Arizona
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
87.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
49.4%
FG%
30.1%
3P%
78.0%
FT%
42.0
RPG
17.3
APG
11.0
TO
71.8
Est. poss./game
82.2
Adj PPG
66.0
Adj Opp PPG
#16
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1393 (#23) | Preseason prior 1393 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1297, returning +18, transfers +5, freshmen +73 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1228 (#23) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1225 (#22) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +24.7 (#14) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +24.7 (#14) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.866 (#65) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.861 (#21) | AdjNet +22.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.868 (#20) | AdjNet +23.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.823 (#16) | AdjO 82.2 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.822 (#15) | AdjO 82.2 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.865 (#19) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.865 (#19) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1247 (#28) | RD 168 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.847 (#23) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | UCLA Bruins | L | 75 - 84 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Cal Poly Mustangs | W | 104 - 84 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | W | 90 - 59 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | Auburn Tigers | W | 80 - 69 |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | UConn Huskies | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ivan Kharchenkov
|
F | 4 | 33.8 | 23.2 | 8.8 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 15.0 | 20.8 | 79 | 4 | 19.8 | 23.4 | 55.0 | 36.4 | 69.7 | 3.15 | 62.4 | 58.3 |
Motiejus Krivas
|
C | 4 | 27.2 | 17.5 | 9.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 9.2 | 19.5 | 60 | 4 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 64.9 | 0.0 | 81.5 | 3.0 | 71.6 | 64.9 |
Caleb Holt
|
G | 4 | 28.5 | 17.2 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 13.5 | 13.0 | 54 | 4 | 13.5 | 18.8 | 48.1 | 29.4 | 85.7 | 1.33 | 57.3 | 52.8 |
Derek Dixon
|
G | 4 | 33.2 | 12.5 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 54 | 4 | 13.5 | 16.4 | 39.1 | 28.6 | 100.0 | 0.98 | 51.4 | 47.8 |
Jj Mandaquit
|
G | 4 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 7.8 | 48 | 4 | 12.0 | 17.1 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.86 | 64.4 | 50.0 |
Cameron Holmes
|
G | 4 | 16.5 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 3.8 | 4.2 | -9 | 4 | -2.2 | -5.5 | 53.3 | 25.0 | 75.0 | -0.85 | 59.7 | 56.7 |
Maksim Brnovic
|
F | 4 | 11.8 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 3.5 | -20 | 4 | -5.0 | -16.7 | 45.5 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -1.44 | 50.5 | 50.0 |
Bryce James
|
G | 3 | 12.0 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 2.0 | -4 | 3 | -1.3 | -4.4 | 27.3 | 28.6 | 0 | -0.8 | 36.4 | 36.4 |
Evan Otten
|
F | 3 | 7.7 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 4.7 | -8 | 3 | -2.7 | -14.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 25.0 | -1.27 | 54.3 | 100.0 |
Addison Arnold
|
G | 2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | -3 | 2 | -1.5 | -38.9 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.81 | 113.6 | 0 |
Ugnius Jarusevicius
|
F | 3 | 7.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 14 | 3 | 4.7 | 25.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Mabil Mawut
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Joaquin Rigdon
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Endurance Aiyamenkhue
|
F | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Jackson Cook
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
RJ Godfrey
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Arizona players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Arizona game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen | 2016-17 | NBA | Utah Jazz | 8 | 30.9 | 18.0 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 11-06 24 pts, 8 reb, 1 ast | 8 GP, 18.0 PPG, 6.6 RPG, 2.0 APG |
| Pelle Larsson | 2021-24 | NBA | Miami Heat | 11 | 29.5 | 11.4 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 11-10 14 pts, 7 reb, 2 ast | 11 GP, 11.4 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 3.5 APG |
| Aaron Gordon | 2013-14 | NBA | Denver Nuggets | 10 | 29.1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 11-11 9 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast | 10 GP, 11.0 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 2.1 APG |
| Brandon Williams | 2018-19 | NBA | Golden State Warriors | 10 | 16.1 | 10.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 11-09 4 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast | 10 GP, 10.4 PPG, 2.1 RPG, 2.3 APG |
| Brayden Burries | 2025-26 | NBA | Milwaukee Bucks | 13 | 21.4 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 11-13 3 pts, 4 reb, 3 ast | 13 GP, 9.2 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 2.2 APG |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 2020-22 | NBA | New Orleans Pelicans | 12 | 15.3 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 11-13 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast | 12 GP, 5.5 PPG, 1.8 RPG, 1.2 APG |
| T.J. McConnell | 2013-15 | NBA | Indiana Pacers | 4 | 12.1 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 11-13 6 pts, 3 reb, 7 ast | 4 GP, 5.2 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 4.5 APG |
| Deandre Ayton | 2017-18 | NBA | Washington Wizards | 13 | 14.1 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 11-12 2 pts, 4 reb, 0 ast | 13 GP, 4.5 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 0.8 APG |
| Carter Bryant | 2024-25 | NBA | San Antonio Spurs | 12 | 11.6 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 11-13 8 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast | 12 GP, 4.1 PPG, 0.9 RPG, 0.8 APG |
| Josh Green | 2019-20 | NBA | Utah Jazz | 11 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 11-13 2 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast | 11 GP, 3.5 PPG, 1.6 RPG, 1.0 APG |
| Zeke Nnaji | 2019-20 | NBA | Denver Nuggets | 2 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 11-04 2 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast | 2 GP, 3.5 PPG, 0.5 RPG, 0.0 APG |
| Koa Peat | 2025-26 | NBA | Phoenix Suns | 6 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 11-10 5 pts, 1 reb, 0 ast | 6 GP, 2.5 PPG, 0.7 RPG, 0.2 APG |
| Dalen Terry | 2020-22 | NBA | Oklahoma City Thunder | 2 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 11-07 2 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast | 2 GP, 1.0 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 0.5 APG |
| Caleb Love | 2023-25 | NBA | Philadelphia 76ers | 2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11-12 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast | 2 GP, 0.0 PPG, 0.0 RPG, 0.0 APG |
| Azuolas Tubelis | 2020-23 | EuroLeague | Zalgiris Kaunas | 11 | 22.8 | 11.9 | 5.9 | 1.6 | 11-12 15 pts, 8 reb, 3 ast | 6 GP, 11.7 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 1.2 APG |
| Kobi Simmons | 2016-17 | EuroLeague | Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 10 | 22.4 | 7.8 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 11-11 5 pts, 2 reb, 3 ast | 5 GP, 9.6 PPG, 2.2 RPG, 2.2 APG |
| Christian Koloko | 2019-22 | EuroLeague | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | 4 | 16.5 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 11-12 4 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast | 4 GP, 7.0 PPG, 2.5 RPG, 0.8 APG |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 2020-21 | G League | Salt Lake City Stars | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-11 13 pts, 8 reb, 7 ast Play-In | 3 GP, 9.3 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 4.3 APG |
| Trey Townsend | 2024-25 | G League | Greensboro Swarm | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-12 2 pts, 0 reb, 1 ast Play-In | 2 GP, 1.0 PPG, 1.5 RPG, 0.5 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | T.J. McConnell | NBA | Indiana Pacers | vs New York Knicks | 17 | 6 | 3 | 7 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Josh Green | NBA | Utah Jazz | @ Houston Rockets | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Dalen Terry | G League Play-In | Santa Cruz Warriors | vs San Diego Clippers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Carter Bryant | NBA | San Antonio Spurs | vs Golden State Warriors | 19 | 8 | 3 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Caleb Love | G League Play-In | Delaware Blue Coats | vs Maine Celtics | 32 | 22 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Brayden Burries | NBA | Milwaukee Bucks | @ Orlando Magic | 19 | 3 | 4 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Bennedict Mathurin | NBA | New Orleans Pelicans | vs Memphis Grizzlies | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Trey Townsend | G League Play-In | Greensboro Swarm | @ Raptors 905 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Deandre Ayton | NBA | Washington Wizards | vs Detroit Pistons | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Christian Koloko | EuroLeague | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | @ Real Madrid | 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Caleb Love | NBA | Philadelphia 76ers | vs Toronto Raptors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Azuolas Tubelis | EuroLeague | Zalgiris Kaunas | @ Armani Olimpia Milan | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Trey Townsend | G League Play-In | Greensboro Swarm | @ Raptors 905 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Terrell Brown Jr. | G League Play-In | Salt Lake City Stars | vs Rip City Remix | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | T.J. McConnell | NBA | Indiana Pacers | vs Washington Wizards | 14 | 7 | 3 | 7 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Kobi Simmons | EuroLeague | Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | @ Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 29 | 5 | 2 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Josh Green | NBA | Utah Jazz | vs Orlando Magic | 26 | 3 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Deandre Ayton | NBA | Washington Wizards | @ Indiana Pacers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Carter Bryant | NBA | San Antonio Spurs | @ Chicago Bulls | 15 | 10 | 1 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Brayden Burries | NBA | Milwaukee Bucks | vs Los Angeles Lakers | 23 | 8 | 5 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Aaron Gordon | NBA | Denver Nuggets | @ Memphis Grizzlies | 27 | 9 | 3 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Terrell Brown Jr. | G League Play-In | Salt Lake City Stars | vs Rip City Remix | 22 | 8 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Pelle Larsson | NBA | Miami Heat | @ Utah Jazz | 31 | 14 | 7 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Koa Peat | NBA | Phoenix Suns | vs LA Clippers | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Josh Green | NBA | Utah Jazz | vs Miami Heat | 30 | 2 | 5 | 4 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
249 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Ivan KharchenkovCaleb HoltDerek DixonBryce James
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 65-91 | 71.4 | 130 | Ivan Kharchenkov 28% (36 pts) | Motiejus Krivas 28% (36 pts) | Ivan Kharchenkov 31% (8 misses) | Motiejus Krivas 23% (6 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 21-51 | 41.2 | 42 | Ivan Kharchenkov 43% (18 pts) | Motiejus Krivas 29% (12 pts) | Ivan Kharchenkov 37% (11 misses) | Caleb Holt 30% (9 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 5-11 | 45.5 | 10 | Derek Dixon 40% (4 pts) | Caleb Holt 20% (2 pts) | Caleb Holt 33% (2 misses) | Bryce James 17% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-4 | 75.0 | 6 | Caleb Holt 67% (4 pts) | Bryce James 33% (2 pts) | Ivan Kharchenkov 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 4-9 | 44.4 | 8 | Derek Dixon 50% (4 pts) | Caleb Holt 25% (2 pts) | Derek Dixon 60% (3 misses) | Caleb Holt 20% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-10 | 20.0 | 6 | Bryce James 50% (3 pts) | Derek Dixon 50% (3 pts) | Caleb Holt 38% (3 misses) | Bryce James 12% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Derek Dixon 40% (2 misses) | Caleb Holt 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 5-19 | 26.3 | 15 | Derek Dixon 60% (9 pts) | Bryce James 20% (3 pts) | Derek Dixon 43% (6 misses) | Bryce James 14% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 9-22 | 40.9 | 27 | Caleb Holt 33% (9 pts) | Ivan Kharchenkov 22% (6 pts) | Derek Dixon 38% (5 misses) | Jj Mandaquit 23% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 9-27 | 33.3 | 27 | Derek Dixon 33% (9 pts) | Caleb Holt 22% (6 pts) | Derek Dixon 33% (6 misses) | Caleb Holt 28% (5 misses) |