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Angelo St.

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Angelo St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2023-2024
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1111 (#85) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1143 (#75) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1039 (#104) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.5 More → +15.5 (#49) HCA +2.5
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +13.5 (#52) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.620 (#114) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.0 More → 0.627 (#115) NetEff +4.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.4 More → 0.869 (#65) AdjNet +16.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.9 More → 0.878 (#64) AdjNet +16.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 61.6 More → 0.726 (#65) AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 61.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 64.0 More → 0.588 (#102) AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 64.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.754 (#71) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.730 (#76) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 125 | GP 31 More → 1112 (#83) RD 125 | GP 31

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-03 @ Mary L 67 - 81
2023-11-04 vs Gannon L 63 - 76
2023-11-05 @ Minot St. W 83 - 68
2023-11-10 vs MSU Denver W 64 - 39
2023-11-11 vs Western Colo. W 64 - 55
2023-11-16 @ Abilene Christian - Incomplete score
2023-11-24 vs Mo. Southern St. W 80 - 61
2023-11-25 vs Tampa L 53 - 63
2023-11-30 @ Tex. A&M-Kingsville W 66 - 65
2023-12-02 @ Tex. A&M Int'l W 95 - 74
2023-12-07 vs Ark.-Fort Smith L 64 - 75
2023-12-09 vs Okla. Christian W 81 - 69
2023-12-16 @ Hawaii Hilo W 69 - 62
2023-12-16 vs Bridgewater St. W 88 - 79
2024-01-04 vs Western N.M. W 81 - 68
2024-01-06 vs Eastern N.M. W 66 - 55
2024-01-11 @ West Tex. A&M W 70 - 58
2024-01-13 @ Lubbock Christian L 54 - 67
2024-01-18 @ Midwestern St. W 93 - 71
2024-01-20 @ Cameron L 47 - 73
2024-01-25 vs St. Mary's (TX) W 75 - 71
2024-01-27 vs St. Edward's W 76 - 68
2024-02-01 @ Eastern N.M. L 55 - 60
2024-02-03 @ Western N.M. W 60 - 55
2024-02-08 vs Lubbock Christian W 61 - 42
2024-02-10 vs West Tex. A&M L 55 - 68
2024-02-15 vs Cameron W 88 - 52
2024-02-17 vs Midwestern St. L 73 - 75
2024-02-22 @ Texas Woman's L 72 - 79
2024-02-24 @ UT Tyler W 69 - 62
2024-02-28 @ UT Permian Basin L 54 - 90
2024-03-02 vs UT Permian Basin W 78 - 65
2024-03-08 @ UT Permian Basin L 51 - 71

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tayjanna McGhee-Pleasant - 31 28.2 15.3 8.5 1.6 1.0 0.7 2.9 13.5 10.7 - - - - 42.5 27.6 75.7 - 50.8 46.7
Sawyer Lloyd - 32 33.9 14.7 6.8 5.0 2.2 0.3 2.3 13.5 13.2 - - - - 43.6 35.1 79.3 - 51.4 49.1
Madeline Stephens - 32 30.9 13.3 7.7 2.4 1.5 0.9 2.2 11.1 12.6 - - - - 48.0 30.2 68.0 - 53.6 50.7
Landry Morrow - 31 28.8 6.0 3.4 4.1 1.2 0.1 2.2 5.8 6.9 - - - - 35.2 30.9 78.0 - 47.5 43.3
Keniah Williams - 32 12.3 5.9 3.4 0.3 0.2 1.8 1.3 5.1 5.3 - - - - 49.4 33.3 53.7 - 51.1 49.7
Madisen Honea - 32 17.3 4.3 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.0 1.2 4.1 2.2 - - - - 37.4 28.6 71.4 - 48.1 45.0
Madi Lumsden - 32 16.8 3.7 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.7 3.6 1.8 - - - - 30.4 27.6 83.9 - 45.5 39.6
Briley Merket - 32 14.1 2.9 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.7 4.4 0.2 - - - - 22.0 18.7 78.9 - 31.5 28.0
Aicha Ndir - 32 8.7 1.3 2.1 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.7 1.8 - - - - 31.5 0.0 32.0 - 32.3 31.5
Blakely Gerber - 19 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 - - - - 60.0 0.0 60.0 - 61.0 60.0
Alexandra Bednarczyk - 28 4.1 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 0.1 - - - - 34.1 0.0 50.0 - 35.0 34.1
Olivia Pedigo - 32 2.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.6 - - - - 35.7 30.8 33.3 - 42.6 42.9
Peyton Stellato - 16 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Abbie Crow - 16 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG