Alfred
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 925 (#456) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 921 (#435) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 890 (#622) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.8 (#355) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -17.2 (#580) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.508 (#446) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.728 (#267) | NetEff +6.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.135 (#529) | AdjNet -16.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.123 (#528) | AdjNet -16.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.254 (#542) | AdjO 54.3 | AdjD 66.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.291 (#609) | AdjO 52.3 | AdjD 62.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.202 (#597) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.208 (#597) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 875 (#443) | RD 96 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Hilbert | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Buffalo St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Bard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Thiel | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Thiel | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Penn St.-Altoona | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Pitt.-Bradford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Fredonia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | JWU (Providence) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Utica | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Hartwick | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Russell Sage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | SUNY Geneseo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | SUNY Brockport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-27 | @ | Houghton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Elmira | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Keuka | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Utica | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | SUNY Poly | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaidyn Chest | - | 18 | 32.0 | 16.8 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 14.6 | 7.3 | 78 | 4.6 | 15.6 | 40.8 | 32.3 | 77.0 | 1.46 | 52.5 | 48.9 |
| Jayda L Felker | - | 11 | 30.8 | 10.8 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 11.9 | 5.4 | 70 | 5.8 | 19.3 | 34.4 | 22.6 | 85.0 | 0.14 | 42.6 | 38.9 |
| Jayda Felker | - | 7 | 33.3 | 8.9 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 8.9 | 10.0 | -57 | -9.5 | -55.6 | 30.6 | 25.9 | 73.9 | -3.76 | 43.0 | 36.3 |
| Natalee Collins | - | 18 | 22.2 | 7.9 | 11.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 6.9 | 13.3 | 56 | 3.3 | 17.1 | 47.6 | 18.8 | 51.2 | -0.65 | 50.0 | 48.8 |
| Libby Benner | - | 18 | 21.8 | 6.7 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 7.5 | 1.4 | 25 | 1.4 | 6.0 | 31.9 | 27.3 | 51.9 | -2.99 | 41.2 | 39.6 |
| Ashaya Wallace | - | 18 | 20.6 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 86 | 4.8 | 23.8 | 29.5 | 19.6 | 36.0 | 3.79 | 34.2 | 33.6 |
| Ava Anastasi | - | 18 | 22.2 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 40 | 2.2 | 12.1 | 31.2 | 32.6 | 63.6 | -0.97 | 39.5 | 38.1 |
| Nelly Mbugeni | - | 8 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 10.6 | 135 | 16.9 | 157.5 | 31.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 7.21 | 32.6 | 31.4 |
| Kate Quinn | - | 18 | 15.6 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 30 | 1.8 | 10.8 | 23.0 | 14.3 | 50.0 | -1.55 | 27.4 | 26.4 |
| Briana Dorr | - | 18 | 13.9 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 21 | 1.2 | 8.4 | 20.0 | 8.3 | 33.3 | -0.36 | 23.5 | 22.0 |
| Madison Dohse | - | 14 | 6.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 0.3 | 5.5 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.91 | 29.0 | 28.0 |
| Olivia Van Dewater | - | 5 | 8.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | -11 | -2.2 | -21.4 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.76 | 10.1 | 7.1 |
| Eileen Hein | - | 9 | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3 | 0.4 | 16.6 | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 14.3 | 14.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG