🐻⬇️🏀

Alfred St.

Also known as: Alfred St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 786 (#611) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 729 (#628) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 782 (#763) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -23.2 (#482) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -31.0 (#760) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.150 (#704) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -36.9 More → 0.004 (#68) NetEff -36.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -31.2 More → 0.026 (#736) AdjNet -31.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -31.4 More → 0.025 (#736) AdjNet -31.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 86.9 More → 0.108 (#738) AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 86.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 86.1 More → 0.128 (#772) AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 86.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.064 (#767) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.069 (#770) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 23 More → 653 (#627) RD 100 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Hiram - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 @ Alfred - Incomplete score
2025-11-11 vs SUNY Cobleskill - Incomplete score
2025-11-13 @ Houghton - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Juniata - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ Buffalo St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ SUNY Geneseo - Incomplete score
2025-12-02 @ Keuka - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs La Roche - Incomplete score
2025-12-10 @ Penn St.-Behrend - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Pitt.-Greensburg - Incomplete score
2025-12-15 @ Clarkson - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 @ Cornell - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 vs Carlow - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Penn St.-Altoona - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Pitt.-Bradford - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Mount Aloysius - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 @ Hilbert - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Pitt.-Greensburg - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Penn St.-Behrend - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Carlow - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Pitt.-Bradford - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Mount Aloysius - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mykell Lawson - 21 32.9 17.9 4.1 2.8 1.5 0.2 3.6 18.0 4.9 -92 -5.1 -18.0 33.6 28.7 71.3 1.11 44.7 40.7
LD Jones - 9 31.3 16.2 13.4 1.0 1.9 0.8 2.1 13.9 17.3 - - - 52.8 0.0 41.2 0.49 52.2 52.8
Darius Cunningham Jr - 22 32.4 14.4 5.5 2.1 1.3 0.4 3.3 14.8 5.6 - - - 33.8 25.2 60.0 - 42.7 39.1
Elijah Kioko - 21 16.5 6.7 4.4 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.2 5.1 5.4 -70 -3.9 -26.1 53.3 38.5 60.0 -0.51 57.2 55.6
Ben Sneddon - 21 18.2 6.0 4.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.7 5.1 6.4 -41 -2.4 -19.7 43.9 32.8 50.0 -0.71 53.2 52.8
Eli Taft - 21 22.8 5.8 1.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 0.8 5.9 3.4 22 1.2 6.4 38.7 29.4 50.0 1.21 45.6 44.8
JJ Howard - 22 16.9 4.2 2.9 0.7 0.2 0.7 0.7 3.0 5.0 35 1.9 14.0 59.1 0.0 41.2 1.79 56.8 59.1
Avery Cunningham - 21 24.6 2.3 4.0 2.2 0.7 0.1 1.5 2.6 5.1 -108 -6.0 -31.5 34.5 11.1 53.3 -2.41 39.0 36.4
Joe Bauer - 20 9.2 2.2 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.7 2.3 2.2 -41 -2.4 -37.8 32.6 9.1 56.5 -4.41 39.2 33.7
Hunter Streb - 17 6.9 2.0 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.6 1.7 -31 -2.2 -46.2 42.9 16.7 64.3 -3.14 49.8 44.6
Cole Kaufman - 14 3.7 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.5 0.9 -10 -0.8 -35.6 38.1 27.3 66.7 -2.38 51.4 45.2
Kalen Czelusta - 5 3.1 0.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.4 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Nesir Navarrete - 11 3.4 0.1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.8 -3 -0.3 -6.5 0.0 0 33.3 0.36 21.6 0.0
Hank Wheaton - 12 2.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8 -0.3 -1 -0.1 -3.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.01 4.6 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG