Albion
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 994 (#253) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 972 (#268) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.6 (#148) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.735 (#343) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.464 (#249) | NetEff -1.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.787 (#278) | AdjNet +11.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.791 (#277) | AdjNet +11.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.652 (#277) | AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 58.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Allegheny | W | 48 - 42 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Lake Forest | L | 56 - 58 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Bluffton | L | 56 - 57 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | DePauw | L | 50 - 60 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | UChicago | L | 47 - 66 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Hope | L | 52 - 71 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Trine | L | 54 - 70 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Kalamazoo | W | 54 - 47 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Millikin | W | 75 - 63 |
| 2024-12-20 | vs | Mt. St. Joseph | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Otterbein | L | 48 - 63 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Hamilton | L | 43 - 71 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Alma | W | 66 - 57 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Olivet | W | 55 - 53 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Adrian | W | 64 - 51 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Calvin | L | 51 - 69 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | St. Mary's (IN) | W | 54 - 53 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Trine | L | 38 - 66 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Hope | L | 61 - 72 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Alma | L | 61 - 76 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Kalamazoo | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Olivet | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Calvin | L | 37 - 62 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Adrian | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | St. Mary's (IN) | W | 69 - 65 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Alma | W | 69 - 52 |
| 2025-02-28 | @ | Trine | L | 34 - 61 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlee Mills | - | 1 | 33.0 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 81 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 70.0 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0.06 | 86.2 | 85.0 |
| Anyiah Murphy | - | 1 | 27.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 120 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 54.5 | 40.0 | 66.7 | 0.61 | 64.9 | 63.6 |
| Morgan Jenkins | - | 1 | 36.0 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 13.0 | 107 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 40.0 | 14.3 | 0 | 0.96 | 43.3 | 43.3 |
| Meghan Trewhella | - | 24 | 33.4 | 12.8 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 11.8 | 5.5 | -28 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 44.4 | 17.4 | 78.8 | 0.45 | 49.2 | 45.1 |
| Emma Cooke | - | 27 | 33.1 | 12.1 | 8.6 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 10.4 | 11.1 | -34 | -1.3 | -1.2 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 73.5 | 0.1 | 49.2 | 42.9 |
| Madison Drummonds | - | 1 | 35.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 120 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 83.3 | 0 | 33.3 | 0.57 | 75.1 | 83.3 |
| Ava Guilford | - | 27 | 36.7 | 10.6 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 9.4 | 9.5 | -105 | -3.0 | -2.7 | 36.6 | 28.5 | 82.1 | -0.6 | 49.8 | 43.9 |
| Ella Stivers | - | 1 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 57.1 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.39 | 63.5 | 57.1 |
| Brooklynn Tornes | - | 22 | 20.8 | 6.7 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 8.6 | 1.8 | -14 | -0.8 | -1.0 | 29.1 | 6.7 | 59.7 | 0.04 | 34.2 | 29.4 |
| Payton Baker | - | 15 | 23.8 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 3.8 | -55 | -2.5 | -3.1 | 39.5 | 36.4 | 93.3 | -0.34 | 48.6 | 44.2 |
| Khaleeya Cook | - | 25 | 20.3 | 5.9 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 6.8 | 3.0 | -33 | -1.0 | -1.2 | 31.2 | 28.9 | 61.5 | 0.04 | 40.8 | 38.8 |
| Dj Pannell | - | 3 | 14.7 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.7 | -0.3 | -55 | -1.5 | -3.1 | 21.4 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.4 | 28.6 | 28.6 |
| Anja Kelley | - | 27 | 21.2 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 3.3 | -45 | -1.7 | -2.8 | 32.4 | 21.4 | 60.0 | -0.27 | 39.6 | 38.7 |
| Sydney Schoenborn | - | 26 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.1 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 31.8 | 31.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 38.3 | 38.6 |
| Zhia Martin | - | 24 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 55.4 | 60.0 |
| Kailey Christensen | - | 25 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -8 | -1.1 | -5.3 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.14 | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Avery Roundtree | - | 25 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 19.3 | 16.7 |
| Catherine Vanderweg | - | 3 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | -32 | -1.3 | -5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Ashlee Hawes | - | 23 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Anyieth Nhial | - | 25 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | -0.2 | -20 | -1.2 | -5.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.45 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Brazyll Watkins | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Aubree Depenbrock | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Katelyn Reilly | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Hailey Guingrich | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 56 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 |
| Elizabeth McCoy | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -22 | -1.1 | -7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.41 | 0 | 0 |
| Katie Tatum | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -6 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Tionne McMillion | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mackenzie Butler | - | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 33 | 1.7 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Patterson | - | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ali Winchester | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -47 | -4.3 | -8.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Yulianna Siano-Dowell | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8 | 0.4 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.48 | 0 | 0 |
| Kenady Hudson | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Shena Fleming | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -16 | -1.1 | -3.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG