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Albany

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Albany Great Danes
Program History
Coach: Dwayne Killings

2027 Team Stats (2 games)

73.0
PPG
67.5
Opp
+5.5
Margin
43.1%
FG%
25.0%
3P%
65.1%
FT%
42.0
RPG
12.5
APG
11.5
TO
69.0
Est. poss./game
69.1
Adj PPG
64.6
Adj Opp PPG
#272
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 727 (returning production + recruiting): last season 855, returning -28, transfers -62, freshmen -37 More → 746 (#317) Preseason prior 727 (returning production + recruiting): last season 855, returning -28, transfers -62, freshmen -37
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 855 (#317) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +274 elo More → 935 (#296) HCA +274 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +11.1 More → -8.4 (#290) HCA +11.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +11.1 More → -8.1 (#289) HCA +11.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.303 (#236) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.2 More → 0.341 (#287) AdjNet -3.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.2 More → 0.339 (#287) AdjNet -3.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 64.6 More → 0.371 (#272) AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 64.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 64.6 More → 0.429 (#243) AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 64.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.325 (#290) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.336 (#287) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 217 | GP 1 More → 844 (#309) RD 217 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Rhode Island College Anchormen W 74 - 67
2026-11-05 @ Manhattan Jaspers W 72 - 68
2026-11-08 vs Merrimack Warriors - Preview
2026-11-11 vs Dartmouth Big Green - Preview

2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tyler Jones Tyler Jones G 2 33.5 19.5 3.5 2.0 3.0 1.0 3.5 13.0 12.5 4 2 2.0 2.4 46.2 40.0 78.6 -1.06 60.6 53.8
Ollie Engen Ollie Engen G 2 37.5 18.5 4.0 7.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 18.5 11.0 15 2 7.5 8.0 45.9 12.5 50.0 0.26 47.7 47.3
Zacharie Matulu Zacharie Matulu G 2 32.0 10.0 10.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.5 10.5 10.0 26 2 13.0 16.3 33.3 30.8 100.0 1.34 45.7 42.9
U-Mier Graham U-Mier Graham F 2 23.5 8.0 5.5 2.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 3.5 12.5 27 2 13.5 22.5 71.4 50.0 83.3 1.99 83.0 78.6
Erwann Bussing Erwann Bussing F 2 16.5 5.0 4.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 5.5 5.0 -8 2 -4.0 -9.7 27.3 22.2 100.0 -1.3 42.1 36.4
Abdoulaye Fall Abdoulaye Fall G 2 10.5 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.5 3.0 3 2 1.5 5.5 60.0 0.0 100.0 -1.68 68.0 60.0
Papa Kounta Papa Kounta G 2 19.0 3.5 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 2.0 4.0 2.5 -2 2 -1.0 -2.1 25.0 0.0 50.0 -0.77 32.9 25.0
Kean Webb Kean Webb C 2 10.0 3.0 3.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 1.5 6.5 -7 2 -3.5 -14.1 100.0 0 0.0 -2.85 77.3 100.0
Moustapha Ndao Moustapha Ndao G 1 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 -1 1 -1.0 -6.8 100.0 0 33.3 -0.07 64.7 100.0
Ben Michaels Ben Michaels F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Petar Miovic Petar Miovic F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Wilkin Paulino Wilkin Paulino G 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 1 -1.0 -15.6 0 0 0 -0.89 0 0
Miles Rose Miles Rose G 2 12.5 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -1 2 -0.5 -1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1.7 0.0 0.0
Pedro Santos Pedro Santos G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Callum Smith Callum Smith C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

123 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Jones29% Engen50% Engen33% Engen100% Engen100% Jones67% Matulu50% Bussing50% Engen33%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Jones36% Engen53% Jones100% Engen50% Kounta43% Bussing33% Matulu38% Bussing50% Jones33%
Misses: who misses most here

Ollie EngenTyler JonesZacharie MatuluErwann BussingPapa Kounta

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 17-31 54.8 34 Tyler Jones 29% (10 pts) Kean Webb 18% (6 pts) Tyler Jones 36% (5 misses) Ollie Engen 21% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 16-33 48.5 32 Ollie Engen 50% (16 pts) Abdoulaye Fall 12% (4 pts) Ollie Engen 53% (9 misses) Zacharie Matulu 18% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 3-3 100.0 6 Ollie Engen 33% (2 pts) Tyler Jones 33% (2 pts) - -
Mid-range center 2-3 66.7 4 Ollie Engen 100% (4 pts) - Tyler Jones 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 3-5 60.0 6 Ollie Engen 100% (6 pts) - Ollie Engen 50% (1 misses) Tyler Jones 50% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 3-10 30.0 9 Tyler Jones 67% (6 pts) Zacharie Matulu 33% (3 pts) Papa Kounta 43% (3 misses) Ollie Engen 29% (2 misses)
Right corner 3 0-3 0.0 0 - - Erwann Bussing 33% (1 misses) Miles Rose 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 4-17 23.5 12 Zacharie Matulu 50% (6 pts) Erwann Bussing 25% (3 pts) Zacharie Matulu 38% (5 misses) Erwann Bussing 23% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-6 33.3 6 Erwann Bussing 50% (3 pts) U-Mier Graham 50% (3 pts) Erwann Bussing 50% (2 misses) Ollie Engen 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 3-12 25.0 9 Ollie Engen 33% (3 pts) Tyler Jones 33% (3 pts) Tyler Jones 33% (3 misses) Ollie Engen 22% (2 misses)