Air Force Falcons
Model Outputs
2004-2005
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 748 (#645) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 802 (#651) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.2 (#300) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.096 (#397) | - |
2005 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-11-19 | vs | Montana State Bobcats | L | 73 - 74 |
| 2004-11-20 | vs | UC Davis Aggies | W | 75 - 61 |
| 2004-11-26 | vs | New Mexico State Aggies | L | 42 - 53 |
| 2004-11-27 | vs | UAlbany Great Danes | L | 65 - 86 |
| 2004-12-02 | @ | Portland Pilots | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2004-12-04 | vs | Utah State Aggies | L | 68 - 72 |
| 2004-12-07 | vs | Illinois State Redbirds | L | 70 - 89 |
| 2004-12-10 | @ | Boise State Broncos | L | 35 - 47 |
| 2004-12-13 | @ | Northern Colorado Bears | W | 67 - 62 |
| 2004-12-22 | vs | San Diego Toreros | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2004-12-30 | vs | Navy Midshipmen | W | 72 - 62 |
| 2005-01-03 | @ | Army Black Knights | L | 53 - 60 |
| 2005-01-08 | vs | Regis Pride | W | 72 - 52 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ | New Mexico Lobos | L | 58 - 72 |
| 2005-01-20 | vs | Utah Utes | L | 47 - 97 |
| 2005-01-22 | vs | BYU Cougars | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2005-01-27 | @ | San Diego State Aztecs | W | 48 - 44 |
| 2005-01-29 | @ | UNLV Lady Rebels | L | 51 - 76 |
| 2005-02-03 | vs | Colorado State Rams | L | 42 - 63 |
| 2005-02-05 | vs | Wyoming Cowgirls | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2005-02-10 | vs | New Mexico Lobos | L | 69 - 77 |
| 2005-02-17 | @ | BYU Cougars | L | 51 - 71 |
| 2005-02-19 | @ | Utah Utes | L | 45 - 74 |
| 2005-02-24 | vs | UNLV Lady Rebels | L | 63 - 70 |
| 2005-02-26 | vs | San Diego State Aztecs | L | 61 - 77 |
| 2005-03-03 | @ | Wyoming Cowgirls | L | 43 - 60 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ | Colorado State Rams | L | 40 - 75 |
| 2005-03-09 | @ | Utah Utes | L | 42 - 63 |
2005 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A. Zimmerman
|
NA | 1 | 39.0 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 16.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0.0 | 85.7 | - | 49.8 | 42.9 |
N. Welch
|
C | 1 | 28.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 55.3 | 45.0 |
M. McCraw
|
- | 1 | 36.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 33.3 | 83.3 | - | 61.1 | 50.0 |
J. Burtschi
|
- | 1 | 32.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 27.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 27.3 | 27.3 |
T. Keller
|
- | 1 | 30.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 22.5 | 25.0 |
M. Holum
|
- | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
C. Buchanan
|
- | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
T. Anderson
|
- | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG