Alfred
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 969 (#299) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 936 (#323) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.8 (#296) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.508 (#446) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.519 (#226) | NetEff +0.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.135 (#529) | AdjNet -16.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.123 (#528) | AdjNet -16.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.254 (#542) | AdjO 54.3 | AdjD 66.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Pitt.-Bradford | W | 72 - 59 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Hiram | W | 73 - 64 |
| 2024-11-17 | @ | Alfred St. | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Fredonia | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Oswego St. | L | 57 - 66 |
| 2024-12-03 | @ | Buffalo St. | W | 49 - 46 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Nazareth | L | 62 - 70 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Clark (MA) | L | 62 - 83 |
| 2024-12-31 | @ | Gordon | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2025-01-07 | vs | St. John Fisher | L | 52 - 85 |
| 2025-01-10 | vs | Elmira | W | 67 - 48 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Keuka | W | 86 - 57 |
| 2025-01-17 | @ | SUNY Poly | W | 56 - 31 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Utica | W | 62 - 59 |
| 2025-01-24 | @ | SUNY Geneseo | L | 50 - 75 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | SUNY Brockport | L | 59 - 83 |
| 2025-01-28 | vs | Houghton | W | 60 - 58 |
| 2025-01-31 | vs | Russell Sage | L | 75 - 79 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Hartwick | W | 59 - 43 |
| 2025-02-07 | @ | Keuka | W | 54 - 51 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Elmira | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2025-02-14 | vs | SUNY Brockport | L | 65 - 83 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | SUNY Geneseo | L | 52 - 73 |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Houghton | L | 46 - 55 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | SUNY Geneseo | L | 43 - 68 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaidyn Chest | - | 26 | 30.8 | 13.1 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 13.2 | 7.0 | 39 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 35.3 | 25.9 | 78.9 | 0.16 | 45.6 | 41.5 |
| Grace Rittenhouse | - | 26 | 31.5 | 11.9 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 13.0 | 5.8 | -38 | -1.5 | -1.5 | 35.3 | 30.5 | 73.3 | 0.07 | 43.4 | 41.1 |
| Jessica Beehler | - | 26 | 27.2 | 7.8 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 10.0 | 3.5 | -41 | -1.6 | -1.9 | 29.0 | 16.3 | 55.7 | -0.25 | 35.0 | 31.7 |
| Jayda l Felker | - | 13 | 28.1 | 7.6 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 59 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 44.2 | 31.0 | 60.0 | -0.19 | 49.8 | 48.9 |
| Felicia Stewart | - | 25 | 15.4 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 3.4 | -71 | -3.0 | -6.2 | 40.6 | 38.9 | 70.5 | -0.69 | 49.9 | 45.7 |
| Natalee Collins | - | 24 | 15.1 | 4.3 | 6.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 5.0 | 6.3 | 118 | 3.9 | 6.8 | 35.8 | 13.6 | 53.8 | 0.82 | 39.2 | 37.1 |
| Libby Benner | - | 24 | 12.7 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 1.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 26.9 | 30.0 | 66.7 | -0.23 | 38.4 | 37.0 |
| Ava Anastasi | - | 25 | 10.9 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 14 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 36.5 | 30.0 | 0.0 | -0.49 | 45.4 | 46.0 |
| Samantha Fischer | - | 25 | 9.9 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | -46 | -2.2 | -5.2 | 25.4 | 23.4 | 33.3 | -0.38 | 34.3 | 34.1 |
| Nelly Mbugeni | - | 25 | 10.4 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4.4 | 105 | 3.5 | 7.6 | 51.2 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 0.82 | 53.2 | 51.2 |
| Kate Quinn | - | 19 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.9 | -0.1 | 85 | 3.7 | 14.5 | 22.2 | 12.5 | 100.0 | -0.4 | 28.5 | 26.4 |
| Alyssa Dimillo | - | 8 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.1 | -10 | -0.6 | -4.1 | 15.4 | 15.4 | 0 | -0.15 | 23.1 | 23.1 |
| Briana Dorr | - | 22 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 52 | 2.1 | 10.5 | 28.6 | 22.2 | 0 | -0.09 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Madison Dohse | - | 18 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.07 | 43.6 | 33.3 |
| Shyanne Trinh | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Peyton McInnis | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Samatha Fischer | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -46 | -2.2 | -5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.38 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Bri Dorr | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 52 | 2.1 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.09 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG