Alvernia
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1081 (#75) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1117 (#74) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.1 (#150) | HCA +2.5 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-10 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | W | 95 - 68 |
| 2023-11-18 | @ | Wilkes | L | 76 - 83 |
| 2023-11-28 | @ | Neumann | W | 73 - 66 |
| 2023-12-02 | vs | DeSales | L | 63 - 68 |
| 2023-12-09 | @ | Gwynedd Mercy | W | 100 - 87 |
| 2023-12-14 | @ | Keystone | W | 102 - 81 |
| 2023-12-16 | vs | Kean | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2023-12-18 | vs | Penn St. Harrisburg | L | 71 - 76 |
| 2023-12-29 | @ | Penn St.-Behrend | W | 71 - 61 |
| 2023-12-30 | @ | Moravian | W | 91 - 83 |
| 2024-01-03 | @ | York (PA) | W | 82 - 76 |
| 2024-01-06 | vs | Albright | W | 88 - 83 |
| 2024-01-10 | @ | Messiah | W | 89 - 85 |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | Widener | L | 65 - 86 |
| 2024-01-17 | vs | Eastern | L | 78 - 100 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Stevenson | W | 87 - 71 |
| 2024-01-24 | @ | Hood | L | 55 - 81 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | Albright | W | 73 - 72 |
| 2024-01-31 | vs | Messiah | W | 79 - 69 |
| 2024-02-03 | vs | York (PA) | W | 89 - 79 |
| 2024-02-07 | @ | Eastern | L | 81 - 88 |
| 2024-02-10 | @ | Widener | L | 71 - 95 |
| 2024-02-13 | vs | Hood | L | 74 - 81 |
| 2024-02-17 | vs | Stevenson | W | 82 - 75 |
| 2024-02-21 | @ | Widener | L | 70 - 80 |
| 2024-03-02 | vs | Manhattanville | W | 72 - 70 |
| 2024-03-03 | @ | SUNY Maritime | W | 72 - 62 |
| 2024-03-10 | @ | Juniata | L | 77 - 83 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Husted | - | 1 | 34.0 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 28.0 | -26 | -5.2 | -8.4 | 69.2 | 33.3 | 85.7 | 0.96 | 77.7 | 73.1 |
| Nigel Cooke | - | 23 | 33.7 | 13.9 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 9.8 | 12.0 | -11 | -3.7 | -3.9 | 43.6 | 35.1 | 80.0 | 0.93 | 59.0 | 52.4 |
| Jakob Kelly | - | 24 | 31.7 | 13.5 | 6.1 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 10.3 | 11.0 | -35 | -8.8 | -12.8 | 45.2 | 31.1 | 81.7 | -0.22 | 55.9 | 49.8 |
| Robert Mullan | - | 23 | 30.6 | 13.2 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 10.9 | 6.4 | -5 | -1.7 | -3.2 | 40.2 | 34.6 | 72.7 | -0.26 | 52.3 | 47.6 |
| Tyler Lapetina | - | 1 | 34.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | -15 | -3.0 | -6.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.81 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Malik Slay | - | 22 | 26.6 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 7.7 | 8.8 | -6 | -2.0 | -2.4 | 41.8 | 40.8 | 66.7 | 1.05 | 51.3 | 47.6 |
| Kyle Gordon | - | 27 | 26.3 | 7.8 | 7.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 4.8 | 13.2 | -22 | -5.5 | -9.8 | 65.4 | 25.0 | 54.8 | 0.38 | 65.1 | 65.8 |
| Alex Cercado | - | 27 | 15.1 | 6.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 6.1 | 3.4 | -2 | -1.0 | -15.5 | 41.2 | 26.4 | 68.9 | -0.73 | 49.0 | 45.5 |
| Jalil Schenck | - | 23 | 14.5 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 6.4 | 1.8 | -4 | -1.3 | -3.5 | 34.5 | 31.1 | 73.1 | 0.46 | 46.7 | 43.9 |
| Kegan Hertz | - | 27 | 12.6 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 3.6 | 4.1 | -14 | -3.5 | -19.5 | 44.8 | 9.1 | 46.7 | 0.02 | 46.6 | 45.3 |
| Neco Campbell | - | 1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 0.7 | 12.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.57 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Jacob Stoudt | - | 23 | 7.4 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | -24 | -6.0 | -20.1 | 34.8 | 31.4 | 80.0 | -0.26 | 50.6 | 46.7 |
| Sho Watson | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2 | -0.5 | -11.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.54 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jameel Burton Jr. | - | 27 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | -9 | -3.0 | -16.6 | 43.6 | 40.0 | 66.7 | -0.03 | 48.9 | 46.2 |
| Mickeel Allen | - | 13 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Naji Hamilton | - | 13 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 51.8 | 40.0 |
| Naji Reid | - | 6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Raheem Williams | - | 25 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -0.0 | 5 | 2.5 | 108.1 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -1.24 | 35.9 | 31.2 |
| Kai James | - | 20 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1 | 1.0 | 34.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.49 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Colin Payne | - | 23 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1.0 | 34.8 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.49 | 113.6 | 0 |
| James Debus | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| William Fisher | - | 15 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Cayden Laster | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Sean Locks | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jeremiah Marshall | - | 25 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.2 | 1 | 1.0 | 21.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.24 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Wesley Nyambi | - | 20 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 1 | 1.0 | 34.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.49 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kashantis Anderson | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kade Anzulavich | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 13 | 3.2 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Carter Fischer | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 3 | 0.6 | 4.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 |
| Ty Kocak | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 3 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Michael Montecalvo | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 23 | 4.6 | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.84 | 0 | 0 |
| Tim Smith | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -1.5 | -118.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.57 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG