Alfred St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 786 (#611) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 729 (#628) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 782 (#763) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -23.2 (#482) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -31.0 (#760) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.150 (#704) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.004 (#68) | NetEff -36.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.026 (#736) | AdjNet -31.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.025 (#736) | AdjNet -31.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.108 (#738) | AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 86.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.128 (#772) | AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 86.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.064 (#767) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.069 (#770) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 653 (#627) | RD 100 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Hiram | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Alfred | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | SUNY Cobleskill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-13 | @ | Houghton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Juniata | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Buffalo St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | SUNY Geneseo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Keuka | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | La Roche | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Penn St.-Behrend | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Pitt.-Greensburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Clarkson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Cornell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Carlow | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Pitt.-Bradford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Mount Aloysius | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Hilbert | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Penn St.-Behrend | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Carlow | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Pitt.-Bradford | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Mount Aloysius | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mykell Lawson | - | 21 | 32.9 | 17.9 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 18.0 | 4.9 | -92 | -5.1 | -18.0 | 33.6 | 28.7 | 71.3 | 1.11 | 44.7 | 40.7 |
| LD Jones | - | 9 | 31.3 | 16.2 | 13.4 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 13.9 | 17.3 | - | - | - | 52.8 | 0.0 | 41.2 | 0.49 | 52.2 | 52.8 |
| Darius Cunningham Jr | - | 22 | 32.4 | 14.4 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 14.8 | 5.6 | - | - | - | 33.8 | 25.2 | 60.0 | - | 42.7 | 39.1 |
| Elijah Kioko | - | 21 | 16.5 | 6.7 | 4.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 5.4 | -70 | -3.9 | -26.1 | 53.3 | 38.5 | 60.0 | -0.51 | 57.2 | 55.6 |
| Ben Sneddon | - | 21 | 18.2 | 6.0 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 5.1 | 6.4 | -41 | -2.4 | -19.7 | 43.9 | 32.8 | 50.0 | -0.71 | 53.2 | 52.8 |
| Eli Taft | - | 21 | 22.8 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 5.9 | 3.4 | 22 | 1.2 | 6.4 | 38.7 | 29.4 | 50.0 | 1.21 | 45.6 | 44.8 |
| JJ Howard | - | 22 | 16.9 | 4.2 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 35 | 1.9 | 14.0 | 59.1 | 0.0 | 41.2 | 1.79 | 56.8 | 59.1 |
| Avery Cunningham | - | 21 | 24.6 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 5.1 | -108 | -6.0 | -31.5 | 34.5 | 11.1 | 53.3 | -2.41 | 39.0 | 36.4 |
| Joe Bauer | - | 20 | 9.2 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2.2 | -41 | -2.4 | -37.8 | 32.6 | 9.1 | 56.5 | -4.41 | 39.2 | 33.7 |
| Hunter Streb | - | 17 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 1.7 | -31 | -2.2 | -46.2 | 42.9 | 16.7 | 64.3 | -3.14 | 49.8 | 44.6 |
| Cole Kaufman | - | 14 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 0.9 | -10 | -0.8 | -35.6 | 38.1 | 27.3 | 66.7 | -2.38 | 51.4 | 45.2 |
| Kalen Czelusta | - | 5 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Nesir Navarrete | - | 11 | 3.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | -3 | -0.3 | -6.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 33.3 | 0.36 | 21.6 | 0.0 |
| Hank Wheaton | - | 12 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | -0.3 | -1 | -0.1 | -3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.01 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG