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American University Eagles

Also known as: American University Eagles
Program History

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 810 (#621) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 956 (#314) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More → +14.9 (#232) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.599 (#140) -

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-20 vs Delaware Blue Hens L 38 - 64
2005-11-25 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 53 - 64
2005-11-26 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 74 - 72
2005-12-01 vs UMBC Retrievers L 56 - 68
2005-12-03 vs Wagner Seahawks W 71 - 58
2005-12-06 @ Furman Paladins L 48 - 61
2005-12-10 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 70 - 68
2005-12-12 @ Howard Bison L 65 - 74
2005-12-22 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 60 - 64
2005-12-29 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks L 54 - 68
2005-12-30 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 60 - 64
2006-01-03 @ Liberty Flames L 42 - 66
2006-01-07 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 41 - 60
2006-01-10 vs Bucknell Bison L 43 - 66
2006-01-14 @ Colgate Raiders W 74 - 63
2006-01-17 vs Army Black Knights L 66 - 75
2006-01-21 @ Holy Cross Crusaders L 55 - 59
2006-01-24 @ Navy Midshipmen L 60 - 70
2006-01-28 vs Lafayette Leopards W 75 - 74
2006-02-04 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 75 - 68
2006-02-07 @ Bucknell Bison L 38 - 73
2006-02-12 vs Colgate Raiders L 63 - 72
2006-02-14 @ Army Black Knights L 49 - 73
2006-02-18 vs Holy Cross Crusaders L 55 - 74
2006-02-21 vs Navy Midshipmen W 89 - 81
2006-02-25 @ Lafayette Leopards L 66 - 73
2006-03-02 @ Holy Cross Crusaders L 49 - 57

2006 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Ingram A. Ingram G 9 33.4 15.1 5.3 2.4 0.9 0.1 2.1 12.6 9.2 - - - 38.1 38.9 80.6 - 52.8 47.3
A. Eitutavicius A. Eitutavicius - 9 21.8 11.0 2.7 1.4 0.6 0.0 2.3 7.9 5.4 - - - 40.8 45.0 76.7 - 58.8 53.5
B. Billbe B. Billbe - 9 21.3 8.4 4.1 1.2 0.8 0.6 2.0 6.3 6.8 - - - 56.1 0.0 85.7 - 60.2 56.1
B. Harris B. Harris - 8 21.5 8.1 4.1 0.5 0.2 0.8 1.6 4.8 7.4 - - - 63.2 0 70.8 - 66.9 63.2
D. Mercer D. Mercer - 9 34.9 6.6 2.4 4.3 1.0 0.0 2.8 6.4 5.1 - - - 36.2 20.0 73.7 - 44.5 38.8
G. Carr G. Carr - 8 9.1 6.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.0 3.9 2.8 - - - 54.8 52.2 60.0 - 73.8 74.2
L. Lekavicius L. Lekavicius - 9 18.7 5.0 4.0 3.8 2.0 0.1 1.7 3.9 9.3 - - - 48.6 33.3 76.9 - 55.3 50.0
J. Nichols J. Nichols - 9 16.6 4.1 4.1 0.3 0.3 1.6 1.0 2.8 6.7 - - - 44.0 0 78.9 - 55.5 44.0
T. Lay T. Lay - 7 13.4 2.9 2.9 0.4 0.9 0.0 0.9 2.6 3.6 - - - 38.9 0 50.0 - 43.0 38.9
B. Gilmore B. Gilmore - 9 11.7 2.7 2.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.1 2.9 2.1 - - - 38.5 22.2 50.0 - 43.2 42.3
S. Lewis S. Lewis - 5 5.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.4 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 25.0 - 39.9 50.0
C. Weinstein C. Weinstein - 2 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
R. Penny R. Penny - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
G. Garris G. Garris - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG