Arcadia
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 999 (#268) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1017 (#242) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.8 (#224) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.497 (#473) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.484 (#302) | NetEff -0.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.295 (#456) | AdjNet -7.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.286 (#460) | AdjNet -7.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.377 (#453) | AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 74.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Gettysburg | L | 56 - 70 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Vassar | L | 55 - 74 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Gwynedd Mercy | L | 65 - 91 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Penn St.-Abington | W | 102 - 58 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | York (PA) | L | 63 - 87 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Immaculata | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Haverford | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Eastern | L | 63 - 73 |
| 2024-12-16 | @ | Scranton | L | 71 - 78 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Shenandoah | W | 87 - 82 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Susquehanna | W | 79 - 76 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | DeSales | W | 83 - 67 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | King's (PA) | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Stevens | L | 55 - 76 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Delaware Valley | L | 56 - 62 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Misericordia | W | 86 - 79 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Lebanon Valley | L | 70 - 72 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | FDU-Florham | L | 75 - 77 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | DeSales | W | 65 - 59 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Stevens | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | King's (PA) | L | 67 - 81 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Misericordia | W | 67 - 51 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Delaware Valley | W | 64 - 58 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | FDU-Florham | L | 80 - 88 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Lebanon Valley | L | 65 - 73 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | Stevens | L | 51 - 90 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamison Lynam | - | 26 | 29.9 | 13.5 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 11.2 | 7.5 | -25 | -1.2 | -4.1 | 43.6 | 40.2 | 77.8 | 0.78 | 55.2 | 52.1 |
| Joshua Okocha | - | 25 | 32.7 | 13.4 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 9.8 | 11.1 | -26 | -2.0 | -4.2 | 45.5 | 32.6 | 67.5 | 0.62 | 55.9 | 51.4 |
| Josh Parks | - | 25 | 28.1 | 10.3 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 9.2 | 6.0 | -4 | -0.4 | -0.7 | 39.7 | 35.7 | 68.4 | 0.98 | 52.5 | 50.7 |
| Dom Vazquez | - | 23 | 24.3 | 8.3 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 8.7 | 4.2 | -12 | -1.3 | -4.5 | 34.7 | 26.0 | 63.0 | 0.45 | 43.8 | 41.0 |
| Corey Attivo | - | 26 | 22.8 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5.9 | 6.0 | -18 | -1.0 | -3.5 | 48.1 | 29.8 | 60.7 | 0.81 | 54.7 | 53.6 |
| Amyr Walker | - | 25 | 21.3 | 6.0 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.4 | 7.1 | -47 | -3.9 | -14.9 | 50.0 | 26.9 | 53.2 | 0.16 | 54.6 | 53.2 |
| Alex Hermann | - | 26 | 9.6 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 4.4 | -10 | -0.9 | -13.0 | 54.8 | 46.7 | 50.0 | -0.12 | 62.2 | 63.1 |
| Kyndall Crawford | - | 26 | 6.9 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 2.9 | -15 | -2.1 | -12.0 | 57.8 | 10.0 | 62.5 | -0.05 | 59.8 | 58.9 |
| Debarrin Norman | - | 25 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 | 52.2 | 51.5 | 0.0 | 35.0 | -0.73 | 49.0 | 51.5 |
| Jamal Carr | - | 26 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 36.8 | 0.0 | 77.8 | -0.24 | 45.7 | 36.8 |
| Marquis Kubish | - | 25 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | -9 | -2.2 | -17.3 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 80.0 | -0.35 | 49.0 | 36.7 |
| Keenan Reiss | - | 20 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 54.5 | 25.0 | 75.0 | - | 62.7 | 59.1 |
| Jordan Taylor | - | 26 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 10 | 1.7 | 47.6 | 60.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -0.62 | 63.0 | 66.7 |
| Aidan Melograna | - | 25 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 19 | 19.0 | 54.2 | 31.2 | 45.5 | 40.0 | -0.39 | 46.7 | 46.9 |
| Tymir Smalls | - | 26 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 9 | 2.2 | 33.8 | 43.8 | 25.0 | 66.7 | -0.53 | 51.0 | 46.9 |
| Chris Williams | - | 23 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | -3 | -1.5 | -41.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.06 | 65.0 | 65.0 |
| Jorden Jones | - | 24 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -2 | -1.0 | -22.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.99 | 116.7 | 116.7 |
| Latrell Bullock | - | 23 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -0.0 | -3 | -1.5 | -75.8 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.28 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Kahmai Clark | - | 24 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 5 | 2.5 | 71.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.06 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Ash Cole III | - | 24 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -33.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.99 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Darius Isaac | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nas Johnson | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 282 | 11.3 | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.66 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG