Alabama State
Model Outputs
1992-1993
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 895 (#199) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 956 (#174) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1005 (#135) | HCA +108 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -5.8 (#209) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -3.6 (#184) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.530 (#135) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.285 (#211) | AdjNet -8.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.281 (#211) | AdjNet -8.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.381 (#214) | AdjO 75.1 | AdjD 80.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.470 (#168) | AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 77.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.396 (#199) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.413 (#192) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 895 (#213) | RD 142 | GP 23 |
1993 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1992-12-05 | vs | Florida A&M | W | 83 - 65 |
| 1992-12-08 | @ | Samford | L | 76 - 86 |
| 1992-12-18 | @ | UNC Wilmington | L | 93 - 102 |
| 1992-12-19 | N | Louisiana Tech | L | 73 - 88 |
| 1992-12-28 | N | Drexel | L | 75 - 83 |
| 1992-12-29 | N | Sam Houston | W | 82 - 75 |
| 1993-01-02 | @ | Georgia State | L | 74 - 91 |
| 1993-01-05 | @ | Florida A&M | W | 70 - 57 |
| 1993-01-09 | @ | Texas Southern | L | 89 - 91 |
| 1993-01-13 | @ | Prairie View A&M | W | 96 - 92 |
| 1993-01-16 | vs | Southern | W | 92 - 80 |
| 1993-01-18 | vs | Alcorn State | W | 97 - 87 |
| 1993-01-23 | @ | Mississippi Valley State | L | 84 - 108 |
| 1993-01-25 | vs | Grambling | W | 90 - 74 |
| 1993-01-30 | vs | Jackson State | L | 85 - 91 |
| 1993-02-06 | vs | Texas Southern | W | 83 - 69 |
| 1993-02-10 | vs | Prairie View A&M | W | 95 - 74 |
| 1993-02-13 | @ | Southern | W | 86 - 82 |
| 1993-02-15 | @ | Alcorn State | W | 85 - 81 |
| 1993-02-20 | vs | Mississippi Valley State | W | 93 - 87 |
| 1993-02-22 | @ | Grambling | L | 91 - 95 |
| 1993-02-27 | @ | Jackson State | L | 75 - 86 |
| 1993-03-11 | N | Alcorn State | L | 80 - 83 |
1993 Roster
No roster data available for this season.