Alas. Fairbanks
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1066 (#83) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1056 (#122) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.1 (#198) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.416 (#384) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.401 (#262) | NetEff -3.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.519 (#412) | AdjNet +0.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.520 (#414) | AdjNet +0.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.531 (#391) | AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 75.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Saams-Hoy | - | 28 | 34.0 | 16.0 | 6.2 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 12.1 | 14.0 | -122 | -3.5 | -12.2 | 49.6 | 35.1 | 73.6 | 0.4 | 58.1 | 54.6 |
| Chris Lee | - | 28 | 31.9 | 14.3 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 12.3 | 8.3 | -157 | -5.8 | -17.9 | 42.0 | 34.0 | 79.5 | 0.16 | 53.0 | 49.6 |
| Paul Johnson | - | 28 | 27.6 | 11.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 5.2 | -107 | -4.9 | -12.3 | 47.4 | 44.7 | 75.0 | -0.11 | 60.7 | 59.2 |
| Jalai O'Keith | - | 28 | 30.0 | 11.5 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 9.1 | 9.1 | -166 | -4.9 | -18.8 | 43.0 | 38.6 | 88.7 | -0.35 | 57.8 | 53.9 |
| Elyon Zevenbergen | - | 27 | 17.7 | 8.4 | 6.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6.9 | 9.0 | -70 | -3.5 | -9.9 | 53.8 | 25.0 | 47.9 | 0.19 | 55.0 | 55.1 |
| Griffin Effenberger | - | 25 | 20.0 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.4 | 4.7 | -119 | -6.3 | -29.7 | 37.3 | 34.1 | 75.0 | 0.13 | 51.7 | 48.1 |
| Ketan Sidhu | - | 28 | 20.4 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4.1 | 6.6 | -67 | -4.2 | -13.4 | 50.0 | 31.7 | 44.4 | 0.58 | 58.1 | 58.6 |
| Jordan Gill | - | 20 | 9.0 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 51.4 | 12.5 | 71.4 | - | 57.1 | 52.9 |
| Shiloh Zevenbergen | - | 25 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 1.1 | -7 | -1.4 | -14.1 | 40.4 | 40.9 | 100.0 | -0.58 | 52.8 | 50.0 |
| Mike Miller | - | 19 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 53.8 | 0 | - | 71.9 | 71.9 |
| Jeremiah Hersrud | - | 28 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 35 | 3.2 | 42.8 | 45.0 | 38.5 | 100.0 | -0.37 | 61.0 | 57.5 |
| Jackson Krug | - | 28 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | -31 | -3.1 | -74.4 | 37.5 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.66 | 48.3 | 46.9 |
| Cortarius Mingo | - | 25 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 35 | 2.5 | 121.6 | 21.4 | 20.0 | 33.3 | -0.78 | 30.6 | 28.6 |
| Josh Davis | - | 24 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -1.7 | -32.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Isaac Garcia | - | 17 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG