🐻⬇️🏀

Alma

Also known as: Alma
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1097 (#81) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1120 (#82) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +0.6 (#181) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.458 (#470) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -4.6 More → 0.355 (#281) NetEff -4.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.5 More → 0.600 (#345) AdjNet +3.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.4 More → 0.599 (#343) AdjNet +3.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 64.2 More → 0.540 (#343) AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 64.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs SUNY Brockport L 72 - 91
2024-11-09 vs Grove City W 60 - 58
2024-11-16 vs Heidelberg W 64 - 49
2024-11-22 @ Mt. St. Joseph L 58 - 80
2024-11-23 vs Franklin L 73 - 85
2024-11-26 vs Oberlin L 70 - 79
2024-12-07 @ Adrian W 70 - 58
2024-12-11 vs Calvin L 50 - 54
2024-12-14 vs Olivet W 62 - 51
2024-12-18 vs Wooster W 63 - 52
2024-12-29 @ Baldwin Wallace L 46 - 56
2024-12-30 vs Wis.-Eau Claire L 49 - 75
2025-01-04 @ Albion L 57 - 66
2025-01-08 vs Trine L 38 - 60
2025-01-11 @ St. Mary's (IN) W 75 - 61
2025-01-18 vs Hope L 67 - 80
2025-01-22 @ Kalamazoo W 75 - 64
2025-01-25 vs Adrian W 60 - 56
2025-01-29 @ Olivet W 58 - 44
2025-02-01 vs Albion W 76 - 61
2025-02-05 @ Calvin L 40 - 58
2025-02-08 @ Trine L 61 - 80
2025-02-15 vs St. Mary's (IN) L 62 - 66
2025-02-19 vs Kalamazoo L 62 - 75
2025-02-22 @ Hope L 53 - 80
2025-02-25 @ Albion L 52 - 69

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Brooke Leroux - 2 34.0 13.5 7.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 3.0 11.0 10.5 27 1.2 1.2 50.0 41.7 0 0.03 61.4 61.4
Emmerson Goodin - 26 20.8 9.3 8.2 0.9 1.3 0.5 1.8 7.6 10.7 13 0.5 0.8 46.5 0 50.4 -0.17 48.6 46.5
Molly Deurloo - 21 29.1 8.5 4.7 2.1 0.6 0.4 3.5 7.5 5.4 32 1.1 1.2 34.2 33.3 72.9 0.57 47.4 40.5
Breckyn Werner - 25 23.5 8.4 5.6 1.3 0.8 0.7 2.0 7.8 7.1 22 0.6 0.8 40.2 20.8 63.6 0.98 46.1 41.5
Cadence Kaminski - 26 23.0 6.1 1.5 1.7 0.5 0.0 1.3 6.5 1.9 30 0.9 1.2 33.5 30.4 81.2 -0.31 44.6 42.6
Megan Leslie - 10 9.3 4.8 1.6 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.7 5.6 0.9 -1 -0.2 -0.4 30.4 26.2 75.0 -0.06 41.6 40.2
Reagan Thorr - 21 19.2 4.6 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.7 3.8 3.2 39 2.1 2.9 36.7 29.5 75.8 0.26 51.3 44.9
Madelyn Weber - 25 17.6 4.4 3.5 1.1 0.2 0.2 1.2 4.1 4.1 25 1.0 1.8 43.7 27.8 69.2 0.04 50.1 48.5
Sarah Ebel - 26 12.0 2.9 2.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 1.2 3.9 1.3 -86 -2.5 -4.6 27.7 26.7 66.7 -0.81 34.9 31.7
Anna Waterstredt - 26 11.8 2.7 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.9 2.4 1.5 -34 -1.1 -2.7 41.9 40.0 57.7 0.04 48.3 45.2
Mackenna Weber - 26 7.0 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.8 1.7 0.2 16 0.6 2.2 23.3 33.3 60.9 0.42 33.9 25.6
Harmonie Belton - 12 10.2 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.9 2.7 -0.2 - - - 15.6 13.3 0 - 18.8 18.8
Reese Wisniewski - 23 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 -0.0 -54 -2.7 -9.9 33.3 25.0 100.0 0.76 44.1 40.0
Jordan Cleveland - 24 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 - - - 100.0 100.0 50.0 - 121.5 150.0
Taelynn Hatfield - 24 1.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 21 1.3 3.8 12.5 0 100.0 0.2 22.5 12.5
Kerri Miller - 13 1.9 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 47 2.2 3.8 33.3 0 0 0.22 33.3 33.3
Noelle Ebel - 22 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 -53 -3.3 -15.9 25.0 0.0 66.7 -0.3 37.6 25.0
Madison Black - 18 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Maddie Stevens - 13 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -13 -1.0 -5.7 0 0 0 0.31 0 0
Chelsea Overbeak - 11 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Abby Hicks - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kaitlyn Jabczenski - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Makayla Porter - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 31 1.2 2.3 0 0 0 0.15 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG