🐻⬇️🏀

Alabama

Also known as: Alabama Crimson Tide, Alabama
Program History

Model Outputs

1993-1994
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1264 (#36) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1200 (#39) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +119 elo More → 1131 (#27) HCA +119 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More → +10.8 (#45) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +14.7 (#27) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.660 (#75) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.0 More → 0.817 (#54) AdjNet +13.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.2 More → 0.821 (#54) AdjNet +13.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 64.2 More → 0.691 (#53) AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 64.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 65.2 More → 0.683 (#35) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 65.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.775 (#38) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.773 (#34) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 108 | GP 30 More → 1213 (#35) RD 108 | GP 30

1994 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1993-12-01 vs Chattanooga L 57 - 67
1993-12-04 N Washington State L 70 - 76
1993-12-09 vs Northwestern State W 85 - 84
1993-12-18 vs Florida A&M W 96 - 58
1993-12-21 @ Southern Mississippi L 62 - 79
1993-12-28 N Delaware State W 82 - 44
1993-12-29 @ College of Charleston L 60 - 82
1994-01-05 @ South Carolina L 66 - 82
1994-01-08 vs Arkansas W 66 - 64
1994-01-12 vs Vanderbilt W 73 - 67
1994-01-15 @ Mississippi L 54 - 70
1994-01-17 vs Tennessee–Martin W 104 - 68
1994-01-19 @ Louisiana State W 71 - 67
1994-01-22 vs Florida W 69 - 61
1994-01-25 @ Auburn W 74 - 69
1994-01-29 vs Mississippi State W 70 - 69
1994-02-02 @ Kentucky L 67 - 82
1994-02-05 @ Georgia W 78 - 77
1994-02-08 vs Louisiana State W 75 - 66
1994-02-14 vs Mercer W 88 - 63
1994-02-16 @ Arkansas L 81 - 102
1994-02-19 vs Tennessee W 84 - 70
1994-02-23 vs Tennessee State W 66 - 62
1994-02-26 vs Mississippi W 83 - 62
1994-03-02 @ Mississippi State W 60 - 49
1994-03-05 vs Auburn W 83 - 68
1994-03-11 N Auburn W 83 - 55
1994-03-12 N Florida L 52 - 68
1994-03-17 N Providence W 76 - 70
1994-03-19 N Purdue L 73 - 83

1994 Roster

No roster data available for this season.