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Air Force Falcons

Also known as: Air Force Falcons
Program History

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 748 (#645) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 802 (#651) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +10.2 (#300) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.096 (#397) -

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-19 vs Montana State Bobcats L 73 - 74
2004-11-20 vs UC Davis Aggies W 75 - 61
2004-11-26 vs New Mexico State Aggies L 42 - 53
2004-11-27 vs UAlbany Great Danes L 65 - 86
2004-12-02 @ Portland Pilots W 68 - 61
2004-12-04 vs Utah State Aggies L 68 - 72
2004-12-07 vs Illinois State Redbirds L 70 - 89
2004-12-10 @ Boise State Broncos L 35 - 47
2004-12-13 @ Northern Colorado Bears W 67 - 62
2004-12-22 vs San Diego Toreros L 78 - 80
2004-12-30 vs Navy Midshipmen W 72 - 62
2005-01-03 @ Army Black Knights L 53 - 60
2005-01-08 vs Regis Pride W 72 - 52
2005-01-15 @ New Mexico Lobos L 58 - 72
2005-01-20 vs Utah Utes L 47 - 97
2005-01-22 vs BYU Cougars L 66 - 75
2005-01-27 @ San Diego State Aztecs W 48 - 44
2005-01-29 @ UNLV Lady Rebels L 51 - 76
2005-02-03 vs Colorado State Rams L 42 - 63
2005-02-05 vs Wyoming Cowgirls W 69 - 66
2005-02-10 vs New Mexico Lobos L 69 - 77
2005-02-17 @ BYU Cougars L 51 - 71
2005-02-19 @ Utah Utes L 45 - 74
2005-02-24 vs UNLV Lady Rebels L 63 - 70
2005-02-26 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 61 - 77
2005-03-03 @ Wyoming Cowgirls L 43 - 60
2005-03-05 @ Colorado State Rams L 40 - 75
2005-03-09 @ Utah Utes L 42 - 63

2005 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Zimmerman A. Zimmerman NA 1 39.0 24.0 7.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 21.0 16.0 - - - 42.9 0.0 85.7 - 49.8 42.9
N. Welch N. Welch C 1 28.0 13.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 6.0 - - - 40.0 33.3 100.0 - 55.3 45.0
M. McCraw M. McCraw - 1 36.0 13.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 9.0 - - - 37.5 33.3 83.3 - 61.1 50.0
J. Burtschi J. Burtschi - 1 32.0 6.0 6.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 11.0 5.0 - - - 27.3 0.0 0 - 27.3 27.3
T. Keller T. Keller - 1 30.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0.0 - 22.5 25.0
M. Holum M. Holum - 1 10.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
C. Buchanan C. Buchanan - 1 10.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
T. Anderson T. Anderson - 1 15.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG