🐻⬇️🏀

Albion

Also known as: Albion
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1031 (#184) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1012 (#251) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -2.4 (#157) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.451 (#501) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.3 More → 0.434 (#324) NetEff -2.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.2 More → 0.257 (#485) AdjNet -9.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.5 More → 0.249 (#486) AdjNet -9.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 75.0 More → 0.357 (#482) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 75.0

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 vs Illinois Tech W 87 - 75
2024-11-12 @ Manchester L 72 - 79
2024-11-16 vs Westminster (PA) W 84 - 63
2024-11-19 vs Oberlin L 60 - 65
2024-11-23 @ Mt. St. Joseph W 84 - 63
2024-11-24 vs Hiram W 84 - 81
2024-12-17 vs Aurora L 58 - 60
2024-12-21 vs Wabash L 51 - 73
2024-12-22 vs Mary Hardin-Baylor L 47 - 63
2024-12-29 @ Huntingdon W 85 - 78
2024-12-30 @ Oglethorpe L 84 - 88
2025-01-08 @ Calvin L 58 - 76
2025-01-11 vs Adrian L 70 - 73
2025-01-15 @ Olivet L 66 - 69
2025-01-18 @ Trine L 56 - 66
2025-01-22 @ Alma W 83 - 55
2025-01-25 vs Kalamazoo W 79 - 68
2025-01-29 vs Hope W 76 - 74
2025-02-01 vs Alma W 87 - 63
2025-02-05 @ Kalamazoo L 78 - 83
2025-02-08 vs Olivet L 73 - 79
2025-02-12 vs Trine L 69 - 72
2025-02-15 @ Adrian W 76 - 64
2025-02-19 vs Calvin L 47 - 74
2025-02-22 @ Hope L 56 - 81
2025-02-26 @ Olivet L 68 - 76

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Michael Umeh - 26 18.0 10.9 6.2 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.5 7.5 10.7 -20 -1.2 -2.9 60.0 0 55.7 0.79 60.5 60.0
Marco Lucchesi - 26 22.0 10.0 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.2 1.2 8.3 5.1 -40 -3.3 -5.2 40.7 20.7 79.4 0.61 50.1 42.1
AJ Barden - 26 20.8 8.0 8.7 1.7 1.0 0.7 2.2 6.2 11.7 -92 -6.1 -9.9 53.4 33.3 41.3 -0.78 54.8 56.2
Dwayne Ray - 26 20.4 7.9 2.4 1.5 1.0 0.0 1.8 6.6 4.5 -26 -1.4 -3.4 42.1 43.8 70.2 1.03 53.5 50.3
Kurtis Rhodes - 26 22.1 7.6 2.8 1.2 0.6 0.3 1.5 6.2 4.7 -93 -5.8 -11.7 43.2 32.4 68.0 -0.61 53.8 50.6
Kameron Mayes - 5 11.8 7.4 2.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 1.0 5.4 5.0 - - - 51.9 0.0 60.0 - 55.1 51.9
BJ Hunter - 23 23.5 7.1 2.4 2.2 0.6 0.1 1.6 6.3 4.6 -87 -5.4 -8.3 40.3 35.1 70.0 -0.11 50.7 47.2
Jaylen Flaniken - 24 17.8 5.2 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.1 1.6 4.8 2.9 -36 -3.6 -6.6 43.1 16.7 66.7 -0.35 47.4 43.5
Truman King - 26 13.5 3.6 1.7 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 4.0 2.0 -33 -2.8 -20.7 30.8 29.2 60.0 0.05 43.8 43.3
Mekhi Wingfield - 16 5.9 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.2 2.5 2.2 7 7.0 80.8 42.5 40.7 71.4 -0.95 58.0 56.2
Malachi Hooser - 24 11.5 2.4 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.0 1.0 2.3 1.9 -49 -4.5 -22.0 30.9 28.6 81.8 0.08 44.8 36.4
Beck Willems - 25 11.8 1.9 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.6 1.2 -20 -2.0 -5.1 20.0 23.8 80.0 0.66 33.5 27.7
Mason Brodi - 22 2.4 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 -11 -1.4 -21.1 50.0 37.5 76.5 -0.35 68.1 59.4
Nate Childers - 24 4.8 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.2 19 4.8 65.0 32.3 25.9 50.0 -0.55 44.6 43.5
Ethan Woolery - 26 2.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 -17 -2.1 -63.7 42.9 0.0 77.8 -0.55 59.3 42.9
Drew Daiek - 24 1.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 -3 -1.0 -13.1 0.0 0 87.5 -0.62 41.1 0.0
Nate Delaney - 15 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 - - - 33.3 0 33.3 - 34.7 33.3
Mikey Clark - 23 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 13 4.3 101.6 12.5 12.5 0 -0.87 18.8 18.8
Sincere Germany - 13 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kendall Bentley - 9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.1 - - - 0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0
Anthony Hutter - 9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.1 2 2.0 51.6 0 0 0.0 -1.29 0.0 0
Noah Vanlaninham - 10 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 -1.0 -76.2 0 0 0 -1.46 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG