Alma
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1097 (#81) | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 1049 (#245) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency | 972 (#532) | - |
| Margin | +6.3 (#124) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency | +2.2 (#333) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean | 0.458 (#470) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.600 (#345) | AdjO 101.8 | AdjD 98.2 |
| Log Adjusted | 0.599 (#343) | AdjO 99.5 | AdjD 96.1 |
| Points Off/Def | 0.540 (#343) | AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 64.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency | 0.523 (#346) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 63.8 |
| Core Ensemble | 0.496 (#386) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def |
| Recency Ensemble | 0.501 (#378) | Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency |
| KenPom Kitchen Sink | 0.454 (#373) | - |
| Dynamic BT | 964 (#368) | HCA +45.0 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | John Carroll | L | 56 - 97 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Lebanon Valley | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Simpson | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 90 - 70 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Hope | L | 59 - 85 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Otterbein | W | 54 - 46 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Oberlin | L | 51 - 64 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Hiram | W | 89 - 62 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Buena Vista | L | 67 - 70 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Trine | L | 47 - 69 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | St. Mary's (IN) | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Albion | L | 61 - 81 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Kalamazoo | L | 64 - 68 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Adrian | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Trine | L | 37 - 66 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Olivet | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Hope | L | 62 - 69 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.