Alas. Fairbanks
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 873 (#333) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 844 (#332) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.9 (#260) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.043 (#572) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.084 (#342) | NetEff -18.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.106 (#590) | AdjNet -18.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.103 (#590) | AdjNet -18.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.245 (#596) | AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 75.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milahnie Perry | - | 1 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 66.7 | 83.3 | 0.36 | 81.1 | 78.6 |
| Keelie O'Hollaren | - | 1 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.5 | 75.1 | 68.8 |
| Madison Smith | - | 1 | 18.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 62 | 7.8 | 10.3 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.23 | 43.8 | 43.8 |
| Destiny Reimers | - | 26 | 25.9 | 14.0 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 13.3 | 8.8 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 40.0 | 25.2 | 70.6 | 0.27 | 47.5 | 43.9 |
| Emily Adams | - | 1 | 19.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.49 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jayda Van dyke | - | 2 | 25.5 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 8.5 | -22 | -0.9 | -1.2 | 46.7 | 66.7 | 66.7 | -0.1 | 61.3 | 60.0 |
| Miranda Lomax | - | 26 | 24.6 | 9.9 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 9.5 | 4.1 | -54 | -1.5 | -2.3 | 35.6 | 33.8 | 75.6 | -0.17 | 48.2 | 45.1 |
| Taylor Pilot | - | 26 | 23.1 | 7.3 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 6.4 | 7.1 | -19 | -0.8 | -1.0 | 38.6 | 29.2 | 59.3 | 0.02 | 45.9 | 40.7 |
| Alexis Cortez | - | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.2 | 41.0 | 33.3 |
| Emily Freeman | - | 26 | 28.0 | 5.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 6.0 | 1.6 | -62 | -1.7 | -1.9 | 32.3 | 33.6 | 44.4 | -0.4 | 48.4 | 48.4 |
| Kayla Johnson | - | 23 | 10.7 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 4.9 | 3.9 | -19 | -1.5 | -2.4 | 43.8 | 35.0 | 63.0 | -0.19 | 50.7 | 46.9 |
| Jayda McNabb | - | 1 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.39 | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Tristian Martin | - | 23 | 13.7 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 36.3 | 29.5 | 75.0 | 0.06 | 44.6 | 42.0 |
| Amelia Brady | - | 22 | 15.7 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4.6 | 4.5 | -64 | -2.2 | -3.4 | 42.2 | 16.7 | 41.4 | -0.3 | 43.1 | 42.6 |
| Jordyn DeVaughn | - | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Marissa Hargrave | - | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Bobbi Clark | - | 22 | 12.2 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 2.5 | -17 | -0.9 | -1.9 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 69.4 | 0.05 | 44.8 | 38.0 |
| Anna Nevison | - | 26 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 0.3 | -13 | -0.6 | -2.0 | 31.1 | 31.0 | 50.0 | -0.03 | 44.0 | 43.2 |
| Taylor Tiulana | - | 26 | 11.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 18 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 29.2 | 28.1 | 66.7 | 0.29 | 44.4 | 43.1 |
| Jo Huntimer | - | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.35 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Sydney Roundtree | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Parker Brown | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Emma Lytle | - | 1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Halle Waram | - | 23 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 8 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 21.2 | 26.3 | 70.0 | 0.17 | 34.8 | 28.8 |
| McKayla Hart | - | 21 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 46.2 | 25.0 | 57.1 | -0.04 | 52.9 | 50.0 |
| Grace Gillespie | - | 24 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 19 | 1.1 | 6.3 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 51.5 | 66.7 |
| Tanah Gorman | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG