🐻⬇️🏀

Alabama State

Also known as: Alabama State Hornets
Program History

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

73.3
PPG
77.1
Opp
-3.8
Margin
41.4%
FG%
31.1%
3P%
69.8%
FT%
36.8
RPG
12.4
APG
13.3
TO
84.2
Pace
68.2
AdjO
81.3
AdjD
#330
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 753 (#340) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 754 (#344) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 896 (#675) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -12.8 (#327) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → -1.4 (#380) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.282 (#299) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -7.7 More → 0.275 (#250) NetEff -7.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.0 More → 0.124 (#328) AdjNet -17.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.2 More → 0.121 (#327) AdjNet -17.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 81.3 More → 0.233 (#330) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 81.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 74.4 More → 0.380 (#644) AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 74.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.408 (#397) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.382 (#420) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 142 | GP 30 More → 813 (#655) RD 142 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Simpson M. Simpson - 30 32.4 14.1 4.0 3.7 1.4 0.2 2.7 13.2 7.4 -13 -0.6 -0.9 35.3 33.0 77.1 -0.34 48.2 44.0
A. Anderson A. Anderson G 26 26.0 14.0 2.2 3.2 0.9 0.2 3.1 11.6 5.7 -6 -0.4 -6.0 34.2 30.3 84.0 0.0 50.6 42.0
Tyler Byrd Tyler Byrd - 29 24.4 10.1 3.3 1.1 1.6 0.6 1.4 8.0 7.2 -32 -1.6 -3.2 45.5 27.6 78.9 -0.31 55.0 50.0
J. Stanback J. Stanback - 30 24.4 8.8 5.9 0.7 1.1 2.0 1.5 6.5 10.4 -11 -0.5 -1.0 52.0 16.7 69.1 0.09 56.8 52.8
D. Yates D. Yates - 30 17.2 6.7 3.8 0.7 1.2 0.4 1.1 5.4 6.3 25 2.5 16.0 44.1 31.2 63.5 0.09 54.4 51.9
T. Mack T. Mack - 16 20.9 5.9 3.2 0.9 0.8 0.0 0.8 5.8 4.4 -26 -5.2 -12.9 35.5 27.6 50.0 -0.64 47.5 46.8
C. Palesse C. Palesse - 30 27.5 5.5 3.9 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.9 5.3 5.7 -28 -1.3 -2.3 37.7 37.8 64.0 -0.19 45.9 42.1
Tyler Mason Tyler Mason - 20 12.1 5.3 2.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 4.1 3.7 -29 -1.7 -7.8 53.7 55.6 40.6 -0.26 55.2 56.7
R'Chaun King R'Chaun King - 27 12.3 5.0 2.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.8 2.7 4.7 31 1.5 4.2 59.5 0 72.7 0.22 66.0 59.5
J. Walker J. Walker - 16 15.8 4.6 3.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.7 4.2 4.3 1 0.2 0.5 40.3 31.0 62.5 -0.28 49.3 47.0
M. Andrews M. Andrews - 29 9.3 1.7 3.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.4 -61 -3.0 -17.6 48.8 20.0 38.9 -0.64 49.1 50.0
K. Alabi K. Alabi - 6 8.5 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.5 -23 -4.6 -19.8 25.0 0 14.3 -0.34 21.2 25.0
J. Marshall J. Marshall - 6 3.8 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 -20 -4.0 -40.8 25.0 0.0 66.7 -0.29 37.6 25.0
T. Miller T. Miller G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 74 4.4 12.1 - - - -0.09 - -
D. Bonds D. Bonds G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Damion Cox Jr. Damion Cox Jr. G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -43 -3.1 -11.8 0 0 0 1.14 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG