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Appalachian State

Also known as: Appalachian State Mountaineers
Program History

Model Outputs

2000-2001
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 791 (#259) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 838 (#257) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +117 elo More โ†’ 948 (#224) HCA +117 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ -9.8 (#259) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -9.7 (#264) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.207 (#275) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -16.1 More โ†’ 0.135 (#273) AdjNet -16.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -16.2 More โ†’ 0.133 (#273) AdjNet -16.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 71.4 More โ†’ 0.292 (#265) AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 71.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 69.2 More โ†’ 0.347 (#269) AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 69.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.258 (#268) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.268 (#268) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 152 | GP 28 More โ†’ 823 (#266) RD 152 | GP 28

2001 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2000-11-17 vs North Carolina L 69 - 99
2000-11-20 vs Robert Morris W 86 - 71
2000-11-24 N Oregon State L 37 - 60
2000-11-25 N San Francisco L 52 - 54
2000-11-30 @ Liberty L 52 - 68
2000-12-02 @ Purdue L 65 - 79
2000-12-14 vs UNC Asheville L 64 - 84
2000-12-16 @ East Carolina L 62 - 79
2000-12-21 vs Richmond L 60 - 86
2000-12-30 @ Indiana State L 62 - 76
2001-01-03 vs VMI W 81 - 72
2001-01-06 @ Chattanooga L 62 - 69
2001-01-08 @ UNC Greensboro L 62 - 78
2001-01-13 vs College of Charleston L 45 - 63
2001-01-15 @ East Tennessee State L 56 - 61
2001-01-20 vs Western Carolina W 87 - 75
2001-01-23 @ Davidson W 78 - 68
2001-01-27 vs East Tennessee State L 67 - 72
2001-01-29 vs The Citadel W 81 - 74
2001-02-03 @ Georgia Southern W 68 - 64
2001-02-05 @ Western Carolina W 63 - 59
2001-02-10 vs Davidson W 78 - 70
2001-02-12 vs Furman L 63 - 70
2001-02-17 @ Wofford L 65 - 86
2001-02-19 vs UNC Greensboro L 60 - 63
2001-02-24 @ VMI L 51 - 73
2001-03-01 @ Furman W 58 - 56
2001-03-02 N Chattanooga L 48 - 74

2001 Roster

No roster data available for this season.