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Alabama State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Alabama State Hornets
Program History
Coach: Chris Wright

2027 Team Stats (1 games)

66.0
PPG
97.0
Opp
-31.0
Margin
32.8%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
73.7%
FT%
44.0
RPG
11.0
APG
25.0
TO
84.4
Est. poss./game
67.6
Adj PPG
69.9
Adj Opp PPG
#320
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 723 (returning production + recruiting): last season 789, returning -35, transfers -1, freshmen -30 More → 721 (#333) Preseason prior 723 (returning production + recruiting): last season 789, returning -35, transfers -1, freshmen -30
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 834 (#335) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +265 elo More → 916 (#331) HCA +265 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +14.4 More → -10.7 (#329) HCA +14.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +11.1 More → -7.1 (#274) HCA +11.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.134 (#324) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -37.2 More → 0.171 (#333) NetEff -37.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.9 More → 0.181 (#311) AdjNet -6.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.8 More → 0.179 (#311) AdjNet -6.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 69.9 More → 0.321 (#320) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 69.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 69.7 More → 0.378 (#306) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 69.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.296 (#315) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.306 (#313) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More → 815 (#334) RD 218 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-03 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 66 - 97
2026-11-09 vs Georgia Gwinnett Grizzlies - Preview
2026-11-11 vs Oklahoma Panhandle PANHANDLE ST - Preview

2027 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Paul McMillan IV Paul McMillan IV G 1 37.0 17.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 16.0 3.0 - - - - 31.2 60.0 80.0 - 46.7 40.6
Michael James Michael James G 1 35.0 16.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 11.0 3.0 - - - - 45.5 60.0 100.0 - 64.9 59.1
Isaiah Barganier Isaiah Barganier F 1 19.0 8.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 9.0 - - - - 40.0 0.0 100.0 - 59.2 40.0
Noah Benny Noah Benny G 1 14.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 1.0 - - - - 40.0 40.0 100.0 - 68.0 60.0
Marquintez Dixon Marquintez Dixon F 1 17.0 4.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Terrance Hampton Terrance Hampton F 1 17.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Joseph Scott Joseph Scott F 1 18.0 4.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 4.0 - - - - 20.0 0 0.0 - 18.4 20.0
Damarion Bonds Damarion Bonds G 1 20.0 4.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 2.0 - - - - 16.7 0.0 0.0 - 16.1 16.7
JaSteven Walker JaSteven Walker F 1 9.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 17.4 0.0
Jackson Rogers Jackson Rogers G 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Amaree Brown Amaree Brown G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Prince Mensah Prince Mensah F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Tre Powell Tre Powell G 1 9.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Hasting Stewart Hasting Stewart G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Trey Miller Trey Miller G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

67 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Bonds18% James50% James100% Benny100% McMillan100% McMillan100% James60%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Scott38% McMillan60% Walker33% James50% James67% Bonds33% Bonds25% Bonds67% Bonds33%
Misses: who misses most here

Michael JamesPaul McMillan IVNoah BennyDamarion BondsJoseph ScottJaSteven Walker

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 11-27 40.7 22 Damarion Bonds 18% (4 pts) Isaiah Barganier 18% (4 pts) Joseph Scott 38% (6 misses) Damarion Bonds 25% (4 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 2-7 28.6 4 Michael James 50% (2 pts) Paul McMillan IV 50% (2 pts) Paul McMillan IV 60% (3 misses) Joseph Scott 20% (1 misses)
Mid-range left 0-3 0.0 0 - - JaSteven Walker 33% (1 misses) Joseph Scott 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-2 0.0 0 - - Michael James 50% (1 misses) Paul McMillan IV 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 1-4 25.0 2 Michael James 100% (2 pts) - Michael James 67% (2 misses) Jackson Rogers 33% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 1-4 25.0 3 Noah Benny 100% (3 pts) - Damarion Bonds 33% (1 misses) JaSteven Walker 33% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Above-break 3 left 1-5 20.0 3 Paul McMillan IV 100% (3 pts) - Damarion Bonds 25% (1 misses) Isaiah Barganier 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-4 25.0 3 Paul McMillan IV 100% (3 pts) - Damarion Bonds 67% (2 misses) Paul McMillan IV 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 5-11 45.5 15 Michael James 60% (9 pts) Noah Benny 20% (3 pts) Damarion Bonds 33% (2 misses) Michael James 33% (2 misses)