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Alvernia

Also known as: Alvernia
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1081 (#75) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1117 (#74) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -3.4 (#170) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.606 (#395) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.5 More → 0.568 (#253) NetEff +2.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.7 More → 0.396 (#402) AdjNet -3.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.0 More → 0.386 (#402) AdjNet -4.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 78.1 More → 0.441 (#400) AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 78.1

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Juniata W 89 - 71
2024-11-10 vs Penn St.-Mont Alto W 86 - 70
2024-11-11 vs Penn St.-Berks W 101 - 71
2024-11-19 @ Rutgers-Camden L 64 - 69
2024-12-01 @ Penn St. Harrisburg W 69 - 68
2024-12-04 vs Gwynedd Mercy L 90 - 91
2024-12-07 @ Misericordia W 78 - 64
2024-12-14 @ Keystone W 81 - 69
2024-12-19 @ Spalding W 63 - 56
2024-12-20 vs Ohio Wesleyan L 66 - 74
2024-12-28 vs Notre Dame (MD) W 90 - 71
2025-01-08 vs York (PA) L 58 - 80
2025-01-11 @ Albright W 79 - 61
2025-01-15 vs Messiah W 81 - 56
2025-01-18 @ Widener L 67 - 79
2025-01-22 @ Eastern W 75 - 71
2025-01-25 vs Stevenson W 68 - 52
2025-01-29 vs Hood L 79 - 94
2025-02-01 vs Albright L 84 - 85
2025-02-05 @ Messiah W 84 - 62
2025-02-08 @ York (PA) L 65 - 70
2025-02-12 vs Eastern W 94 - 78
2025-02-15 vs Widener W 83 - 77
2025-02-18 @ Hood L 88 - 90
2025-02-22 @ Stevenson L 53 - 94
2025-02-26 @ Albright W 89 - 81
2025-03-01 @ York (PA) L 67 - 82
2025-03-08 @ New Jersey City L 57 - 67

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kai Cipalla - 2 36.5 21.0 9.5 3.0 1.5 1.0 1.5 15.0 19.5 44 2.8 5.6 50.0 0.0 63.2 1.01 54.7 50.0
Elijah Hamilton - 25 33.9 15.2 8.4 0.9 0.4 1.3 1.8 11.0 13.4 -104 -5.8 -11.4 53.3 40.0 75.2 -0.25 59.1 54.7
Tate Landis - 2 29.5 15.0 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 10.5 27 1.2 3.6 61.1 54.5 40.0 1.13 74.3 77.8
Jakob Kelly - 24 33.4 13.0 7.7 3.8 1.4 0.4 2.2 10.1 13.9 -42 -3.0 -5.4 45.7 39.0 84.7 0.48 57.0 51.9
Chris Henderson - 1 21.0 13.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 9.0 -23 -1.0 -6.7 50.0 50.0 25.0 0.22 55.3 60.0
Janye Stanley - 23 19.8 11.3 5.2 1.0 0.4 0.6 1.5 7.7 9.2 -19 -1.1 -3.2 47.8 41.7 83.3 0.94 62.8 57.6
Robert Cottrell - 24 27.0 11.1 2.7 2.3 0.9 0.2 2.0 8.5 6.8 -93 -6.6 -12.9 45.1 39.1 81.2 -0.49 57.0 51.7
Jackson Mascari - 2 35.5 11.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 13.0 8.5 36 2.4 4.4 30.8 15.4 100.0 0.62 39.6 34.6
Nate Townsend - 1 13.0 10.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 7.0 15 2.1 48.6 80.0 0.0 40.0 -0.5 69.4 80.0
Robert Mullan - 21 24.2 9.1 2.8 2.8 0.7 0.0 1.8 7.0 6.6 -23 -2.3 -6.6 42.2 37.3 82.4 -0.01 56.4 50.7
Jordan Spencer - 1 19.0 8.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 17 1.2 10.0 80.0 0 0 0.08 80.0 80.0
Jacob Stoudt - 24 20.4 6.4 2.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.7 5.2 4.1 -101 -9.2 -20.4 41.6 41.2 63.6 -0.17 58.9 58.4
Rasheem Dearry - 13 14.1 6.0 2.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.5 5.1 3.5 -1 -0.2 -0.5 42.4 24.1 93.8 0.27 53.4 47.7
Kareem Diaz - 23 13.0 5.3 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 4.3 3.8 -58 -8.3 -23.3 45.5 37.2 68.0 0.06 55.9 53.5
Mason Pulliam - 1 20.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 -1.0 -32 -2.3 -18.0 33.3 0.0 100.0 -0.02 38.8 33.3
Larry Onabanwo - 1 19.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 -35 -2.5 -10.8 25.0 0 100.0 0.18 41.0 25.0
Ben Troyer - 1 11.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 55 3.7 35.4 0 0 66.7 0.33 75.8 0
Pat Gilhool - 2 10.0 1.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.5 -19 -2.4 -13.6 50.0 50.0 0 -0.02 75.0 75.0
Raheem Williams - 21 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 5 1.2 35.3 46.7 25.0 75.0 -0.8 59.2 50.0
Naji Hamilton - 22 3.3 0.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.5 1 0.2 1.5 44.4 33.3 100.0 -0.21 50.3 47.2
Saleem Hudson - 20 2.4 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.6 5 2.5 85.1 30.0 25.0 50.0 -1.11 33.5 32.5
Derrick Golden - 21 3.8 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.0 0.8 - - - 23.8 0.0 0.0 - 22.9 23.8
Nick Schroeder - 2 21.5 0.5 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.5 36 2.0 12.4 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.51 17.4 0.0
Austin Mbuyi - 20 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 - - - 20.0 0 100.0 - 34.0 20.0
Blaize Eldridge - 20 1.3 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 -0.1 - - - 12.5 14.3 0 - 18.8 18.8
William Fisher - 21 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 1 0.5 72.7 14.3 20.0 0 -1.45 21.4 21.4
Ian Hendrix - 20 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Kai James - 12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 1.0 4.3 0 0 0 -0.58 0 0
Cayden Laster - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Wesley Nyambi - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Damon Rawls - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Anthony Washington - 21 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.0 -33 -1.7 -8.3 0.0 0.0 0 0.17 0.0 0.0
Kyle Rhoden - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -9 -1.0 -7.0 0 0 0 -0.11 0 0
Anthony Brown Jr. - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 2.0 41.0 0 0 0 -0.95 0 0
Dalton Clark - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
James Debus - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Dorean Devine - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Chaz Davis - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Mickeel Allen - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -16 -8.0 -12.7 0 0 0 -0.03 0 0
Jameel Burton Jr. - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 59 3.9 7.9 0 0 0 1.39 0 0
Aleks Smith - 2 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7 -0.5 -37.3 0 0 0.0 -0.71 0.0 0
Colin Treude - 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -1 -0.1 -11.2 0 0 0 -0.99 0 0
Simon Dlugi - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Drew Pape - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
David Weaver - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG