Arizona State
2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1431 (#24) | Preseason prior 1430 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1069, returning +52, transfers +309, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1297 (#25) | HCA +215 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1152 (#25) | HCA +215 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +22.6 (#21) | HCA +9.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +21.9 (#22) | HCA +9.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.985 (#17) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.906 (#19) | AdjNet +26.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.911 (#19) | AdjNet +26.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.843 (#22) | AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 53.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.788 (#21) | AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 53.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.888 (#23) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.880 (#22) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1317 (#22) | RD 198 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.975 (#24) | Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Jackson State Lady Tigers | W | 84 - 41 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | W | 79 - 52 |
| 2026-11-10 | @ | UNLV Lady Rebels | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-15 | vs | Penn State Lady Lions | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ruby Whitehorn
|
G | 2 | 29.0 | 16.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 11.0 | 16.5 | 53 | 2 | 26.5 | 36.5 | 63.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 2.1 | 68.2 | 63.6 |
Heloisa Carrera
|
F | 2 | 19.5 | 11.5 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 35 | 2 | 17.5 | 36.4 | 61.1 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.36 | 60.9 | 61.1 |
McKinna Brackens
|
F | 2 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 50 | 2 | 25.0 | 38.4 | 55.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 3.38 | 55.7 | 55.6 |
Rashunda Jones
|
G | 2 | 25.0 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.5 | 13.5 | 44 | 2 | 22.0 | 34.9 | 46.2 | 42.9 | 75.0 | 3.11 | 63.6 | 57.7 |
Averie Lower
|
G | 2 | 23.0 | 10.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 36 | 2 | 18.0 | 31.5 | 41.2 | 41.2 | 0 | 0.35 | 61.8 | 61.8 |
Madi Morson
|
G | 1 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 23 | 1 | 23.0 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 0 | 2.76 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
Deborah Davenport
|
G | 2 | 13.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 20 | 2 | 10.0 | 28.6 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.7 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
Ayanna-Sarai Darrington
|
F | 2 | 14.5 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 18 | 2 | 9.0 | 24.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.5 | 60.2 | 50.0 |
Ella Ryan
|
G | 2 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 21 | 2 | 10.5 | 25.1 | 30.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.04 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
Quin'Nya Gray de Sanders
|
G | 2 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 9 | 2 | 4.5 | 36.4 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.01 | 77.3 | 66.7 |
Amaya Williams
|
G | 2 | 12.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.5 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Martina Fantini
|
C | 2 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 17 | 2 | 8.5 | 56.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.17 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Londyn Parker
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Arizona State players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Arizona State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | Jalyn Brown | WNBA Preseason | Seattle Storm | vs Portland Fire | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
129 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Ruby WhitehornHeloisa CarreraAverie LowerMcKinna BrackensRashunda JonesDeborah DavenportMadi MorsonElla RyanAmaya WilliamsMartina Fantini
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 29-37 | 78.4 | 58 | Heloisa Carrera 31% (18 pts) | Ruby Whitehorn 24% (14 pts) | Martina Fantini 25% (2 misses) | Ayanna-Sarai Darrington 12% (1 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 12-29 | 41.4 | 24 | Ruby Whitehorn 50% (12 pts) | Heloisa Carrera 17% (4 pts) | Heloisa Carrera 35% (6 misses) | Madi Morson 18% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 4-7 | 57.1 | 8 | Madi Morson 50% (4 pts) | McKinna Brackens 50% (4 pts) | McKinna Brackens 67% (2 misses) | Rashunda Jones 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-2 | 100.0 | 4 | Amaya Williams 50% (2 pts) | McKinna Brackens 50% (2 pts) | - | - |
| Mid-range right | 2-6 | 33.3 | 4 | McKinna Brackens 50% (2 pts) | Ruby Whitehorn 50% (2 pts) | McKinna Brackens 50% (2 misses) | Rashunda Jones 25% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-4 | 75.0 | 9 | Averie Lower 67% (6 pts) | Ella Ryan 33% (3 pts) | Rashunda Jones 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Right corner 3 | 1-4 | 25.0 | 3 | Averie Lower 100% (3 pts) | - | Averie Lower 67% (2 misses) | Ella Ryan 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 5-15 | 33.3 | 15 | Averie Lower 40% (6 pts) | Deborah Davenport 20% (3 pts) | Averie Lower 50% (5 misses) | Ella Ryan 20% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-6 | 16.7 | 3 | Deborah Davenport 100% (3 pts) | - | McKinna Brackens 40% (2 misses) | Amaya Williams 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 5-19 | 26.3 | 15 | Rashunda Jones 60% (9 pts) | Averie Lower 40% (6 pts) | Ella Ryan 21% (3 misses) | Ruby Whitehorn 21% (3 misses) |