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American Int'l

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: American Int'l
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 846 (#404) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 793 (#523) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 856 (#566) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -7.4 (#274) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -6.4 (#415) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.209 (#483) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +21.1 More → 0.918 (#186) NetEff +21.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.1 More → 0.259 (#514) AdjNet -9.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.1 More → 0.257 (#521) AdjNet -9.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 79.1 More → 0.349 (#516) AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 79.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 72.3 More → 0.367 (#484) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 72.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.296 (#471) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.300 (#478) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 23 More → 795 (#453) RD 103 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Jefferson L 66 - 77
2025-11-15 vs Holy Family L 75 - 86
2025-11-19 @ Pace L 51 - 62
2025-11-22 vs Felician L 61 - 78
2025-11-25 vs Southern Conn. St. L 49 - 61
2025-11-30 vs Caldwell W 75 - 72
2025-12-03 @ Adelphi L 44 - 60
2025-12-06 vs Pace L 61 - 71
2025-12-13 vs Franklin Pierce W 78 - 76
2025-12-18 @ Palm Beach Atl. L 63 - 88
2025-12-19 vs Saint Leo L 66 - 85
2025-12-31 @ Bloomfield Col. L 85 - 91
2026-01-04 @ Southern N.H. L 73 - 85
2026-01-07 vs Queens (NY) L 69 - 72
2026-01-10 vs Assumption L 80 - 91
2026-01-14 @ Bentley L 45 - 79
2026-01-17 vs Southern Conn. St. W 65 - 57
2026-01-21 vs Saint Michael's L 57 - 68
2026-01-24 @ Saint Anselm L 61 - 76
2026-01-28 @ Pace W 63 - 59
2026-01-31 vs Southern N.H. W 73 - 72
2026-02-04 @ Franklin Pierce L 64 - 68
2026-02-07 @ Assumption L 65 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Coleman Hopson - 21 25.7 11.5 3.2 1.6 1.1 0.1 1.8 10.6 5.1 -30 -1.4 -9.2 40.8 33.3 62.8 -1.7 50.0 48.2
Aguibou Balde - 22 30.7 11.3 6.3 2.1 1.2 0.6 2.2 8.7 10.7 -8 -0.4 -1.7 46.6 40.0 71.6 0.89 54.2 48.7
Tony Felder - 23 27.4 11.0 3.3 3.5 1.3 0.0 1.9 10.4 6.9 -23 -1.0 -5.2 35.1 27.6 84.2 2.17 47.9 42.9
Chase Nelson - 23 24.3 7.8 2.2 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.9 7.5 3.3 -70 -3.0 -17.3 37.2 31.2 88.9 -0.42 50.9 49.7
Aleksy Walczak - 23 22.9 6.5 2.4 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.9 5.7 4.1 -71 -3.2 -22.3 40.0 26.2 46.2 -3.23 47.3 46.2
Blair Thomas - 19 11.1 5.7 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 5.3 1.6 39 2.2 33.2 38.6 36.9 58.3 -0.85 51.3 50.5
Se'yphon Triplett - 5 16.6 5.4 3.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.2 5.2 3.2 -7 -2.3 -15.6 38.5 33.3 80.0 -0.61 47.9 44.2
Will Davis - 13 19.4 3.8 4.2 0.6 0.8 1.1 0.9 2.7 6.9 -12 -1.1 -5.4 54.3 0.0 66.7 2.59 58.2 54.3
Amadou Diallo - 22 12.5 3.6 2.1 1.7 1.1 0.0 1.7 4.4 2.5 -7 -0.3 -5.0 36.1 13.6 28.6 -2.69 37.2 37.6
Pierce Prendergast - 18 20.2 3.4 3.1 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.8 2.9 4.7 25 1.5 14.1 34.0 24.1 85.7 -4.13 49.0 40.6
Abdullah Mahamed - 23 15.3 2.8 2.7 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 2.1 3.6 -110 -4.6 -49.9 54.2 0.0 54.2 -3.75 55.5 54.2
Jorjan Flores - 12 9.4 1.5 1.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.3 1.0 20 1.8 210.5 28.6 16.7 25.0 -0.23 30.2 30.4
Denilson Fanfan - 6 1.1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 125.0 125.0
Julian Chatman - 3 1.6 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 8 4.0 270.4 50.0 0 0 0.08 50.0 50.0
Miles Smith - 2 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 34 1.6 7.3 0.0 0 0 0.2 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG