Alfred St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1110 (#60) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1062 (#153) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -23.6 (#365) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.257 (#557) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.354 (#282) | NetEff -4.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.012 (#662) | AdjNet -37.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.010 (#660) | AdjNet -38.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.093 (#664) | AdjO 48.3 | AdjD 73.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Houghton | L | 45 - 77 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | SUNY Cobleskill | L | 50 - 65 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | SUNY Delhi | W | 79 - 43 |
| 2024-11-17 | vs | Brenau | L | 65 - 86 |
| 2024-11-17 | vs | Alfred | L | 54 - 68 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Elmira | L | 57 - 66 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | SUNY Poly | L | 53 - 62 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Keuka | L | 47 - 59 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Hilbert | W | 77 - 28 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | La Roche | L | 61 - 70 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Buffalo St. | L | 71 - 77 |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | Penn College | L | 55 - 69 |
| 2025-01-03 | vs | Covenant | L | 47 - 67 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Belhaven | L | 34 - 76 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 64 - 58 |
| 2025-01-07 | vs | Huntingdon | L | 43 - 75 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Mount Aloysius | L | 54 - 72 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Penn St.-Altoona | L | 40 - 70 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Warren Wilson | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Pitt.-Bradford | W | 64 - 48 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Wesleyan (GA) | W | 61 - 40 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Carlow | L | 64 - 70 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Penn St.-Behrend | L | 52 - 77 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | La Roche | L | 54 - 86 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Covenant | L | 45 - 83 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Piedmont | L | 56 - 73 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Hilbert | W | 67 - 47 |
| 2025-01-31 | vs | Asbury | L | 50 - 82 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Maryville (TN) | L | 53 - 80 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 68 - 48 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Asbury | L | 58 - 93 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Mount Aloysius | L | 57 - 72 |
| 2025-02-11 | @ | LaGrange | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Pitt.-Bradford | L | 60 - 84 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Wesleyan (GA) | W | 61 - 41 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Maryville (TN) | L | 36 - 59 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | L | 49 - 68 |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Huntingdon | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Penn St.-Behrend | L | 49 - 91 |
| 2025-02-20 | vs | LaGrange | L | 79 - 81 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Belhaven | L | 54 - 94 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Carlow | W | 54 - 42 |
| 2025-02-25 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | L | 52 - 63 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laila Williams | - | 14 | 27.9 | 13.4 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 5.5 | 12.4 | 2.7 | -18 | -1.0 | -1.1 | 32.9 | 28.1 | 67.9 | -0.36 | 44.8 | 38.2 |
| Anissa Brailsford | - | 17 | 31.1 | 13.1 | 9.4 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 9.7 | 10.9 | -81 | -2.5 | -2.6 | 49.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.6 | 51.0 | 49.1 |
| Taylor Benjamin | - | 24 | 30.6 | 12.3 | 9.3 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 11.9 | 12.0 | 124 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 36.7 | 21.5 | 70.7 | 0.49 | 45.2 | 40.2 |
| Sarah Somers | - | 25 | 24.7 | 10.8 | 5.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 10.0 | 6.9 | 47 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 43.2 | 0.0 | 65.1 | 0.13 | 47.1 | 43.2 |
| Zania Gay | - | 17 | 23.9 | 7.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 9.2 | 0.8 | -70 | -3.0 | -4.3 | 28.2 | 21.7 | 59.6 | -0.81 | 36.5 | 32.4 |
| Jordan Niles | - | 26 | 27.2 | 7.1 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 8.3 | 3.3 | 78 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 26.5 | 20.7 | 60.7 | -0.02 | 35.3 | 27.9 |
| Kirsten Merritt | - | 24 | 21.7 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 9.0 | -1.4 | 33 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 23.6 | 25.5 | 56.7 | 0.26 | 33.8 | 31.9 |
| Taylor Searle | - | 26 | 27.1 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 6.6 | 3.9 | 15 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 36.8 | 30.0 | 64.0 | -0.21 | 42.5 | 38.6 |
| Josie Barton | - | 26 | 23.8 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 5.2 | 4.5 | -25 | -1.0 | -1.2 | 38.2 | 27.3 | 75.0 | -0.63 | 48.5 | 43.8 |
| Ivey Portis | - | 17 | 26.8 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 4.7 | 7.8 | 2.9 | -78 | -3.4 | -3.6 | 26.5 | 20.4 | 46.7 | -0.56 | 34.6 | 33.7 |
| Alex McElroy | - | 10 | 15.3 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 5.0 | 0.2 | -32 | -2.5 | -2.2 | 34.0 | 25.8 | 64.7 | -0.3 | 46.1 | 42.0 |
| Sydney Evans | - | 17 | 30.9 | 5.3 | 7.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 6.4 | 9.5 | -45 | -2.0 | -2.0 | 35.8 | 0.0 | 54.5 | -0.4 | 37.9 | 35.8 |
| Ryley Jolly | - | 17 | 30.9 | 4.9 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 6.5 | 7.8 | 2.4 | -61 | -1.9 | -2.0 | 22.7 | 12.3 | 43.6 | -0.55 | 28.2 | 25.4 |
| Jenna George | - | 26 | 16.7 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 34 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 40.2 | 18.2 | 60.0 | -0.07 | 44.3 | 41.1 |
| Mary Gibson | - | 19 | 9.6 | 3.2 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 3.6 | 4.3 | - | - | - | 42.6 | 0 | 23.1 | - | 41.4 | 42.6 |
| Jonah Wood | - | 17 | 18.1 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 4.2 | -0.2 | -66 | -2.1 | -3.7 | 23.9 | 22.6 | 83.3 | -0.92 | 36.0 | 33.8 |
| Anna Merry | - | 26 | 15.5 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 25.0 | 21.2 | 68.2 | 0.27 | 36.3 | 31.5 |
| Lindsay Moore | - | 7 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | -6 | -1.0 | -1.9 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.02 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Erin Mitchell | - | 26 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 | -19 | -1.1 | -3.5 | 31.6 | 0 | 20.0 | -0.27 | 31.2 | 31.6 |
| Sarah Fedrick | - | 8 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 42.0 | 0.0 |
| Dre'ahnna Devers | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Elori Rodriguez | - | 23 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG