Alvernia
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1012 (#227) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1020 (#213) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.6 (#277) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.504 (#447) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.392 (#273) | NetEff -3.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.309 (#445) | AdjNet -7.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.286 (#452) | AdjNet -7.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.396 (#444) | AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 65.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Immaculata | L | 53 - 77 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Ursinus | L | 40 - 75 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Stockton | W | 69 - 62 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Wm. Paterson | W | 62 - 61 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Delaware Valley | W | 62 - 55 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Franklin & Marshall | L | 47 - 65 |
| 2024-12-02 | @ | Penn St. Brandywine | W | 84 - 61 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Muhlenberg | L | 44 - 54 |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | McDaniel | W | 57 - 48 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Penn St. Harrisburg | L | 57 - 66 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Wilkes | W | 60 - 39 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | York (PA) | W | 59 - 51 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Albright | W | 84 - 69 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Messiah | L | 24 - 71 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Widener | L | 72 - 81 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Eastern | W | 79 - 77 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Stevenson | W | 74 - 73 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Hood | W | 63 - 59 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Albright | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Messiah | L | 50 - 70 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | York (PA) | L | 43 - 70 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Eastern | W | 70 - 50 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Widener | L | 49 - 64 |
| 2025-02-18 | vs | Hood | W | 58 - 50 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Stevenson | L | 55 - 62 |
| 2025-03-08 | vs | McDaniel | L | 39 - 52 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Burke | - | 26 | 25.9 | 10.8 | 6.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 10.3 | 7.0 | -14 | -0.4 | -0.5 | 38.8 | 29.2 | 66.2 | 0.44 | 46.4 | 42.7 |
| Kylie Bradford | - | 25 | 24.6 | 9.6 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 7.5 | 8.9 | 28 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 38.8 | 12.5 | 68.4 | 0.92 | 48.4 | 39.1 |
| Jennah Degout | - | 5 | 25.2 | 9.6 | 8.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 11.4 | 7.8 | -26 | -0.8 | -1.0 | 38.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.01 | 39.7 | 38.6 |
| Paige O'brien | - | 5 | 22.2 | 8.0 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 7.4 | 4.0 | -107 | -4.3 | -6.2 | 35.1 | 37.0 | 50.0 | -0.66 | 49.4 | 48.6 |
| Paige O'#393abrien | - | 1 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 28.6 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Jordyn Ingelido | - | 26 | 30.6 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 6.0 | 3.1 | -35 | -1.0 | -1.1 | 35.5 | 21.7 | 64.3 | 0.18 | 41.2 | 38.7 |
| Ryleigh Poole | - | 26 | 30.5 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 2.6 | -64 | -1.8 | -2.2 | 27.6 | 31.1 | 73.3 | -0.65 | 37.8 | 35.4 |
| Aaliyah Ferrer | - | 23 | 9.4 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 5.1 | -0.4 | -58 | -2.6 | -6.2 | 23.9 | 24.1 | 50.0 | -0.4 | 33.3 | 32.9 |
| Kyla Reed | - | 25 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 0.1 | -49 | -1.5 | -3.1 | 31.9 | 28.1 | 50.0 | -0.89 | 38.2 | 36.8 |
| Nikki Etchison | - | 22 | 16.6 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 3.0 | -71 | -3.4 | -6.2 | 25.8 | 20.0 | 60.5 | -0.53 | 35.6 | 26.6 |
| Lilliana Knudsen | - | 13 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 25.0 | 50.0 | - | 30.4 | 27.8 |
| Sarah Arment | - | 25 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | -17 | -1.1 | -6.8 | 13.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.03 | 13.3 | 13.3 |
| Makayla Johnson | - | 13 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 23 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Meghan Ruth | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -16 | -1.8 | -2.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.36 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG