Alas. Anchorage
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1045 (#128) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1068 (#129) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1002 (#147) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +14.3 (#80) | HCA +2.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.8 (#109) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.791 (#67) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.954 (#105) | NetEff +21.4 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.946 (#111) | NetEff +25.9 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.814 (#173) | NetEff +11.4 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.010 (#450) | NetEff -38.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.839 (#94) | AdjNet +14.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.847 (#95) | AdjNet +14.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.700 (#97) | AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 65.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.586 (#118) | AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 66.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.695 (#117) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.674 (#119) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1065 (#121) | RD 147 | GP 26 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Northwest (WA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Northwest (WA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Chaminade | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | St. Thomas (MN) | L | 60 - 77 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Bowling Green | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | UC Merced | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | UC Merced | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Saint Martin's | L | 60 - 69 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Western Ore. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | Oregon St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Ferris St. | L | 59 - 65 |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | Northwest Nazarene | W | 76 - 71 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Central Wash. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Alas. Fairbanks | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Simon Fraser | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Western Wash. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Seattle Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Mont. St. Billings | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Central Wash. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Northwest Nazarene | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Alas. Fairbanks | W | 79 - 69 |
| 2026-02-12 | vs | Western Wash. | L | 53 - 65 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Simon Fraser | W | 83 - 76 |
| 2026-02-19 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | L | 53 - 65 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Seattle Pacific | W | 91 - 52 |
| 2026-02-26 | vs | Western Ore. | W | 79 - 58 |
| 2026-02-28 | vs | Saint Martin's | L | 51 - 66 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahaila Harrison | - | 27 | 30.2 | 17.7 | 7.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 15.7 | 10.4 | - | - | - | - | 41.8 | 25.0 | 74.6 | - | 50.5 | 46.5 |
| Elaina Mack | - | 27 | 35.1 | 16.1 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 15.1 | 8.9 | - | - | - | - | 40.3 | 35.2 | 78.9 | - | 51.2 | 49.6 |
| Taylor Searcey | - | 16 | 27.0 | 12.9 | 6.0 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 8.8 | 14.3 | 89 | 15 | 5.9 | 9.0 | 50.7 | 29.4 | 78.7 | 0.33 | 59.5 | 52.5 |
| Mylee Anderson | - | 26 | 29.3 | 10.1 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 10.4 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 37.6 | 25.6 | 56.5 | - | 43.9 | 41.9 |
| Kimberly Carrada | - | 27 | 24.9 | 9.3 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 8.4 | 7.6 | - | - | - | - | 36.3 | 29.0 | 73.1 | - | 49.1 | 44.7 |
| Lillee Duffin | - | 25 | 28.0 | 5.5 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.9 | 12.2 | - | - | - | - | 43.9 | 10.3 | 63.4 | - | 48.6 | 45.1 |
| Faith Mersburgh | - | 23 | 19.6 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.6 | 32.5 | 64.7 | - | 43.9 | 39.7 |
| Alba Sanz | - | 24 | 12.0 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 3.2 | - | - | - | - | 28.9 | 13.3 | 65.8 | - | 39.6 | 32.5 |
| Jennifer Nash | - | 16 | 9.9 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | 34.1 | 25.0 | 72.7 | - | 46.1 | 42.0 |
| Brooke Leo | - | 8 | 10.0 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2.2 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 30.0 | 50.0 | - | 44.1 | 43.3 |
| Jaela Reid | - | 15 | 8.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 0.2 | -19 | 14 | -1.4 | -6.8 | 22.2 | 11.8 | 43.8 | -3.35 | 29.0 | 25.0 |
| Tia Allen | - | 7 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.0 | -4 | 6 | -0.7 | -7.1 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -2.07 | 58.1 | 58.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG