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Arizona State

Also known as: Arizona State Sun Devils, Arizona State
Program History

Model Outputs

2003-2004
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1513 (#52) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +33.9 (#61) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.373 (#77) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.5 More โ†’ 0.458 (#66) AdjNet -1.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.4 More โ†’ 0.459 (#66) AdjNet -1.4

2004 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-11-22 vs Little Rock W 89 - 72
2003-11-24 vs Cal State Fullerton W 83 - 76
2003-11-29 vs UC Riverside W 77 - 68
2003-12-03 @ Nebraska L 60 - 66
2003-12-09 N Temple W 70 - 66
2003-12-17 @ Northwestern L 61 - 63
2003-12-22 vs McNeese W 81 - 61
2003-12-29 vs San Diego W 89 - 70
2003-12-30 vs Western Michigan L 76 - 81
2004-01-03 vs Arizona L 74 - 93
2004-01-08 vs Stanford L 62 - 63
2004-01-10 vs California L 62 - 74
2004-01-15 @ UCLA L 58 - 66
2004-01-17 @ Southern California W 100 - 85
2004-01-22 vs Oregon L 76 - 83
2004-01-24 vs Oregon State W 83 - 79
2004-01-29 @ Washington State L 56 - 63
2004-01-31 @ Washington L 81 - 90
2004-02-05 @ Stanford L 51 - 81
2004-02-07 @ California L 83 - 85
2004-02-12 vs UCLA W 74 - 62
2004-02-14 vs Southern California L 84 - 93
2004-02-19 @ Oregon State L 61 - 68
2004-02-21 @ Oregon W 86 - 75
2004-02-26 vs Washington State L 70 - 83
2004-02-28 vs Washington L 72 - 96
2004-03-07 @ Arizona L 81 - 106

2004 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ike Diogu F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Steve Moore G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jamal Hill G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jason Braxton G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kevin Kruger G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Wil Fameni F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Keith Wooden F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Allen Morill F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Tron Smith G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Serge Angounou F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Justin Allen F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kenny Crandall G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Chris Low F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jamie Andrisevic F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Brandon Goldman G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG