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Alfred

Also known as: Alfred
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 828 (#593) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 796 (#592) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 718 (#778) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -18.5 (#351) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -18.3 (#661) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.375 (#550) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.0 More → 0.279 (#45) NetEff -8.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.0 More → 0.124 (#609) AdjNet -17.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.2 More → 0.118 (#609) AdjNet -17.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 70.3 More → 0.236 (#617) AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 70.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 73.5 More → 0.299 (#668) AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 73.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.137 (#723) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.146 (#722) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 22 More → 627 (#639) RD 104 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Lycoming L 73 - 76
2025-11-08 vs Alfred St. W 62 - 38
2025-11-15 vs MCLA W 70 - 60
2025-11-16 @ Williams L 53 - 60
2025-11-21 vs Pitt.-Bradford L 66 - 72
2025-11-25 @ Hilbert L 66 - 71
2025-12-02 @ Buffalo St. L 62 - 66
2025-12-06 vs Nazareth L 56 - 90
2025-12-13 vs Penn College W 74 - 62
2026-01-02 @ Grove City L 42 - 69
2026-01-02 @ Grove City L 0 - 0
2026-01-06 @ St. John Fisher L 49 - 67
2026-01-09 vs SUNY Poly L 55 - 60
2026-01-10 vs Utica L 62 - 67
2026-01-16 @ Hartwick L 61 - 63
2026-01-17 @ Russell Sage L 64 - 83
2026-01-23 vs SUNY Geneseo L 67 - 68
2026-01-24 vs SUNY Brockport L 70 - 75
2026-01-27 @ Houghton L 94 - 97
2026-01-30 @ Elmira L 62 - 64
2026-01-31 @ Keuka L 62 - 73
2026-02-06 @ Utica L 76 - 84
2026-02-07 @ SUNY Poly L 71 - 83

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Connor Shanahan - 1 36.4 24.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 16.0 15.0 -7 -0.3 -1.7 56.2 57.1 66.7 3.42 69.3 68.8
Isaiah Valentine - 1 37.6 20.0 2.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 16.0 -81 -4.3 -13.0 66.7 66.7 50.0 1.15 72.7 75.0
Jackson Rein - 1 28.0 15.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 9.0 -92 -4.2 -31.1 54.5 50.0 50.0 -1.21 63.1 63.6
Zion Baitey - 20 32.4 13.2 6.2 1.6 1.6 0.5 2.4 10.5 10.2 -103 -5.4 -21.8 47.1 29.2 54.2 -0.17 54.4 53.3
Tyler Curran - 18 30.7 12.6 3.8 2.8 0.8 0.2 3.4 9.8 7.1 -66 -3.7 -15.7 39.8 34.0 76.1 -1.03 54.8 49.1
Elisha Slabach - 1 30.1 12.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 11.0 -10 -0.6 -3.6 28.6 33.3 100.0 -0.53 59.5 35.7
Amoi Charles - 2 31.7 10.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.5 8.5 -16 -5.3 -17.8 46.2 0.0 66.7 -0.16 54.7 46.2
Franlys Valenzuela - 18 27.2 9.7 10.7 1.6 0.7 0.8 2.6 7.2 13.7 -113 -6.6 -34.8 51.5 21.1 52.9 -0.81 54.4 53.1
EJ Sommers - 1 16.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 -43 -2.4 -32.5 60.0 0 33.3 -0.54 52.4 60.0
Gennaro Picco - 18 19.7 6.6 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 1.1 4.4 4.0 -26 -1.5 -7.2 50.0 51.3 66.7 1.93 64.2 62.5
J.J. Beagle - 1 23.4 6.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 -63 -3.1 -18.3 75.0 0 0 0.47 75.0 75.0
Noa'Sosa Friedman - 1 36.8 6.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 4.0 9.0 -48 -2.4 -9.4 50.0 0 66.7 0.37 56.4 50.0
Nolan Gilbert - 20 19.9 5.5 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.7 4.3 3.0 -83 -4.4 -31.8 52.3 26.5 83.3 -3.99 59.7 57.6
Tyler Hind - 20 22.5 5.3 1.4 1.4 0.5 0.1 1.9 6.0 0.8 -96 -5.1 -32.9 28.6 31.2 60.0 -2.72 42.6 41.2
Dylan Shepherd - 1 16.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 3.0 -43 -2.4 -118.5 33.3 33.3 0 -0.68 41.7 41.7
Josh Ademiju - 11 12.1 4.6 5.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 3.0 7.1 -5 -0.6 -2.6 66.7 0 70.0 0.66 68.2 66.7
Robby Hicks - 16 10.0 4.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6 4.2 0.6 -27 -1.7 -19.5 37.3 34.5 66.7 0.26 53.1 52.2
Andria Siamashvili - 16 15.8 4.3 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.2 1.3 4.2 2.6 -70 -4.7 -31.0 38.8 29.6 64.3 -0.9 47.2 44.8
Ty Kuehl - 1 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -10 -0.9 -35.6 100.0 100.0 33.3 1.48 86.2 150.0
Hudson Hansen - 1 25.0 3.0 8.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 10.0 -32 -1.5 -11.0 14.3 0.0 50.0 0.81 19.0 14.3
Gabriel Buksh - 1 10.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -41 -3.7 -45.3 100.0 100.0 0 -4.09 150.0 150.0
Charlie Sims - 1 9.8 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -22 -2.0 -9.0 50.0 50.0 0 -0.14 75.0 75.0
Gabe Eldaye - 11 16.0 2.2 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.9 3.1 1.5 - - - 26.5 19.0 50.0 -0.47 33.6 32.4
Abdoul Toure - 17 13.5 2.0 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.2 2.6 0.9 -47 -2.9 -18.1 33.3 0.0 40.0 -0.03 34.4 33.3
Noah Mathis - 1 16.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 -22 -1.1 -8.2 50.0 0.0 0 -2.24 50.0 50.0
Damon Merazzi - 2 1.1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -2 -1.0 -184.6 50.0 0.0 0 0.45 50.0 50.0
Tarren Wilkins - 2 1.1 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 -2 -1.0 -184.6 100.0 0 0 0.45 100.0 100.0
Luke Penna - 7 2.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 -5 -0.8 -21.1 100.0 0 0 0.17 100.0 100.0
Joseph Werner - 7 2.8 0.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.1 6 1.0 124.1 33.3 0 0 0.27 33.3 33.3
Khalil Carlson - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.3 -37.5 0 0 0 0.14 0 0
Isiaha Dickens - 1 12.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 -12 -0.6 -13.1 0 0 0 0.96 0 0
Donovan Blackman - 3 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Christopher Coyle - 2 1.6 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2 2.0 61.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.4 0.0 0.0
Chris Redhead - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG