Albion
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 994 (#253) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1101 (#137) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1113 (#81) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.1 (#93) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.1 (#200) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.735 (#343) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.755 (#251) | NetEff +8.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.787 (#278) | AdjNet +11.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.791 (#277) | AdjNet +11.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.652 (#277) | AdjO 65.4 | AdjD 58.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.700 (#123) | AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 57.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.747 (#169) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.751 (#165) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1166 (#94) | RD 101 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Heidelberg | W | 98 - 32 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Hiram | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Concordia Chicago | W | 88 - 84 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Anderson (IN) | W | 76 - 74 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Earlham | W | 67 - 51 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Kalamazoo | W | 56 - 44 |
| 2025-12-12 | @ | Calvin | L | 50 - 66 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | DePauw | L | 66 - 77 |
| 2025-12-22 | @ | Whitworth | W | 71 - 49 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | UChicago | L | 57 - 79 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | St. Mary's (IN) | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Trine | L | 58 - 78 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Calvin | W | 55 - 52 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Alma | W | 81 - 61 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | St. Mary's (IN) | W | 75 - 56 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Hope | W | 60 - 54 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Trine | L | 37 - 69 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Olivet | W | 70 - 59 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meghan Trewhella | - | 18 | 33.0 | 20.1 | 5.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 14.4 | 12.1 | -12 | -0.6 | -4.1 | 50.6 | 31.6 | 83.9 | 2.26 | 58.7 | 51.7 |
| Ava Guilford | - | 18 | 37.0 | 11.2 | 7.2 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 9.6 | 13.2 | -39 | -2.1 | -13.3 | 38.4 | 36.4 | 75.0 | 2.1 | 50.7 | 45.3 |
| Khaleeya Cook | - | 18 | 28.5 | 8.3 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 9.9 | 3.9 | -41 | -2.2 | -16.9 | 34.6 | 21.2 | 46.2 | -1.36 | 39.4 | 38.5 |
| Payton Baker | - | 18 | 29.0 | 7.7 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 7.7 | 4.8 | 13 | 0.7 | 4.9 | 39.6 | 36.8 | 75.0 | 1.16 | 47.0 | 44.6 |
| Anna Honnen | - | 18 | 23.1 | 7.2 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 6.5 | 7.0 | -16 | -0.8 | -7.3 | 47.0 | 38.5 | 51.7 | 0.67 | 50.1 | 49.1 |
| Alexis Trine | - | 16 | 11.5 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 2.8 | -36 | -2.0 | -37.1 | 38.9 | 0.0 | 52.2 | -0.52 | 42.1 | 38.9 |
| Molly McLeod | - | 17 | 7.6 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.6 | -0.4 | 7 | 0.4 | 6.3 | 24.6 | 26.1 | 25.0 | -0.08 | 34.3 | 34.4 |
| Anyieth Nhial | - | 14 | 8.3 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 2.0 | -25 | -1.6 | -20.6 | 43.3 | 54.5 | 100.0 | 0.62 | 55.1 | 53.3 |
| DJ Pannell | - | 18 | 10.3 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | -14 | -0.7 | -14.7 | 33.3 | 34.3 | 50.0 | 2.6 | 48.2 | 47.6 |
| Deziray Skirka | - | 18 | 15.9 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 3.4 | -6 | -0.3 | -5.1 | 53.8 | 25.0 | 52.6 | 0.85 | 56.8 | 55.8 |
| Zhia Martin | - | 2 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -1 | -0.3 | -8.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ashlee Hawes | - | 7 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | -3 | -0.4 | -16.7 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.49 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Brook Zeleny | - | 5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | -3 | -0.5 | -54.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.19 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG