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Albany

Also known as: Albany Great Danes
Program History

2017 Team Stats (15 games)

68.4
PPG
63.6
Opp
+4.8
Margin
44.2%
FG%
31.1%
3P%
74.9%
FT%
36.9
RPG
11.6
APG
11.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.8
Adj PPG
67.3
Adj Opp PPG
#137
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1070 (#128) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1040 (#134) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 1055 (#89) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +1.1 (#146) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +3.0 (#117) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.682 (#71) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.7 More โ†’ 0.521 (#152) AdjNet +0.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.7 More โ†’ 0.520 (#153) AdjNet +0.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 67.3 More โ†’ 0.534 (#137) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 67.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 65.1 More โ†’ 0.601 (#73) AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 65.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.564 (#127) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.578 (#123) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 111 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1024 (#148) RD 111 | GP 34

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 87 - 81
2016-11-14 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 51 - 74
2016-11-16 vs SUNY Oneonta Red Dragons W 97 - 56
2016-11-19 @ Grand Canyon Lopes L 77 - 82
2016-11-20 vs Brown Bears W 80 - 76
2016-11-27 vs Siena Saints W 81 - 72
2016-11-30 vs Holy Cross Crusaders L 49 - 55
2016-12-03 @ Yale Bulldogs L 55 - 59
2016-12-07 vs Marist Red Foxes W 78 - 66
2016-12-10 @ Colgate Raiders W 74 - 66
2016-12-12 @ Canisius Golden Griffins L 64 - 77
2016-12-17 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 87 - 60
2016-12-20 @ SMU Mustangs L 53 - 71
2016-12-30 @ Columbia Lions W 70 - 67
2017-01-02 vs Cornell Big Red W 69 - 59
2017-01-05 @ UMass Lowell River Hawks L 79 - 85
2017-01-08 @ Stony Brook Seawolves L 70 - 72
2017-01-11 vs New Hampshire Wildcats L 67 - 75
2017-01-16 @ UMBC Retrievers W 77 - 50
2017-01-19 vs Binghamton Bearcats W 84 - 65
2017-01-22 vs Maine Black Bears W 81 - 63
2017-01-25 vs Vermont Catamounts L 49 - 60
2017-01-28 @ Hartford Hawks W 74 - 61
2017-02-01 vs UMass Lowell River Hawks W 90 - 77
2017-02-04 vs Stony Brook Seawolves L 65 - 72
2017-02-06 @ New Hampshire Wildcats W 69 - 55
2017-02-09 @ Binghamton Bearcats W 66 - 54
2017-02-15 vs UMBC Retrievers W 78 - 69
2017-02-19 @ Maine Black Bears W 74 - 56
2017-02-22 @ Vermont Catamounts L 50 - 62
2017-02-25 vs Hartford Hawks W 80 - 62
2017-03-01 vs Hartford Hawks W 100 - 71
2017-03-06 @ Stony Brook Seawolves W 63 - 56
2017-03-11 @ Vermont Catamounts L 53 - 56
2017-03-16 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks L 55 - 59

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
David Nichols David Nichols G 26 34.1 17.9 3.5 3.1 1.3 0.1 2.5 10.1 13.2 103 33 3.1 3.8 39.5 22.8 81.6 0.27 81.9 42.0
Joe Cremo Joe Cremo G 26 34.8 14.5 5.2 3.8 1.0 0.2 2.5 6.9 15.2 149 33 4.5 5.4 40.8 28.0 82.4 3.17 90.2 44.7
Travis Charles Travis Charles F 23 17.5 8.2 3.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.9 3.1 8.5 10 31 0.3 0.8 64.8 0 63.6 -2.83 110.5 64.8
Greig Stire Greig Stire F 26 22.6 7.4 5.9 1.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.7 11.0 96 33 2.9 5.1 52.1 0 59.4 0.02 113.4 52.1
Jaraan Lands Jaraan Lands F 3 16.7 6.3 3.3 0.3 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.3 7.7 - - - - 25.0 0 28.6 - 134.2 25.0
Devonte Campbell Devonte Campbell F 21 23.1 6.2 4.4 0.9 0.7 0.2 1.0 1.9 9.5 173 24 7.2 12.3 60.0 45.5 80.5 3.97 112.0 66.2
Mike Rowley Mike Rowley F 26 29.7 5.8 5.5 1.6 0.8 0.3 1.2 2.5 10.3 60 33 1.8 2.6 43.1 0 82.9 -1.71 93.9 43.1
Marqueese Grayson Marqueese Grayson G 20 17.5 5.1 2.2 1.0 0.7 0.1 1.6 2.7 4.8 -18 25 -0.7 -1.8 35.2 33.3 45.5 -1.76 86.7 43.5
Dallas Ennema Dallas Ennema F 26 20.3 4.8 2.7 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.6 2.2 6.2 53 32 1.7 3.5 43.1 40.5 73.3 -0.45 96.7 57.8
Costa Anderson Costa Anderson G 22 7.3 2.6 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.2 33 26 1.3 7.4 40.0 28.6 100.0 -1.13 121.2 50.0
Jamir Andrews Jamir Andrews G 2 12.0 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.0 - - - - 40.0 25.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Terrel Martin-Garcia Terrel Martin-Garcia F 9 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 2.6 -10 10 -1.0 -14.9 33.3 0 0 -3.46 300.0 33.3
Nick Fruscio Nick Fruscio G 5 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 -7 7 -1.0 -34.8 50.0 100.0 0 -1.99 150.0 75.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG