🐻⬇️🏀

Albion

Also known as: Albion
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1009 (#372) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1008 (#373) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 976 (#563) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -1.3 (#135) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -8.7 (#506) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.451 (#501) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +6.9 More → 0.684 (#33) NetEff +6.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.2 More → 0.257 (#485) AdjNet -9.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.5 More → 0.249 (#486) AdjNet -9.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 75.0 More → 0.357 (#482) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 75.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 73.2 More → 0.423 (#548) AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 73.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.379 (#511) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.382 (#517) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 21 More → 996 (#376) RD 97 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Mt. St. Joseph W 74 - 61
2025-11-10 vs Manchester W 86 - 63
2025-11-14 @ Westminster (PA) W 90 - 60
2025-11-15 @ Thiel W 66 - 56
2025-11-21 vs Kenyon L 64 - 82
2025-11-22 vs Wis. Lutheran L 67 - 69
2025-12-02 vs Ohio Northern W 72 - 71
2025-12-15 @ Illinois Tech L 64 - 73
2025-12-20 @ Aurora L 67 - 80
2025-12-29 @ Westminster (PA) W 83 - 63
2025-12-30 @ Allegheny W 66 - 60
2026-01-07 @ Olivet L 59 - 69
2026-01-10 @ Kalamazoo W 81 - 71
2026-01-14 vs Trine L 69 - 73
2026-01-17 @ Calvin L 77 - 80
2026-01-21 vs Alma W 87 - 60
2026-01-24 vs Adrian W 80 - 78
2026-01-28 @ Hope L 72 - 95
2026-01-31 vs Calvin W 73 - 69
2026-02-04 @ Trine L 58 - 74
2026-02-07 vs Olivet L 57 - 71

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kameron Mayes - 20 31.4 14.2 6.5 3.1 1.2 0.2 2.9 10.5 11.8 -14 -0.7 -2.4 45.2 32.7 75.7 1.88 55.6 49.0
Michael Umeh - 20 23.5 13.2 7.8 0.6 1.1 1.2 2.0 8.9 12.8 31 1.5 7.0 62.6 0.0 59.1 0.82 63.2 62.6
Nathan Richardson - 1 37.0 13.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 6.0 7.0 13.0 -22 -1.1 -3.8 71.4 100.0 100.0 1.82 82.5 78.6
Conner Schipper - 1 38.0 12.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 0.0 7.0 16.0 -2 -0.1 -0.4 57.1 0 80.0 -1.18 65.2 57.1
Porter Kretschman - 1 24.0 11.0 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 9.0 -33 -1.6 -5.9 71.4 0 100.0 -0.79 73.9 71.4
Mike Okello - 1 18.0 11.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 13.0 18 0.9 6.9 71.4 0 100.0 -0.82 73.9 71.4
Kurtis Rhodes - 18 25.5 10.9 4.0 1.6 0.6 0.9 1.5 8.9 7.6 -12 -0.6 -2.8 45.6 38.6 82.9 3.05 56.2 52.5
Malachi Hooser - 20 25.0 7.4 2.7 2.3 0.9 0.1 1.4 5.0 7.1 -6 -0.3 -1.3 44.4 38.2 82.5 1.83 59.6 51.0
Mason Brodi - 20 19.0 7.2 3.5 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.8 6.3 5.8 -1 -0.0 -0.3 46.5 30.2 53.8 -0.92 52.4 51.6
Sean Shenker - 1 34.0 7.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 3.0 60 3.2 12.2 30.0 0.0 100.0 3.62 33.5 30.0
Dwayne Ray - 18 17.8 6.8 1.7 1.7 0.9 0.0 1.1 6.0 4.1 -34 -1.8 -11.1 42.6 33.3 65.2 -2.72 52.1 50.0
Truman King - 20 26.1 6.0 2.9 0.9 1.4 0.1 0.5 5.6 5.2 -4 -0.2 -0.8 33.0 38.9 78.6 2.32 50.8 48.7
Lee Hardy - 1 20.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 9.0 5.0 -35 -1.8 -11.1 33.3 0 0 2.35 33.3 33.3
BJ Hunter - 18 20.2 5.0 1.9 1.0 0.9 0.1 1.3 6.1 1.5 -62 -3.3 -19.0 30.0 21.2 68.0 -1.27 37.2 33.2
Vince Salmon - 6 7.0 2.0 1.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 2.3 1.0 -5 -0.8 -5.2 35.7 0.0 66.7 -1.07 39.2 35.7
Kendall Bentley - 1 1.8 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 3 3.0 66.1 50.0 0 0 0.49 50.0 50.0
Jacek Haight - 2 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 -3 -1.5 -19.3 33.3 33.3 0 -0.33 50.0 50.0
Bowen Moore - 5 4.1 1.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.6 4 0.8 12.5 50.0 100.0 0 0.28 58.3 58.3
Ethan Woolery - 14 7.6 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 1.6 1.3 -38 -2.5 -35.2 26.1 20.0 60.0 -1.08 33.7 30.4
Cam Essell - 5 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 1.0 -2 -0.4 -12.0 66.7 0 33.3 -1.22 53.2 66.7
Austin Miller - 5 3.6 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.6 -7 -1.2 -31.3 66.7 66.7 0 -0.47 100.0 100.0
Miles Pritchett - 5 5.9 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 - - - 75.0 0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Tyler Davis - 12 5.2 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.2 0.9 22 1.7 41.6 28.6 25.0 66.7 1.62 39.1 32.1
Kaleb Brown - 9 4.7 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 -14 -1.6 -208.7 66.7 0 12.5 -1.17 47.3 66.7
Colin Whalen - 5 2.4 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 -4 -0.8 -24.0 50.0 0 0 -1.22 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG