Alvernia
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1081 (#75) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1117 (#74) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.4 (#170) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.606 (#395) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.568 (#253) | NetEff +2.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.396 (#402) | AdjNet -3.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.386 (#402) | AdjNet -4.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.441 (#400) | AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 78.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Juniata | W | 89 - 71 |
| 2024-11-10 | vs | Penn St.-Mont Alto | W | 86 - 70 |
| 2024-11-11 | vs | Penn St.-Berks | W | 101 - 71 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Rutgers-Camden | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2024-12-01 | @ | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 69 - 68 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Gwynedd Mercy | L | 90 - 91 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Misericordia | W | 78 - 64 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Keystone | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | Spalding | W | 63 - 56 |
| 2024-12-20 | vs | Ohio Wesleyan | L | 66 - 74 |
| 2024-12-28 | vs | Notre Dame (MD) | W | 90 - 71 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | York (PA) | L | 58 - 80 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Albright | W | 79 - 61 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Messiah | W | 81 - 56 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Widener | L | 67 - 79 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Eastern | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Stevenson | W | 68 - 52 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Hood | L | 79 - 94 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Albright | L | 84 - 85 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Messiah | W | 84 - 62 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | York (PA) | L | 65 - 70 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Eastern | W | 94 - 78 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Widener | W | 83 - 77 |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Hood | L | 88 - 90 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Stevenson | L | 53 - 94 |
| 2025-02-26 | @ | Albright | W | 89 - 81 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | York (PA) | L | 67 - 82 |
| 2025-03-08 | @ | New Jersey City | L | 57 - 67 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Cipalla | - | 2 | 36.5 | 21.0 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 15.0 | 19.5 | 44 | 2.8 | 5.6 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 63.2 | 1.01 | 54.7 | 50.0 |
| Elijah Hamilton | - | 25 | 33.9 | 15.2 | 8.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 11.0 | 13.4 | -104 | -5.8 | -11.4 | 53.3 | 40.0 | 75.2 | -0.25 | 59.1 | 54.7 |
| Tate Landis | - | 2 | 29.5 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 10.5 | 27 | 1.2 | 3.6 | 61.1 | 54.5 | 40.0 | 1.13 | 74.3 | 77.8 |
| Jakob Kelly | - | 24 | 33.4 | 13.0 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 10.1 | 13.9 | -42 | -3.0 | -5.4 | 45.7 | 39.0 | 84.7 | 0.48 | 57.0 | 51.9 |
| Chris Henderson | - | 1 | 21.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | -23 | -1.0 | -6.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0.22 | 55.3 | 60.0 |
| Janye Stanley | - | 23 | 19.8 | 11.3 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 7.7 | 9.2 | -19 | -1.1 | -3.2 | 47.8 | 41.7 | 83.3 | 0.94 | 62.8 | 57.6 |
| Robert Cottrell | - | 24 | 27.0 | 11.1 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 8.5 | 6.8 | -93 | -6.6 | -12.9 | 45.1 | 39.1 | 81.2 | -0.49 | 57.0 | 51.7 |
| Jackson Mascari | - | 2 | 35.5 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 13.0 | 8.5 | 36 | 2.4 | 4.4 | 30.8 | 15.4 | 100.0 | 0.62 | 39.6 | 34.6 |
| Nate Townsend | - | 1 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 15 | 2.1 | 48.6 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | -0.5 | 69.4 | 80.0 |
| Robert Mullan | - | 21 | 24.2 | 9.1 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.0 | 6.6 | -23 | -2.3 | -6.6 | 42.2 | 37.3 | 82.4 | -0.01 | 56.4 | 50.7 |
| Jordan Spencer | - | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 17 | 1.2 | 10.0 | 80.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Jacob Stoudt | - | 24 | 20.4 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 5.2 | 4.1 | -101 | -9.2 | -20.4 | 41.6 | 41.2 | 63.6 | -0.17 | 58.9 | 58.4 |
| Rasheem Dearry | - | 13 | 14.1 | 6.0 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 5.1 | 3.5 | -1 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 42.4 | 24.1 | 93.8 | 0.27 | 53.4 | 47.7 |
| Kareem Diaz | - | 23 | 13.0 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 4.3 | 3.8 | -58 | -8.3 | -23.3 | 45.5 | 37.2 | 68.0 | 0.06 | 55.9 | 53.5 |
| Mason Pulliam | - | 1 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -1.0 | -32 | -2.3 | -18.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.02 | 38.8 | 33.3 |
| Larry Onabanwo | - | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -35 | -2.5 | -10.8 | 25.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.18 | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Ben Troyer | - | 1 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 55 | 3.7 | 35.4 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.33 | 75.8 | 0 |
| Pat Gilhool | - | 2 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | -19 | -2.4 | -13.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.02 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Raheem Williams | - | 21 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 5 | 1.2 | 35.3 | 46.7 | 25.0 | 75.0 | -0.8 | 59.2 | 50.0 |
| Naji Hamilton | - | 22 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.21 | 50.3 | 47.2 |
| Saleem Hudson | - | 20 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 5 | 2.5 | 85.1 | 30.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -1.11 | 33.5 | 32.5 |
| Derrick Golden | - | 21 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 23.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 22.9 | 23.8 |
| Nick Schroeder | - | 2 | 21.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 36 | 2.0 | 12.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.51 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Austin Mbuyi | - | 20 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 34.0 | 20.0 |
| Blaize Eldridge | - | 20 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 12.5 | 14.3 | 0 | - | 18.8 | 18.8 |
| William Fisher | - | 21 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.5 | 72.7 | 14.3 | 20.0 | 0 | -1.45 | 21.4 | 21.4 |
| Ian Hendrix | - | 20 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Kai James | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.58 | 0 | 0 |
| Cayden Laster | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Wesley Nyambi | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Damon Rawls | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Washington | - | 21 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.0 | -33 | -1.7 | -8.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kyle Rhoden | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -9 | -1.0 | -7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Brown Jr. | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 2.0 | 41.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.95 | 0 | 0 |
| Dalton Clark | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| James Debus | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Dorean Devine | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Chaz Davis | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mickeel Allen | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -16 | -8.0 | -12.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Jameel Burton Jr. | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 59 | 3.9 | 7.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.39 | 0 | 0 |
| Aleks Smith | - | 2 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -7 | -0.5 | -37.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.71 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Colin Treude | - | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -1 | -0.1 | -11.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.99 | 0 | 0 |
| Simon Dlugi | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Drew Pape | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| David Weaver | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG