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Alcorn State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Alcorn State Braves
Program History
Coach: Montez Robinson

2016 Team Stats (3 games)

66.0
PPG
59.0
Opp
+7.0
Margin
42.2%
FG%
18.5%
3P%
65.8%
FT%
35.7
RPG
7.7
APG
14.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.0
Adj PPG
75.4
Adj Opp PPG
#328
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 792 (#290) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 891 (#244) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 1012 (#152) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -13.5 (#329) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -9.7 (#298) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.267 (#287) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.5 More → 0.086 (#336) AdjNet -20.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.8 More → 0.083 (#336) AdjNet -20.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 75.4 More → 0.245 (#328) AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 75.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.409 (#250) AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 70.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.249 (#303) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.278 (#290) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 137 | GP 28 More → 882 (#253) RD 137 | GP 28

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-19 @ Grand Canyon Lopes L 46 - 79
2015-11-22 @ UTEP Miners L 66 - 88
2015-11-24 @ Portland Pilots L 65 - 97
2015-11-27 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 51 - 84
2015-11-28 vs Florida A&M Rattlers L 71 - 73
2015-11-30 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 70 - 112
2015-12-05 @ Mercer Bears L 43 - 68
2015-12-14 vs Blue Mountain Christian Toppers W 68 - 60
2015-12-19 @ Tennessee State Tigers L 76 - 81
2015-12-21 @ UT Martin Skyhawks L 47 - 70
2015-12-30 vs Louisiana Christian Wildcats W 81 - 69
2016-01-02 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers W 73 - 70
2016-01-04 @ Texas Southern Tigers L 58 - 74
2016-01-09 vs Jackson State Tigers L 71 - 80
2016-01-11 vs Grambling Tigers W 69 - 53
2016-01-16 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 93 - 87
2016-01-18 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 73 - 65
2016-01-23 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 63 - 58
2016-01-25 vs Alabama State Hornets W 77 - 72
2016-01-30 @ Southern Jaguars L 64 - 75
2016-02-06 @ Jackson State Tigers W 72 - 64
2016-02-08 @ Grambling Tigers W 66 - 63
2016-02-13 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 72 - 71
2016-02-15 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 79 - 60
2016-02-20 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 62 - 58
2016-02-22 @ Alabama State Hornets L 59 - 73
2016-02-27 vs Southern Jaguars W 70 - 56
2016-03-03 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 81 - 64
2016-03-05 vs Texas Southern Tigers L 66 - 76
2016-03-09 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils L 61 - 64

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Octavius Brown Octavius Brown F 10 32.9 13.0 7.9 1.2 0.9 1.3 2.6 2.0 19.7 -29 5 -5.8 -8.0 50.0 28.6 62.5 -0.74 276.4 55.0
Tamarcio Wilson Tamarcio Wilson G 10 31.1 11.4 3.2 2.0 0.7 0.0 3.3 2.9 11.1 -76 8 -9.5 -14.4 27.6 8.3 100.0 -0.96 177.7 29.3
Devonte Hampton Devonte Hampton G 9 31.1 10.6 4.6 2.1 1.3 0.3 2.7 2.0 14.2 -61 8 -7.6 -11.9 33.3 0.0 100.0 -0.08 240.4 33.3
Marquis Vance Marquis Vance F 10 29.9 9.1 5.1 2.0 0.4 0.3 2.2 1.9 12.8 -114 9 -12.7 -18.4 36.8 33.3 66.7 -2.55 210.3 44.7
Patrick Onwenu Patrick Onwenu F 3 21.7 8.0 3.7 1.3 0.0 1.0 1.3 3.7 9.0 -92 8 -11.5 -22.9 63.6 0 66.7 -4.04 68.2 63.6
Deandre Davis Deandre Davis F 10 18.1 7.8 4.3 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.7 11.0 -87 9 -9.7 -23.9 76.5 0.0 33.3 -4.92 198.6 76.5
Reginald Johnson Reginald Johnson F 10 16.5 5.4 2.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 1.6 5.6 -78 9 -8.7 -19.0 37.5 0.0 50.0 -2.71 160.0 37.5
Tyrel Hunt Tyrel Hunt F 10 15.1 4.8 2.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.7 1.2 6.0 -53 8 -6.6 -18.7 50.0 33.3 57.9 -0.48 117.9 54.2
Shawn Willett Shawn Willett G 2 7.5 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 5.0 - - - - 0.0 0 75.0 -3.91 144.9 0.0
Rahamanh Katumbusi Rahamanh Katumbusi G 9 11.9 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.0 0.7 1.3 2.7 -53 7 -7.6 -41.7 33.3 60.0 40.0 -4.49 91.5 45.8
Malachy Onwudiegwu Malachy Onwudiegwu G 8 7.6 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.6 0.6 -68 6 -11.3 -30.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 -3.47 85.0 0.0
TyQuayion Smith TyQuayion Smith F 4 2.8 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 3 5 0.6 7.0 100.0 0 100.0 1.26 173.6 100.0
Juwan Henderson Juwan Henderson G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG