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American University

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: American University Eagles
Program History
Coach: Kelly Killion

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

64.0
PPG
73.5
Opp
-9.5
Margin
42.2%
FG%
31.8%
3P%
73.7%
FT%
33.0
RPG
13.0
APG
15.5
TO
66.9
Est. poss./game
66.6
Adj PPG
60.5
Adj Opp PPG
#298
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 703 (returning production + recruiting): last season 808, returning -46, transfers -59, freshmen +0 More → 696 (#339) Preseason prior 703 (returning production + recruiting): last season 808, returning -46, transfers -59, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +179 elo More → 767 (#348) HCA +179 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +178 elo More → 883 (#341) HCA +178 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → -7.0 (#231) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More → -6.4 (#226) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.096 (#292) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.2 More → 0.274 (#279) AdjNet +3.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.1 More → 0.278 (#273) AdjNet +5.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 60.5 More → 0.286 (#298) AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 60.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 60.5 More → 0.361 (#269) AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 60.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.250 (#298) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.263 (#293) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 220 | GP 1 More → 760 (#342) RD 220 | GP 1
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.107 (#335) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-05 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 65 - 75
2026-11-13 @ Delaware State Hornets L 63 - 72
2026-11-15 @ Delaware Blue Hens - Preview
2026-11-18 vs Drexel Dragons - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Molly Driscoll Molly Driscoll G 2 31.0 17.5 2.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 10.5 10.5 -5 1 -5.0 -6.6 61.9 60.0 60.0 -0.78 75.4 76.2
Toni Smith Toni Smith G 1 20.0 13.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 10.0 - - - - 62.5 0 50.0 - 61.1 62.5
Nina Višnjevac Nina Višnjevac G 2 30.0 10.5 4.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 3.0 -10 1 -10.0 -11.7 27.3 18.2 100.0 0.23 41.9 31.8
Lauren Wright Lauren Wright F 2 31.0 7.5 4.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.5 7.0 5.5 -1 1 -1.0 -1.2 35.7 14.3 66.7 1.58 45.1 39.3
Grace Koepke Grace Koepke F 2 20.5 6.0 5.5 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 4.0 9.5 2 1 2.0 3.3 50.0 50.0 50.0 0.45 56.4 56.2
Madisyn Moore-Nicholson Madisyn Moore-Nicholson G 2 24.5 5.5 2.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 2.5 5.5 1.5 -16 1 -16.0 -31.2 36.4 25.0 100.0 -2.4 46.3 40.9
Lexi Salazar Lexi Salazar G 2 19.5 4.5 2.0 3.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.0 6.5 -3 1 -3.0 -9.2 75.0 50.0 100.0 -0.47 92.2 87.5
Ellie Pingree Ellie Pingree F 2 7.5 2.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 -14 1 -14.0 -55.4 66.7 100.0 0 -3.73 83.3 83.3
Mary Bolesky Mary Bolesky G 1 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 25.8 0.0
Kayla Greyvensteyn Kayla Greyvensteyn G 2 16.5 1.5 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.5 1 1 1.0 2.1 20.0 25.0 0 3.11 30.0 30.0
Elizabeth Archer Elizabeth Archer G 2 7.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 0.5 -9 1 -9.0 -30.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 -3.07 25.8 0.0
Andrea Jude Andrea Jude G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Ella Gottlieb Ella Gottlieb G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jordyn Hollawell Jordyn Hollawell G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kai Powell Kai Powell G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jaymee Wadey Jaymee Wadey F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

102 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Smith29% Driscoll44% Koepke50% Višnjevac100% Driscoll50% Driscoll100% Driscoll60% Koepke50% Greyvensteyn50%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Višnjevac30% Višnjevac38% Pingree50% Wright60% Archer67% Moore-Nicholson60% Greyvensteyn50% Wright50% Višnjevac62% Višnjevac38%
Misses: who misses most here

Molly DriscollNina VišnjevacLauren WrightToni SmithGrace KoepkeMadisyn Moore-NicholsonEllie PingreeKayla GreyvensteynElizabeth Archer

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 17-27 63.0 34 Toni Smith 29% (10 pts) Madisyn Moore-Nicholson 18% (6 pts) Nina Višnjevac 30% (3 misses) Toni Smith 30% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 9-17 52.9 18 Molly Driscoll 44% (8 pts) Lauren Wright 22% (4 pts) Nina Višnjevac 38% (3 misses) Molly Driscoll 25% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 0-2 0.0 0 - - Ellie Pingree 50% (1 misses) Molly Driscoll 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 2-7 28.6 4 Grace Koepke 50% (2 pts) Lauren Wright 50% (2 pts) Lauren Wright 60% (3 misses) Madisyn Moore-Nicholson 20% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 1-4 25.0 2 Nina Višnjevac 100% (2 pts) - Elizabeth Archer 67% (2 misses) Madisyn Moore-Nicholson 33% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 4-9 44.4 12 Molly Driscoll 50% (6 pts) Ellie Pingree 25% (3 pts) Madisyn Moore-Nicholson 60% (3 misses) Grace Koepke 20% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 1-3 33.3 3 Molly Driscoll 100% (3 pts) - Kayla Greyvensteyn 50% (1 misses) Molly Driscoll 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 5-13 38.5 15 Molly Driscoll 60% (9 pts) Madisyn Moore-Nicholson 20% (3 pts) Lauren Wright 50% (4 misses) Lexi Salazar 12% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-10 20.0 6 Grace Koepke 50% (3 pts) Nina Višnjevac 50% (3 pts) Nina Višnjevac 62% (5 misses) Grace Koepke 12% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 2-10 20.0 6 Kayla Greyvensteyn 50% (3 pts) Lauren Wright 50% (3 pts) Nina Višnjevac 38% (3 misses) Kayla Greyvensteyn 25% (2 misses)