Arizona State
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1513 (#52) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +33.9 (#61) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.373 (#77) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.458 (#66) | AdjNet -1.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.459 (#66) | AdjNet -1.4 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-22 | vs | Little Rock | W | 89 - 72 |
| 2003-11-24 | vs | Cal State Fullerton | W | 83 - 76 |
| 2003-11-29 | vs | UC Riverside | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2003-12-03 | @ | Nebraska | L | 60 - 66 |
| 2003-12-09 | N | Temple | W | 70 - 66 |
| 2003-12-17 | @ | Northwestern | L | 61 - 63 |
| 2003-12-22 | vs | McNeese | W | 81 - 61 |
| 2003-12-29 | vs | San Diego | W | 89 - 70 |
| 2003-12-30 | vs | Western Michigan | L | 76 - 81 |
| 2004-01-03 | vs | Arizona | L | 74 - 93 |
| 2004-01-08 | vs | Stanford | L | 62 - 63 |
| 2004-01-10 | vs | California | L | 62 - 74 |
| 2004-01-15 | @ | UCLA | L | 58 - 66 |
| 2004-01-17 | @ | Southern California | W | 100 - 85 |
| 2004-01-22 | vs | Oregon | L | 76 - 83 |
| 2004-01-24 | vs | Oregon State | W | 83 - 79 |
| 2004-01-29 | @ | Washington State | L | 56 - 63 |
| 2004-01-31 | @ | Washington | L | 81 - 90 |
| 2004-02-05 | @ | Stanford | L | 51 - 81 |
| 2004-02-07 | @ | California | L | 83 - 85 |
| 2004-02-12 | vs | UCLA | W | 74 - 62 |
| 2004-02-14 | vs | Southern California | L | 84 - 93 |
| 2004-02-19 | @ | Oregon State | L | 61 - 68 |
| 2004-02-21 | @ | Oregon | W | 86 - 75 |
| 2004-02-26 | vs | Washington State | L | 70 - 83 |
| 2004-02-28 | vs | Washington | L | 72 - 96 |
| 2004-03-07 | @ | Arizona | L | 81 - 106 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ike Diogu | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Steve Moore | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jamal Hill | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jason Braxton | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Kevin Kruger | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Wil Fameni | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Keith Wooden | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Allen Morill | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Tron Smith | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Serge Angounou | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Justin Allen | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Kenny Crandall | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Chris Low | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jamie Andrisevic | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Brandon Goldman | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG