Alfred
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 917 (#404) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 846 (#439) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.2 (#294) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.375 (#550) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.468 (#308) | NetEff -1.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.124 (#609) | AdjNet -17.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.118 (#609) | AdjNet -17.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.236 (#617) | AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 70.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Alfred St. | W | 88 - 76 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Montclair St. | L | 85 - 95 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Misericordia | L | 71 - 72 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Pitt.-Bradford | L | 66 - 113 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Hilbert | L | 62 - 64 |
| 2024-12-03 | @ | Penn College | W | 89 - 76 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Nazareth | L | 78 - 83 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Buffalo St. | W | 57 - 53 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Albright | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Muhlenberg | L | 49 - 73 |
| 2025-01-07 | vs | St. John Fisher | W | 59 - 50 |
| 2025-01-10 | vs | Elmira | W | 68 - 50 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Keuka | W | 66 - 47 |
| 2025-01-17 | @ | SUNY Poly | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Utica | L | 56 - 68 |
| 2025-01-24 | @ | SUNY Geneseo | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | SUNY Brockport | L | 53 - 85 |
| 2025-01-28 | vs | Houghton | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2025-01-31 | vs | Russell Sage | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Hartwick | W | 73 - 53 |
| 2025-02-07 | @ | Keuka | W | 66 - 58 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Elmira | L | 75 - 78 |
| 2025-02-14 | vs | SUNY Brockport | W | 69 - 49 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | SUNY Geneseo | W | 64 - 58 |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Houghton | W | 75 - 54 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | SUNY Poly | L | 65 - 66 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Hind | - | 26 | 30.6 | 12.4 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 10.8 | 7.0 | -37 | -1.4 | -5.0 | 38.9 | 33.9 | 78.3 | -0.07 | 52.7 | 49.3 |
| Amoi Charles | - | 26 | 29.5 | 11.5 | 6.2 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 9.0 | 10.5 | 8 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 41.7 | 33.6 | 73.9 | 0.17 | 54.8 | 50.0 |
| Tyler Curran | - | 25 | 23.3 | 9.2 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.6 | 6.3 | -53 | -2.5 | -9.9 | 47.0 | 38.7 | 76.2 | 0.58 | 60.2 | 55.8 |
| Zion Baitey | - | 26 | 26.0 | 8.3 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 6.8 | 8.4 | -10 | -0.4 | -1.5 | 43.8 | 31.1 | 69.0 | 1.08 | 55.2 | 52.8 |
| Oscar Wolter | - | 26 | 26.7 | 7.8 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 32 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 45.7 | 26.9 | 59.1 | 0.13 | 52.5 | 50.9 |
| Kenneth Allison Jr. | - | 25 | 18.6 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 5.8 | 3.9 | -43 | -8.6 | -24.8 | 39.6 | 33.3 | 81.0 | -0.11 | 45.4 | 42.4 |
| Casey Curran | - | 10 | 14.3 | 5.5 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 23 | 7.7 | 12.0 | 47.5 | 35.7 | 77.8 | 0.4 | 62.6 | 60.0 |
| Franlys Valenzuela | - | 8 | 9.8 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 61.9 | 66.7 | 54.5 | - | 65.8 | 66.7 |
| Robby Hicks | - | 26 | 9.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 0.5 | -6 | -0.4 | -5.3 | 29.7 | 31.9 | 100.0 | 0.03 | 45.0 | 44.1 |
| Nolan Gilbert | - | 17 | 9.5 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 1.5 | -90 | -5.0 | -40.1 | 45.7 | 33.3 | 60.0 | 0.24 | 50.4 | 47.8 |
| Gabe Eldaye | - | 23 | 14.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 1.7 | -39 | -2.3 | -16.8 | 32.8 | 26.3 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 41.9 | 41.0 |
| AJ Giaquinto | - | 21 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.5 | -13 | -1.9 | -20.9 | 50.0 | 41.7 | 0.0 | -0.27 | 62.4 | 63.9 |
| Andria Siamashvili | - | 9 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 43.0 | 33.3 |
| Gennaro Picco | - | 16 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.1 | -5 | -0.7 | -77.9 | 20.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.1 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Donovan Blackman | - | 14 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.5 | 25.3 | 0 | 0 | 25.0 | -1.29 | 28.4 | 0 |
| Christopher Coyle | - | 14 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1 | 1.0 | 20.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.21 | 12.9 | 0.0 |
| Luke Penna | - | 16 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -0.2 | -4 | -1.0 | -28.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.81 | 7.3 | 0.0 |
| Jackson White | - | 18 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -0.1 | -1 | -0.3 | -12.8 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.04 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Chris Redhead | - | 14 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.5 | 64.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.46 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG