -0.5 -6.8 50.0 0 0 -0.08 50.0 50.0
Dylan Munroe - 2 11.0 1.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 3.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Miles Branch - 1 18.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 -21 -1.9 -6.3 0.0 0.0 25.0 0.35 8.7 0.0
Ornette Gaines - 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -1.0 -5 -0.2 -4.1 0.0 0 0 -0.14 0.0 0.0
Bubby Grant - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -11 -1.0 -45.6 0 0 0 -0.84 0 0
Daniel Henderson - 2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -45 -4.1 -417.0 0 0 0 -1.19 0 0
Bubba McHenry - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3 -0.4 -54.5 0 0 0 -1.48 0 0
Corban Mora - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8 -0.9 -376.5 0 0 0 -1.82 0 0
Aidan Lambert - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kade Caldwell - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Hobert Grayson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6 0.2 0.5 0 0 0 1.17 0 0
Crew Flowers - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -67 -2.9 -51.3 0 0 0 -0.14 0 0
Kaden Geddes - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ryan Harris - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8 2.0 59.6 0 0 0 -1.1 0 0
Gavin Snyder - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 0.2 1.0 0 0 0 0.22 0 0
PJ Neal - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -39 -1.1 -4.2 0 0 0 0.57 0 0
Shota Abashidze - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8 -2.7 -146.6 0 0 0 -1.5 0 0
Kaedon Bonner - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -9 -4.5 -164.9 0 0 0 -1.5 0 0
Luca Cawthorn-Breheny - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Colby Henderson - 1 8.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 18 0.6 4.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.07 0.0 0.0
Joe Mpoyo - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tavares Oliver - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20 6.7 133.0 0 0 0 -1.04 0 0
Xavier Ridenour - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -3 -0.2 -8.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.7 0.0 0.0
Eli Eaves - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Dalen Fuller - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -31 -2.8 -402.2 0 0 0 -1.35 0 0
Parker Hardage - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Caison Hartloff - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jayden Parker - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jaxson Vandegarde - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kieler Young - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Henry Cowles - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Maddox Dow - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Domonic Turner Jr. - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22 1.2 4.6 0 0 0 0.45 0 0
Kaleb Bickel - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11 2.8 412.5 0 0 0 -1.76 0 0
Marlo Fox - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8 1.3 115.0 0 0 0 -1.36 0 0
Grant Gessert - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 31 6.2 445.5 0 0 0 -1.36 0 0
Aydan Perdue - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 47 2.9 173.5 0 0 0 -0.8 0 0
Griffin Rogers - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.2 -14.4 0 0 0 -1.36 0 0
Roman Swizek - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Bryce Tillery - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 38 2.2 71.6 0 0 0 -0.52 0 0
Jackson Welch - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21 5.2 21.1 0 0 0 -0.21 0 0
Preston Aymond - 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9 0.8 14.6 0 0 0 -0.46 0 0
Luke Haasl - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 78 2.8 10.2 0 0 0 1.91 0 0
Connor Newton - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -14 -0.8 -43.9 0 0 0 -0.71 0 0
Caiden Punt - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -33 -3.3 -123.7 0.0 0 0 -0.8 0.0 0.0
Jack Robinson - 1 11.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 11 0.6 33.3 0 0 0 -0.75 0 0
Chase Sucharda - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -13 -1.0 -203.9 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0
Will Cravens - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Awit Mamer - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -5 -2.5 -4.8 0 0 0 -0.24 0 0
Sheldon Stewart - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG