Albion
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1009 (#372) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1008 (#373) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 976 (#563) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.3 (#135) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.7 (#506) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.451 (#501) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.684 (#33) | NetEff +6.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.257 (#485) | AdjNet -9.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.249 (#486) | AdjNet -9.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.357 (#482) | AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 75.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.423 (#548) | AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 73.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.379 (#511) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.382 (#517) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 996 (#376) | RD 97 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | W | 74 - 61 |
| 2025-11-10 | vs | Manchester | W | 86 - 63 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Westminster (PA) | W | 90 - 60 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Thiel | W | 66 - 56 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Kenyon | L | 64 - 82 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Wis. Lutheran | L | 67 - 69 |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Ohio Northern | W | 72 - 71 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Illinois Tech | L | 64 - 73 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Aurora | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Westminster (PA) | W | 83 - 63 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Allegheny | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Olivet | L | 59 - 69 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Kalamazoo | W | 81 - 71 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Trine | L | 69 - 73 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Calvin | L | 77 - 80 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Alma | W | 87 - 60 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Adrian | W | 80 - 78 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Hope | L | 72 - 95 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Calvin | W | 73 - 69 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Trine | L | 58 - 74 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Olivet | L | 57 - 71 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron Mayes | - | 20 | 31.4 | 14.2 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 10.5 | 11.8 | -14 | -0.7 | -2.4 | 45.2 | 32.7 | 75.7 | 1.88 | 55.6 | 49.0 |
| Michael Umeh | - | 20 | 23.5 | 13.2 | 7.8 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 8.9 | 12.8 | 31 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 62.6 | 0.0 | 59.1 | 0.82 | 63.2 | 62.6 |
| Nathan Richardson | - | 1 | 37.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | -22 | -1.1 | -3.8 | 71.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 1.82 | 82.5 | 78.6 |
| Conner Schipper | - | 1 | 38.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 57.1 | 0 | 80.0 | -1.18 | 65.2 | 57.1 |
| Porter Kretschman | - | 1 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | -33 | -1.6 | -5.9 | 71.4 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.79 | 73.9 | 71.4 |
| Mike Okello | - | 1 | 18.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 18 | 0.9 | 6.9 | 71.4 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.82 | 73.9 | 71.4 |
| Kurtis Rhodes | - | 18 | 25.5 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 8.9 | 7.6 | -12 | -0.6 | -2.8 | 45.6 | 38.6 | 82.9 | 3.05 | 56.2 | 52.5 |
| Malachi Hooser | - | 20 | 25.0 | 7.4 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 5.0 | 7.1 | -6 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 44.4 | 38.2 | 82.5 | 1.83 | 59.6 | 51.0 |
| Mason Brodi | - | 20 | 19.0 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 6.3 | 5.8 | -1 | -0.0 | -0.3 | 46.5 | 30.2 | 53.8 | -0.92 | 52.4 | 51.6 |
| Sean Shenker | - | 1 | 34.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 60 | 3.2 | 12.2 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 3.62 | 33.5 | 30.0 |
| Dwayne Ray | - | 18 | 17.8 | 6.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 6.0 | 4.1 | -34 | -1.8 | -11.1 | 42.6 | 33.3 | 65.2 | -2.72 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Truman King | - | 20 | 26.1 | 6.0 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 5.6 | 5.2 | -4 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 33.0 | 38.9 | 78.6 | 2.32 | 50.8 | 48.7 |
| Lee Hardy | - | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | -35 | -1.8 | -11.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 2.35 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| BJ Hunter | - | 18 | 20.2 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 6.1 | 1.5 | -62 | -3.3 | -19.0 | 30.0 | 21.2 | 68.0 | -1.27 | 37.2 | 33.2 |
| Vince Salmon | - | 6 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.0 | -5 | -0.8 | -5.2 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -1.07 | 39.2 | 35.7 |
| Kendall Bentley | - | 1 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 3.0 | 66.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.49 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jacek Haight | - | 2 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | -3 | -1.5 | -19.3 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.33 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Bowen Moore | - | 5 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 | 12.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.28 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Ethan Woolery | - | 14 | 7.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 1.3 | -38 | -2.5 | -35.2 | 26.1 | 20.0 | 60.0 | -1.08 | 33.7 | 30.4 |
| Cam Essell | - | 5 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | -2 | -0.4 | -12.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 33.3 | -1.22 | 53.2 | 66.7 |
| Austin Miller | - | 5 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | -7 | -1.2 | -31.3 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.47 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Miles Pritchett | - | 5 | 5.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Tyler Davis | - | 12 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 22 | 1.7 | 41.6 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 66.7 | 1.62 | 39.1 | 32.1 |
| Kaleb Brown | - | 9 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | -14 | -1.6 | -208.7 | 66.7 | 0 | 12.5 | -1.17 | 47.3 | 66.7 |
| Colin Whalen | - | 5 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | -4 | -0.8 | -24.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.22 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG