Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1097 (#81) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1049 (#245) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 972 (#532) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.3 (#124) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.2 (#333) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.458 (#470) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.434 (#378) | NetEff -2.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.600 (#345) | AdjNet +3.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.599 (#343) | AdjNet +3.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.540 (#343) | AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 64.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.523 (#346) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 63.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.496 (#386) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.501 (#379) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 964 (#366) | RD 102 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | John Carroll | L | 56 - 97 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Lebanon Valley | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Simpson | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 90 - 70 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Hope | L | 59 - 85 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Otterbein | W | 54 - 46 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Oberlin | L | 51 - 64 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Hiram | W | 89 - 62 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Buena Vista | L | 67 - 70 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Trine | L | 47 - 69 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | St. Mary's (IN) | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Albion | L | 61 - 81 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Kalamazoo | L | 64 - 68 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Adrian | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Trine | L | 37 - 66 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Olivet | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Hope | L | 62 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cadence Kaminski | - | 17 | 28.4 | 13.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 11.4 | 3.9 | -94 | -4.5 | -20.4 | 44.6 | 41.9 | 76.0 | 0.4 | 57.6 | 56.0 |
| Kate Starkey | - | 17 | 27.6 | 12.7 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 12.0 | 3.7 | -95 | -4.5 | -19.9 | 40.7 | 33.3 | 70.0 | -3.88 | 48.7 | 46.1 |
| Breckyn Werner | - | 17 | 23.6 | 8.7 | 5.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 7.4 | 9.1 | -29 | -1.4 | -6.2 | 44.8 | 27.3 | 89.2 | 0.79 | 52.4 | 46.0 |
| Molly Deurloo | - | 17 | 28.9 | 8.4 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 8.1 | 6.4 | -26 | -1.2 | -4.5 | 34.3 | 28.6 | 87.9 | -1.71 | 47.2 | 41.6 |
| Sarah Ebel | - | 17 | 20.6 | 5.1 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 5.2 | 4.2 | -48 | -2.3 | -11.4 | 34.1 | 19.2 | 73.3 | -1.31 | 43.0 | 36.9 |
| Reese Wisniewski | - | 17 | 19.0 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 5.3 | 3.2 | -39 | -1.9 | -11.9 | 32.2 | 21.2 | 66.7 | 1.68 | 39.4 | 38.3 |
| Mady Weber | - | 16 | 10.9 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 4.0 | -13 | -0.7 | -8.3 | 51.4 | 100.0 | 72.7 | -0.61 | 56.2 | 52.7 |
| Anna Waterstredt | - | 16 | 9.5 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 | -67 | -3.4 | -57.3 | 56.0 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -0.06 | 59.7 | 58.0 |
| Noelle Ebel | - | 17 | 14.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 1.6 | -82 | -3.9 | -31.4 | 19.4 | 7.7 | 65.2 | -1.8 | 32.5 | 20.8 |
| Taelynn Hatfield | - | 14 | 8.9 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 | -55 | -3.1 | -49.4 | 43.5 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.13 | 45.2 | 43.5 |
| Kendra Cooley | - | 7 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.0 | 25.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 1.13 | 53.0 | 50.0 |
| Makayla Porter | - | 7 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.3 | 184.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.06 | 46.3 | 50.0 |
| Mackenna Weber | - | 13 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | -11 | -0.7 | -25.6 | 22.2 | 33.3 | 41.7 | 1.48 | 35.0 | 27.8 |
| Maddie Stevens | - | 8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.1 | 5.6 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.48 | 63.0 | 66.7 |
| Kadyn Maida | - | 7 | 6.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 5 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.69 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Grace Mitchell | - | 6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 4 | 0.7 | 102.1 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.37 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kaitlyn Jabczenski | - | 3 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -1 | -0.3 | -8.6 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.07 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Aubri Torok | - | 5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | -0.2 | 4 | 0.8 | 266.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Megan Leslie | - | 1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG