🐻⬇️🏀

American University

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: American University Eagles
Program History
Coach: Kelly Killion

2026-2027 Team Stats (1 games)

65.0
PPG
75.0
Opp
-10.0
Margin
44.9%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
32.0
RPG
18.0
APG
19.0
TO
67.0
Est. poss./game
67.1
Adj PPG
60.5
Adj Opp PPG
#296
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 703 (returning production + recruiting): last season 808, returning -46, transfers -59, freshmen +0 More → 696 (#339) Preseason prior 703 (returning production + recruiting): last season 808, returning -46, transfers -59, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +187 elo More → 768 (#346) HCA +187 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +187 elo More → 884 (#341) HCA +187 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -5.6 (#219) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -5.0 (#211) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.096 (#295) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.1 More → 0.292 (#264) AdjNet +7.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.9 More → 0.290 (#264) AdjNet +7.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 60.5 More → 0.289 (#296) AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 60.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 60.5 More → 0.364 (#269) AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 60.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.261 (#288) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.275 (#284) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 219 | GP 1 More → 760 (#341) RD 219 | GP 1
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.111 (#333) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-05 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 65 - 75
2026-11-13 @ Delaware State Hornets - Preview
2026-11-15 @ Delaware Blue Hens - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Molly Driscoll Molly Driscoll G 1 31.0 23.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 15.0 -5 1 -5.0 -6.6 66.7 66.7 75.0 -0.71 83.6 83.3
Grace Koepke Grace Koepke F 1 25.0 11.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 18.0 2 1 2.0 3.3 80.0 50.0 50.0 0.58 81.4 90.0
Nina Višnjevac Nina Višnjevac G 1 35.0 10.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 12.0 4.0 -10 1 -10.0 -11.7 25.0 25.0 100.0 0.36 38.8 33.3
Lauren Wright Lauren Wright F 1 33.0 9.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 6.0 -1 1 -1.0 -1.2 37.5 0.0 75.0 1.7 46.1 37.5
Madisyn Moore-Nicholson Madisyn Moore-Nicholson G 1 20.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 -16 1 -16.0 -31.2 40.0 50.0 0 -2.3 50.0 50.0
Ellie Pingree Ellie Pingree F 1 11.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -14 1 -14.0 -55.4 66.7 100.0 0 -3.65 83.3 83.3
Elizabeth Archer Elizabeth Archer G 1 11.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 -9 1 -9.0 -30.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 -2.97 53.2 0.0
Mary Bolesky Mary Bolesky G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kayla Greyvensteyn Kayla Greyvensteyn G 1 20.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 1 1 1.0 2.1 0.0 0.0 0 3.23 0.0 0.0
Andrea Jude Andrea Jude G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Lexi Salazar Lexi Salazar G 1 14.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 -3 1 -3.0 -9.2 0 0 0 -0.37 0 0
Ella Gottlieb Ella Gottlieb G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jordyn Hollawell Jordyn Hollawell G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kai Powell Kai Powell G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Toni Smith Toni Smith G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jaymee Wadey Jaymee Wadey F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

49 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Koepke33% Driscoll38% Koepke50% Driscoll67% Driscoll100% Moore-Nicholson33% Koepke50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Višnjevac50% Pingree50% Wright33% Koepke50% Greyvensteyn100% Wright100% Višnjevac67% Greyvensteyn29%
Misses: who misses most here

Molly DriscollGrace KoepkeNina VišnjevacLauren WrightEllie PingreeMadisyn Moore-NicholsonKayla Greyvensteyn

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 3-3 100.0 6 Grace Koepke 33% (2 pts) Madisyn Moore-Nicholson 33% (2 pts) - -
Paint (non-RA) 8-12 66.7 16 Molly Driscoll 38% (6 pts) Lauren Wright 25% (4 pts) Nina Višnjevac 50% (2 misses) Madisyn Moore-Nicholson 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range left 0-2 0.0 0 - - Ellie Pingree 50% (1 misses) Molly Driscoll 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 2-5 40.0 4 Grace Koepke 50% (2 pts) Lauren Wright 50% (2 pts) Lauren Wright 33% (1 misses) Madisyn Moore-Nicholson 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Left corner 3 3-5 60.0 9 Molly Driscoll 67% (6 pts) Ellie Pingree 33% (3 pts) Grace Koepke 50% (1 misses) Madisyn Moore-Nicholson 50% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 1-2 50.0 3 Molly Driscoll 100% (3 pts) - Kayla Greyvensteyn 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 3-5 60.0 9 Madisyn Moore-Nicholson 33% (3 pts) Molly Driscoll 33% (3 pts) Lauren Wright 100% (2 misses) -
Above-break 3 center 2-8 25.0 6 Grace Koepke 50% (3 pts) Nina Višnjevac 50% (3 pts) Nina Višnjevac 67% (4 misses) Lauren Wright 17% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 0-7 0.0 0 - - Kayla Greyvensteyn 29% (2 misses) Nina Višnjevac 29% (2 misses)