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Arcadia

Also known as: Arcadia
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1108 (#64) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1104 (#98) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +2.3 (#158) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.602 (#406) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.0 More → 0.651 (#185) NetEff +5.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.4 More → 0.650 (#324) AdjNet +5.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.5 More → 0.631 (#328) AdjNet +4.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 63.3 More → 0.556 (#328) AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 63.3

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 vs Ramapo W 71 - 40
2024-11-10 @ Smith L 56 - 92
2024-11-13 @ Gwynedd Mercy W 74 - 61
2024-11-19 @ Swarthmore W 63 - 47
2024-11-23 vs Kean W 76 - 50
2024-11-26 @ Muhlenberg L 45 - 58
2024-12-04 vs Widener L 55 - 70
2024-12-09 @ John Jay W 63 - 51
2024-12-14 vs Immaculata W 63 - 60
2024-12-17 vs Elizabethtown L 65 - 80
2025-01-04 @ Connecticut Col. L 54 - 64
2025-01-08 vs DeSales L 61 - 68
2025-01-11 @ King's (PA) W 79 - 56
2025-01-15 @ Stevens W 80 - 61
2025-01-18 @ Delaware Valley W 73 - 61
2025-01-22 vs Misericordia W 68 - 39
2025-01-25 vs Lebanon Valley L 56 - 69
2025-01-29 @ FDU-Florham W 79 - 64
2025-02-01 @ DeSales W 69 - 60
2025-02-05 vs Stevens W 72 - 59
2025-02-08 vs King's (PA) W 71 - 50
2025-02-12 @ Misericordia W 67 - 59
2025-02-15 vs Delaware Valley W 80 - 56
2025-02-19 vs FDU-Florham W 88 - 65
2025-02-22 @ Lebanon Valley L 55 - 73
2025-02-26 vs Stevens L 72 - 83

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Hanna Rhoades - 26 32.8 17.4 2.5 1.5 0.8 0.2 1.9 15.7 4.8 27 0.8 0.8 39.1 35.5 82.7 0.67 52.6 50.2
Delaney Bell - 26 34.8 15.4 8.1 2.4 1.5 1.5 3.0 12.8 13.1 -41 -1.2 -1.2 44.0 29.8 74.0 -0.18 53.2 49.1
Scar Glasser-nehls - 1 40.0 14.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 10.0 4 0.2 0.2 54.5 33.3 100.0 0.05 61.2 59.1
Scarlett Glasser-Nehls - 23 33.5 12.8 4.7 2.3 1.3 0.0 1.4 9.9 9.8 4 0.2 0.2 49.3 38.6 88.6 0.05 60.6 57.9
S Glasser-nehls - 1 35.0 8.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 5.0 4 0.2 0.2 36.4 0.0 0 0.05 36.4 36.4
Taylor Koenig - 24 14.6 5.8 3.1 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.0 6.4 2.8 -13 -0.4 -0.7 31.8 28.3 78.9 0.0 42.8 40.3
Mara Weaver - 25 19.6 5.4 5.8 1.8 1.3 0.9 1.2 5.2 8.9 7 0.3 0.5 28.2 24.3 69.8 0.18 42.8 35.1
Kylie Meredith - 25 15.4 4.4 3.9 2.2 0.6 0.3 1.6 3.3 6.6 -21 -0.9 -1.8 53.7 0.0 76.7 -0.2 58.3 53.7
Delaney Finn - 25 11.6 3.2 1.8 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.6 3.4 2.0 -18 -0.5 -1.2 32.9 32.8 30.0 0.08 44.7 45.3
Abby Beam - 26 24.0 2.4 2.1 2.3 1.1 0.1 1.3 3.3 3.4 13 0.4 0.5 23.3 19.5 70.0 0.21 32.7 27.9
Scarle Glasser-nehls - 1 36.0 2.0 11.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 4.0 4 0.2 0.2 8.3 0.0 0 0.05 8.3 8.3
Hannah Barry - 24 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.5 - - - 33.3 33.3 100.0 - 50.4 46.7
Ava Gumienny - 23 3.4 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.2 -20 -1.1 -6.9 14.3 6.7 85.7 -0.39 27.0 16.7
Riley O'Hagan - 23 2.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 0 0.0 0.0 23.1 23.1 0 -0.03 34.6 34.6
Sophia Rasiul - 23 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 - - - 30.0 25.0 0 - 35.0 35.0
Morgan Bigler - 23 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 - - - 33.3 0 0.0 - 29.1 33.3
Emily Schall - 16 1.2 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 - - - 25.0 33.3 0 - 37.5 37.5
Ally Zolty - 23 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 -0.0 4 0.4 2.7 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.3 12.5
Elaina Foley - 11 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Quinlyn Fisher - 11 1.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG