Alvernia
Model Outputs
2015-2016
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 885 (#562) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 963 (#408) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.7 (#383) | HCA +1.4 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-18 | @ | Misericordia | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2015-11-20 | vs | Houghton | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-21 | @ | Oswego St. | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-24 | vs | Penn St.-Berks | W | 95 - 36 |
| 2015-11-30 | vs | Gwynedd Mercy | L | 59 - 67 |
| 2015-12-02 | @ | Lycoming | L | 48 - 63 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ | Messiah | L | 52 - 70 |
| 2015-12-17 | @ | Drew | W | 54 - 49 |
| 2015-12-20 | @ | Wash. & Lee | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-21 | vs | WPI | L | 51 - 67 |
| 2015-12-30 | vs | Penn St. Harrisburg | L | 68 - 77 |
| 2016-01-02 | vs | Lebanon Valley | L | 55 - 73 |
| 2016-01-06 | @ | Hood | W | 79 - 77 |
| 2016-01-09 | @ | Widener | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-13 | vs | Arcadia | W | 56 - 44 |
| 2016-01-16 | vs | Stevenson | L | 58 - 73 |
| 2016-01-20 | @ | Albright | L | 61 - 79 |
| 2016-01-22 | vs | Widener | L | 69 - 70 |
| 2016-01-27 | vs | Lycoming | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-30 | vs | Messiah | L | 38 - 72 |
| 2016-02-03 | vs | Hood | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ | Lebanon Valley | L | 25 - 69 |
| 2016-02-10 | @ | Arcadia | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-16 | vs | Albright | L | 49 - 95 |
| 2016-02-20 | @ | Stevenson | L | 62 - 80 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.