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Appalachian Bible

Season: 2026 2025 2024
Also known as: Appalachian Bible
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 946 (#609) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -18.5 (#666) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.000 (#794) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -68.3 More → 0.000 (#796) AdjNet -68.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -68.9 More → 0.000 (#796) AdjNet -68.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 44.5 | AdjD 99.2 More → 0.007 (#796) AdjO 44.5 | AdjD 99.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 85.2 More → 0.329 (#646) AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 85.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.214 (#649) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.233 (#645) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 265 | GP 6 More → 840 (#523) RD 265 | GP 6

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-18 @ Centenary (LA) W 74 - 71
2025-11-25 @ Concordia (TX) L 107 - 117
2025-12-05 vs McMurry L 78 - 90
2025-12-06 @ Howard Payne L 107 - 112
2025-12-11 @ Mary Hardin-Baylor L 78 - 107
2025-12-15 @ Hardin-Simmons L 66 - 98

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Davione Allen - 4 27.2 16.8 3.5 0.5 1.5 0.2 1.2 13.8 7.5 - - - 45.5 29.2 62.5 - 54.0 51.8
Carron Gipson - 4 24.6 16.2 6.5 1.8 1.0 0.0 1.8 10.5 13.2 - - - 52.4 20.0 87.0 - 62.4 53.6
Jamar McCray - 6 28.9 15.0 3.8 2.7 1.7 0.0 2.8 9.8 10.5 - - - 54.2 50.0 77.8 - 63.5 58.5
J'son Murray - 6 25.8 12.0 4.0 1.8 1.8 0.3 3.7 9.3 7.0 - - - 48.2 25.0 66.7 - 54.1 50.0
Marcel Dalcourt - 6 29.3 11.0 7.5 2.5 1.2 0.5 4.0 11.3 7.3 - - - 38.2 29.2 63.6 - 45.3 43.4
Aaryn Medina - 4 12.7 6.2 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.5 3.8 - - - 55.6 33.3 80.0 - 61.9 58.3
Ahmad Webster - 5 10.6 5.4 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.0 - - - 47.1 16.7 76.9 - 59.4 50.0
Trey Walters - 6 18.3 4.8 1.8 1.7 1.5 0.0 2.7 3.8 3.3 - - - 34.8 14.3 100.0 - 51.3 37.0
John Gray - 6 6.2 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.8 2.0 7 0.5 1.9 64.7 100.0 50.0 1.54 67.1 67.6
Gary Gray - 2 8.2 4.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 3.0 2.5 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Isaiah Melvo - 6 12.2 2.7 1.8 0.5 0.5 0.2 1.0 2.0 2.7 - - - 50.0 0.0 66.7 - 54.6 50.0
Eric Conner - 2 11.4 2.5 3.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 3.0 3.5 - - - 33.3 0 25.0 - 32.2 33.3
Jeremiah Chatman - 1 11.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Javon Rosier - 6 9.6 1.3 0.7 1.3 0.2 0.2 1.5 2.5 -0.3 - - - 20.0 0.0 66.7 - 24.5 20.0
Kameron Ware - 6 9.6 1.3 0.7 1.3 0.2 0.2 1.5 2.5 -0.3 - - - 20.0 0.0 66.7 - 24.5 20.0
Michael Grant - 6 9.8 1.0 1.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.7 2.5 0.7 - - - 20.0 0.0 0.0 - 17.9 20.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG