Arizona
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1411 (#9) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1329 (#10) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1132 (#28) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +18.3 (#13) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +15.8 (#20) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.815 (#26) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.955 (#12) | AdjNet +26.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.957 (#12) | AdjNet +26.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.814 (#16) | AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 62.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.722 (#20) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.862 (#14) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.849 (#15) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1292 (#16) | RD 111 | GP 34 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-16 | vs | Kansas State | W | 88 - 69 |
| 1999-11-19 | vs | New Mexico State | W | 84 - 60 |
| 1999-11-24 | N | Notre Dame | W | 76 - 60 |
| 1999-11-26 | N | Kentucky | W | 63 - 51 |
| 1999-12-01 | vs | Brigham Young | W | 86 - 62 |
| 1999-12-04 | @ | Texas | W | 88 - 81 |
| 1999-12-07 | N | Connecticut | L | 69 - 78 |
| 1999-12-11 | vs | Michigan State | W | 79 - 68 |
| 1999-12-13 | vs | IU Indy | W | 70 - 41 |
| 1999-12-18 | N | Nebraska | W | 80 - 59 |
| 1999-12-21 | vs | New Mexico | L | 68 - 70 |
| 1999-12-28 | vs | UNC Wilmington | W | 66 - 51 |
| 1999-12-30 | vs | Delaware | W | 89 - 77 |
| 2000-01-06 | @ | California | W | 65 - 61 |
| 2000-01-08 | @ | Stanford | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2000-01-13 | vs | Washington State | W | 80 - 75 |
| 2000-01-15 | vs | Washington | W | 69 - 62 |
| 2000-01-20 | @ | UCLA | W | 76 - 61 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Southern California | L | 72 - 80 |
| 2000-01-26 | @ | Arizona State | W | 82 - 55 |
| 2000-01-29 | @ | Louisiana State | L | 60 - 86 |
| 2000-02-03 | vs | Oregon | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2000-02-05 | vs | Oregon State | W | 90 - 73 |
| 2000-02-10 | @ | Washington | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | Washington State | W | 73 - 50 |
| 2000-02-17 | vs | Southern California | W | 92 - 85 |
| 2000-02-19 | vs | UCLA | W | 99 - 84 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Arizona State | W | 89 - 82 |
| 2000-03-02 | @ | Oregon State | L | 69 - 70 |
| 2000-03-04 | @ | Oregon | L | 81 - 86 |
| 2000-03-09 | vs | Stanford | W | 86 - 81 |
| 2000-03-11 | vs | California | W | 70 - 61 |
| 2000-03-16 | N | Jackson State | W | 71 - 47 |
| 2000-03-18 | N | Wisconsin | L | 59 - 66 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.