American University
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 894 (#195) | Preseason prior 886 (returning production + recruiting): last season 878, returning +102, transfers -74, freshmen -20 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 965 (#184) | HCA +212 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 989 (#177) | HCA +212 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -8.3 (#267) | HCA +2.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -8.3 (#266) | HCA +2.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.258 (#261) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.362 (#253) | AdjNet -8.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.338 (#268) | AdjNet -10.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.432 (#209) | AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.446 (#214) | AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.378 (#237) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.381 (#238) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 943 (#198) | RD 183 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.342 (#237) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Cincinnati Bearcats | L | 53 - 79 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Clemson Tigers | L | 73 - 82 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | Drexel Dragons | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2026-11-15 | vs | Harvard Crimson | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | vs | Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Madden Collins
|
G | 3 | 31.3 | 22.0 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 14.3 | 11.0 | -16 | 3 | -5.3 | -6.8 | 55.8 | 40.0 | 82.4 | -0.66 | 65.4 | 60.5 |
Julen Iturbe
|
F | 3 | 29.0 | 9.3 | 7.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 7.7 | 9.0 | 4 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 39.1 | 31.6 | 100.0 | 0.9 | 56.5 | 52.2 |
Dean Hogans
|
G | 3 | 12.3 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 6.3 | 3.3 | -17 | 3 | -5.7 | -18.8 | 36.8 | 38.5 | 100.0 | -1.05 | 52.8 | 50.0 |
Greg Jones
|
F | 3 | 26.3 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 2 | 3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 90.0 | 0.37 | 54.1 | 40.0 |
Wyatt Nausadis
|
G | 3 | 20.7 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 2.0 | -33 | 3 | -11.0 | -21.3 | 26.3 | 31.2 | 66.7 | -1.86 | 41.8 | 39.5 |
Eric Michaels
|
F | 3 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 11 | 3 | 3.7 | 6.7 | 46.2 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.64 | 48.0 | 46.2 |
Matt Mayock
|
F | 3 | 23.7 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 5.3 | -6 | 3 | -2.0 | -3.4 | 50.0 | 57.1 | 0 | -1.27 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Chris Eagan
|
F | 3 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | -19 | 3 | -6.3 | -39.3 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.86 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
Noah Jones
|
F | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1 | 1 | -1.0 | -30.4 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.24 | 56.8 | 0 |
Merrick Smith
|
F | 3 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.7 | -27 | 3 | -9.0 | -37.8 | 33.3 | 0 | 25.0 | -1.24 | 31.5 | 33.3 |
Jack Anderson
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Alexander Bryant
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Matthew Casey
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Carson Mcdonald
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
DJ Sandi
|
G | 3 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -17 | 3 | -5.7 | -27.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.98 | 0 | 0 |
Kamran Prince
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Kade Sebastian
|
G | 3 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | -1.0 | -46 | 3 | -15.3 | -57.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.65 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former American University players in G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last American University game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny O'Neil | 2020-23 | G League | Birmingham Squadron | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-08 3 pts, 8 reb, 2 ast Play-In | 1 GP, 3.0 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 2.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Johnny O'Neil | G League Play-In | Birmingham Squadron | @ Austin Spurs | 22 | 3 | 8 | 2 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
153 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Madden CollinsJulen IturbeDean HogansWyatt NausadisEric MichaelsGreg JonesChris Eagan
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 19-33 | 57.6 | 38 | Madden Collins 58% (22 pts) | Eric Michaels 21% (8 pts) | Madden Collins 36% (5 misses) | Greg Jones 21% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 14-30 | 46.7 | 28 | Madden Collins 36% (10 pts) | Chris Eagan 14% (4 pts) | Eric Michaels 25% (4 misses) | Greg Jones 25% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-5 | 40.0 | 4 | Julen Iturbe 50% (2 pts) | Madden Collins 50% (2 pts) | Madden Collins 100% (3 misses) | - |
| Mid-range center | 1-2 | 50.0 | 2 | Madden Collins 100% (2 pts) | - | Wyatt Nausadis 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 3-7 | 42.9 | 6 | Madden Collins 67% (4 pts) | Julen Iturbe 33% (2 pts) | Madden Collins 50% (2 misses) | Dean Hogans 25% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 7-11 | 63.6 | 21 | Dean Hogans 43% (9 pts) | Julen Iturbe 29% (6 pts) | Julen Iturbe 50% (2 misses) | Greg Jones 25% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 4-7 | 57.1 | 12 | Greg Jones 25% (3 pts) | Julen Iturbe 25% (3 pts) | Dean Hogans 33% (1 misses) | Julen Iturbe 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 8-24 | 33.3 | 24 | Wyatt Nausadis 38% (9 pts) | Julen Iturbe 25% (6 pts) | Wyatt Nausadis 25% (4 misses) | Dean Hogans 19% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-9 | 22.2 | 6 | Julen Iturbe 50% (3 pts) | Matt Mayock 50% (3 pts) | Chris Eagan 14% (1 misses) | Dean Hogans 14% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 5-25 | 20.0 | 15 | Dean Hogans 40% (6 pts) | Madden Collins 40% (6 pts) | Julen Iturbe 30% (6 misses) | Wyatt Nausadis 25% (5 misses) |