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American University

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

64.0
PPG
75.0
Opp
-11.0
Margin
42.5%
FG%
34.2%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
30.0
RPG
8.3
APG
13.7
TO
65.4
Est. poss./game
66.1
Adj PPG
68.4
Adj Opp PPG
#209
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 886 (returning production + recruiting): last season 878, returning +102, transfers -74, freshmen -20 More โ†’ 894 (#195) Preseason prior 886 (returning production + recruiting): last season 878, returning +102, transfers -74, freshmen -20
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +212 elo More โ†’ 965 (#184) HCA +212 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +212 elo More โ†’ 989 (#177) HCA +212 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ -8.3 (#267) HCA +2.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ -8.3 (#266) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.258 (#261) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.8 More โ†’ 0.362 (#253) AdjNet -8.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.8 More โ†’ 0.338 (#268) AdjNet -10.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 68.4 More โ†’ 0.432 (#209) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 68.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 68.4 More โ†’ 0.446 (#214) AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 68.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.378 (#237) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.381 (#238) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 183 | GP 3 More โ†’ 943 (#198) RD 183 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.342 (#237) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 53 - 79
2026-11-06 @ Clemson Tigers L 73 - 82
2026-11-11 @ Drexel Dragons W 66 - 64
2026-11-15 vs Harvard Crimson - Preview
2026-11-19 vs Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Madden Collins Madden Collins G 3 31.3 22.0 3.7 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.3 14.3 11.0 -16 3 -5.3 -6.8 55.8 40.0 82.4 -0.66 65.4 60.5
Julen Iturbe Julen Iturbe F 3 29.0 9.3 7.0 0.7 1.0 0.0 1.3 7.7 9.0 4 3 1.3 1.9 39.1 31.6 100.0 0.9 56.5 52.2
Dean Hogans Dean Hogans G 3 12.3 7.0 2.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 6.3 3.3 -17 3 -5.7 -18.8 36.8 38.5 100.0 -1.05 52.8 50.0
Greg Jones Greg Jones F 3 26.3 7.0 3.0 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 5.0 7.0 2 3 0.7 1.0 33.3 40.0 90.0 0.37 54.1 40.0
Wyatt Nausadis Wyatt Nausadis G 3 20.7 5.7 1.0 1.7 1.3 0.0 1.3 6.3 2.0 -33 3 -11.0 -21.3 26.3 31.2 66.7 -1.86 41.8 39.5
Eric Michaels Eric Michaels F 3 22.0 5.0 3.3 0.7 0.0 2.0 2.0 4.3 4.7 11 3 3.7 6.7 46.2 0 50.0 0.64 48.0 46.2
Matt Mayock Matt Mayock F 3 23.7 4.0 3.0 1.3 0.7 0.3 1.3 2.7 5.3 -6 3 -2.0 -3.4 50.0 57.1 0 -1.27 75.0 75.0
Chris Eagan Chris Eagan F 3 6.3 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.7 0.3 -19 3 -6.3 -39.3 80.0 0.0 0 -1.86 80.0 80.0
Noah Jones Noah Jones F 1 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1 1 -1.0 -30.4 0 0 50.0 -0.24 56.8 0
Merrick Smith Merrick Smith F 3 10.0 1.0 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.0 2.7 -27 3 -9.0 -37.8 33.3 0 25.0 -1.24 31.5 33.3
Jack Anderson Jack Anderson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Alexander Bryant Alexander Bryant F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Matthew Casey Matthew Casey G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Carson Mcdonald Carson Mcdonald F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DJ Sandi DJ Sandi G 3 7.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.3 -17 3 -5.7 -27.4 0 0 0 -0.98 0 0
Kamran Prince Kamran Prince G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kade Sebastian Kade Sebastian G 3 10.3 0.0 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 1.7 -1.0 -46 3 -15.3 -57.6 0.0 0.0 0 -1.65 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former American University players in G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last American University game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Johnny O'Neil 2020-23 G League Birmingham Squadron 0 - - - - 11-08 3 pts, 8 reb, 2 ast Play-In 1 GP, 3.0 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 2.0 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-08 Johnny O'Neil G League Play-In Birmingham Squadron @ Austin Spurs 22 3 8 2 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

153 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Collins58% Collins36% Iturbe50% Collins100% Collins67% Hogans43% Jones25% Nausadis38% Iturbe50% Hogans40%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Collins36% Michaels25% Collins100% Nausadis100% Collins50% Iturbe50% Hogans33% Nausadis25% Eagan14% Iturbe30%
Misses: who misses most here

Madden CollinsJulen IturbeDean HogansWyatt NausadisEric MichaelsGreg JonesChris Eagan

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 19-33 57.6 38 Madden Collins 58% (22 pts) Eric Michaels 21% (8 pts) Madden Collins 36% (5 misses) Greg Jones 21% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 14-30 46.7 28 Madden Collins 36% (10 pts) Chris Eagan 14% (4 pts) Eric Michaels 25% (4 misses) Greg Jones 25% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 2-5 40.0 4 Julen Iturbe 50% (2 pts) Madden Collins 50% (2 pts) Madden Collins 100% (3 misses) -
Mid-range center 1-2 50.0 2 Madden Collins 100% (2 pts) - Wyatt Nausadis 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 3-7 42.9 6 Madden Collins 67% (4 pts) Julen Iturbe 33% (2 pts) Madden Collins 50% (2 misses) Dean Hogans 25% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 7-11 63.6 21 Dean Hogans 43% (9 pts) Julen Iturbe 29% (6 pts) Julen Iturbe 50% (2 misses) Greg Jones 25% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 4-7 57.1 12 Greg Jones 25% (3 pts) Julen Iturbe 25% (3 pts) Dean Hogans 33% (1 misses) Julen Iturbe 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 8-24 33.3 24 Wyatt Nausadis 38% (9 pts) Julen Iturbe 25% (6 pts) Wyatt Nausadis 25% (4 misses) Dean Hogans 19% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-9 22.2 6 Julen Iturbe 50% (3 pts) Matt Mayock 50% (3 pts) Chris Eagan 14% (1 misses) Dean Hogans 14% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 5-25 20.0 15 Dean Hogans 40% (6 pts) Madden Collins 40% (6 pts) Julen Iturbe 30% (6 misses) Wyatt Nausadis 25% (5 misses)