Alcorn State
2007 Team Stats (1 games)
44.0
PPG
103.0
Opp
-59.0
Margin
23.1%
FG%
22.7%
3P%
47.4%
FT%
37.0
RPG
5.0
APG
24.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.0
Adj PPG
77.7
Adj Opp PPG
#332
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2006-2007
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 685 (#317) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 800 (#300) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 953 (#233) | HCA +118 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -19.2 (#332) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -16.1 (#330) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.181 (#304) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.037 (#330) | AdjNet -28.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.035 (#330) | AdjNet -28.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.167 (#332) | AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 77.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.308 (#310) | AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 73.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.149 (#326) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.170 (#326) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 783 (#305) | RD 134 | GP 29 |
2007 Schedule & Results
2007 Roster
No roster data available for this season.