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Air Force Falcons

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Air Force Falcons
Program History

2026 Team Stats (27 games)

60.9
PPG
65.9
Opp
-5.0
Margin
36.1%
FG%
27.9%
3P%
72.8%
FT%
33.0
RPG
11.4
APG
12.1
TO
79.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 995 (#321) HCA +113 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +11.2 (#185) HCA +2.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 64.4 More → 0.485 (#239) AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 64.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.674 (#209) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.642 (#208) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 118 | GP 27 More → 980 (#221) RD 118 | GP 27

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ South Dakota Coyotes L 50 - 75
2025-11-27 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 71 - 76
2025-12-17 @ Utah State Aggies L 53 - 65
2025-12-20 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 61 - 45
2025-12-31 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 51 - 62
2026-01-03 vs UNLV Lady Rebels L 58 - 64
2026-01-07 vs Boise State Broncos L 59 - 70
2026-01-10 @ San José State Spartans W 76 - 57
2026-01-14 vs Colorado State Rams L 63 - 65
2026-01-17 @ Wyoming Cowgirls L 44 - 67
2026-01-21 @ UNLV Lady Rebels L 47 - 78
2026-01-24 vs New Mexico Lobos L 57 - 74
2026-01-31 @ Fresno State Bulldogs W 61 - 56
2026-02-04 vs Utah State Aggies W 73 - 50
2026-02-07 vs Grand Canyon Lopes W 65 - 64
2026-02-11 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 59 - 76
2026-02-14 vs San José State Spartans W 77 - 61
2026-02-18 @ Boise State Broncos L 62 - 70
2026-02-21 @ New Mexico Lobos L 53 - 73
2026-02-25 vs Wyoming Cowgirls W 69 - 61
2026-02-28 @ Colorado State Rams L 52 - 66
2026-03-03 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 57 - 74
2026-03-07 @ Wyoming Cowgirls W 60 - 53
2026-03-08 @ San Diego State Aztecs W 83 - 76
2026-03-09 @ Boise State Broncos W 68 - 66
2026-03-10 @ Colorado State Rams L 42 - 56
2026-03-19 vs Northern Colorado Bears L 72 - 79

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Perry M. Perry G 26 32.7 17.7 3.9 2.8 1.2 0.1 1.8 16.3 7.6 75 3.3 3.7 38.9 27.9 75.0 2.06 47.0 41.2
E. Adams E. Adams F 27 27.3 10.4 5.3 1.2 1.1 0.3 2.3 9.6 6.5 -11 -0.5 -1.5 42.3 62.5 73.1 0.31 47.9 43.3
K. O'Hollaren K. O'Hollaren G 27 23.5 9.9 2.8 0.8 1.1 0.4 1.3 9.5 4.1 34 1.5 2.6 36.2 31.3 76.6 3.71 48.3 45.1
J. McNabb J. McNabb G 27 31.4 7.6 6.6 2.8 1.9 0.7 1.8 6.8 11.0 -4 -0.2 -0.3 39.3 25.5 67.1 -1.86 47.9 43.2
A. Cortez A. Cortez G 25 29.6 5.3 3.0 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.8 5.8 4.1 -15 -0.9 -1.5 33.6 26.2 77.3 0.17 42.4 39.4
B. Clay B. Clay G 26 25.0 4.4 2.9 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.7 4.8 3.3 31 1.3 2.3 31.7 31.3 80.0 0.65 43.7 42.1
J. DeVaughn J. DeVaughn G 23 15.9 3.7 1.7 1.5 0.4 0.0 1.2 4.4 1.7 27 1.4 2.8 27.7 26.1 77.3 1.59 38.4 33.7
Eva Love Eva Love G 11 9.1 2.3 1.2 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.5 2.3 1.5 -2 -1.0 -7.8 36.0 30.8 50.0 -0.74 45.2 44.0
M. Hargrave M. Hargrave G 21 16.2 2.2 2.7 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.3 3.6 1.6 10 0.4 1.1 21.1 8.3 72.2 -0.79 28.0 22.4
J. Leach J. Leach F 6 2.3 1.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 - - - 40.0 0.0 75.0 0.57 51.8 40.0
M. Jensen M. Jensen G 15 7.6 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 2.0 -0.9 39 2.1 10.2 20.0 11.8 33.3 1.26 23.9 23.3
AJ Mannering AJ Mannering G 10 2.6 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 -9 -1.3 -18.6 33.3 33.3 0 -1.16 50.0 50.0
T. Gorman T. Gorman F 5 1.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 -0.4 -1 -0.5 -15.7 0.0 0 0.0 -0.05 0.0 0.0
Emma Lytle Emma Lytle G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Sydney Roundtree Sydney Roundtree F 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kori Rainwater Kori Rainwater F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG