Alliance
Model Outputs
2022-2023
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1080 (#106) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1018 (#159) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1050 (#91) | HCA +72 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.1 (#253) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.9 (#239) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.392 (#216) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.375 (#257) | AdjNet -4.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.377 (#256) | AdjNet -4.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.442 (#247) | AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 71.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.476 (#201) | AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 72.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.485 (#220) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.492 (#209) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1054 (#127) | RD 143 | GP 29 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-12 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | L | 52 - 91 |
| 2022-11-13 | vs | Mercy | W | 81 - 60 |
| 2022-11-14 | @ | Dist. Columbia | W | 79 - 74 |
| 2022-11-17 | vs | Lock Haven | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2022-11-19 | @ | Mansfield | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2022-11-23 | @ | Queens (NY) | L | 73 - 88 |
| 2022-11-27 | @ | Daemen | L | 65 - 76 |
| 2022-11-28 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | L | 61 - 78 |
| 2022-11-30 | vs | Bloomfield | L | 69 - 73 |
| 2022-12-03 | @ | Caldwell | L | 60 - 94 |
| 2022-12-06 | @ | Post | L | 47 - 68 |
| 2022-12-14 | @ | Staten Island | W | 97 - 80 |
| 2022-12-15 | @ | Mercyhurst | L | 56 - 82 |
| 2022-12-19 | vs | Cheyney | W | 79 - 36 |
| 2022-12-29 | vs | Bridgeport | L | 73 - 75 |
| 2023-01-04 | @ | Felician | W | 61 - 51 |
| 2023-01-08 | vs | Georgian Court | L | 44 - 64 |
| 2023-01-13 | vs | Wilmington (DE) | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2023-01-17 | @ | Dominican (NY) | W | 87 - 80 |
| 2023-01-21 | @ | Jefferson | L | 61 - 87 |
| 2023-01-25 | @ | Bloomfield | L | 76 - 83 |
| 2023-01-29 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | L | 74 - 83 |
| 2023-01-31 | vs | Post | W | 67 - 54 |
| 2023-02-04 | vs | Holy Family | W | 69 - 65 |
| 2023-02-11 | @ | Chestnut Hill | L | 69 - 78 |
| 2023-02-14 | @ | Bridgeport | W | 105 - 98 |
| 2023-02-18 | vs | Caldwell | W | 68 - 67 |
| 2023-02-22 | vs | Felician | W | 90 - 78 |
| 2023-02-25 | vs | Dominican (NY) | W | 76 - 69 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.