Akron
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 981 (#169) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 983 (#176) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 987 (#177) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.1 (#164) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.5 (#157) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.523 (#145) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.462 (#176) | AdjNet -1.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.462 (#176) | AdjNet -1.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.498 (#166) | AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 75.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.490 (#166) | AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 73.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.482 (#173) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.481 (#172) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 979 (#173) | RD 141 | GP 27 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-23 | @ | Wright State | L | 75 - 78 |
| 2002-11-30 | @ | Oakland | W | 88 - 84 |
| 2002-12-04 | vs | Cleveland State | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ | James Madison | L | 82 - 84 |
| 2002-12-11 | vs | Iona | W | 85 - 78 |
| 2002-12-14 | @ | Niagara | L | 71 - 77 |
| 2002-12-21 | vs | Radford | W | 97 - 64 |
| 2002-12-28 | vs | Hampton | W | 84 - 79 |
| 2003-01-04 | vs | Ball State | W | 105 - 104 |
| 2003-01-08 | @ | Ohio | L | 104 - 112 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | Buffalo | W | 89 - 71 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ | Bowling Green | L | 60 - 74 |
| 2003-01-20 | @ | Miami (OH) | L | 59 - 74 |
| 2003-01-23 | vs | Kent State | L | 72 - 79 |
| 2003-01-25 | @ | Western Michigan | L | 52 - 68 |
| 2003-01-29 | @ | Northern Illinois | W | 101 - 100 |
| 2003-02-01 | vs | Eastern Michigan | W | 96 - 80 |
| 2003-02-05 | vs | Toledo | W | 78 - 67 |
| 2003-02-08 | vs | Central Michigan | L | 92 - 99 |
| 2003-02-12 | @ | Marshall | L | 58 - 74 |
| 2003-02-20 | vs | Miami (OH) | L | 53 - 55 |
| 2003-02-23 | vs | Ohio | W | 84 - 82 |
| 2003-02-25 | @ | Central Michigan | W | 70 - 69 |
| 2003-03-01 | @ | Kent State | W | 85 - 70 |
| 2003-03-05 | vs | Marshall | W | 79 - 71 |
| 2003-03-08 | @ | Buffalo | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2003-03-10 | vs | Ohio | L | 77 - 79 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.