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Adrian

Also known as: Adrian
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 987 (#262) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 972 (#269) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +0.5 (#183) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.276 (#547) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -7.5 More → 0.269 (#308) NetEff -7.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.8 More → 0.391 (#417) AdjNet -3.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.1 More → 0.382 (#412) AdjNet -4.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 63.9 More → 0.447 (#405) AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 63.9

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Oberlin L 60 - 63
2024-11-09 @ Hiram L 44 - 58
2024-11-16 @ Denison L 34 - 79
2024-11-17 vs La Roche L 52 - 62
2024-11-23 @ Manchester W 68 - 59
2024-11-26 vs Siena Heights L 50 - 57
2024-12-04 @ Kalamazoo W 63 - 60
2024-12-07 vs Alma L 58 - 70
2024-12-16 vs Olivet W 87 - 77
2024-12-21 @ Bluffton L 54 - 65
2024-12-29 @ DePauw L 57 - 87
2024-12-30 vs Capital L 61 - 73
2025-01-08 @ Calvin L 45 - 68
2025-01-11 @ Albion L 51 - 64
2025-01-15 vs Trine L 49 - 79
2025-01-18 vs St. Mary's (IN) W 70 - 57
2025-01-22 @ Hope L 46 - 97
2025-01-25 @ Alma L 56 - 60
2025-01-29 vs Kalamazoo L 46 - 48
2025-02-05 @ Olivet W 69 - 56
2025-02-08 vs Calvin W 60 - 57
2025-02-12 @ Trine L 40 - 69
2025-02-15 vs Albion L 65 - 70
2025-02-19 vs Hope L 63 - 88
2025-02-22 @ St. Mary's (IN) W 82 - 71
2025-02-25 @ Calvin L 61 - 75

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Laney Murphy - 1 33.0 22.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 16.0 9.0 92 3.4 3.2 43.8 46.2 100.0 0.72 65.2 62.5
Morgan Babb - 26 31.7 15.1 7.4 2.0 1.2 0.9 2.6 13.7 10.3 -65 -1.9 -1.9 39.5 25.0 77.1 -0.22 48.1 42.3
Samaree Perkins - 1 29.0 12.0 8.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 17.0 33 0.9 0.9 20.0 0.0 76.9 0.24 56.0 20.0
Hannah Lisch - 26 28.6 9.7 2.3 1.1 1.2 0.0 3.1 10.0 1.2 -40 -1.2 -1.3 33.6 26.4 65.7 -0.23 43.7 40.2
Aubrie Ickes - 26 28.2 9.5 6.1 1.3 1.2 0.7 2.4 7.8 8.7 -5 -0.1 -0.2 44.6 0.0 63.1 0.51 49.5 44.6
Jenna Horsley - 1 18.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 3.0 2 0.1 0.1 37.5 37.5 0 -0.24 56.2 56.2
Kylie Skidmore - 25 30.2 8.7 5.2 3.6 1.2 0.2 3.7 7.2 7.8 -22 -0.9 -1.0 40.9 23.1 61.2 0.46 47.9 42.5
Kya Jordan - 1 33.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 8.0 65 1.8 1.9 40.0 0 60.0 0.84 48.6 40.0
Rani Thigpen - 1 15.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 75.0 50.0 0 - 87.5 87.5
Kaitlyn Otto - 26 24.0 5.2 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.0 2.0 4.8 1.9 -66 -2.5 -3.1 36.5 31.7 66.7 -0.63 49.1 46.8
Darby Lienerth - 26 25.3 4.5 3.5 1.2 1.0 0.1 1.8 6.3 2.2 -33 -1.0 -1.2 27.4 20.8 72.2 -0.6 34.3 32.0
Bri O'Connor - 1 23.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 5.0 46 1.7 1.6 14.3 20.0 100.0 0.17 26.9 21.4
Maddi Weiland - 1 26.0 3.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 3.0 41 1.5 1.7 12.5 0.0 50.0 0.2 16.9 12.5
Ashlyn Weatherly - 19 11.3 2.2 3.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.6 1.7 4.1 - - - 51.5 0.0 46.7 - 51.8 51.5
Emma Mcelroy - 3 10.3 1.7 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.3 3.7 -0.7 -2 -0.1 -0.2 18.2 20.0 0 -0.01 22.7 22.7
Anya Riley - 17 9.3 1.0 2.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1 1.8 1.2 -21 -1.6 -5.5 10.0 0 47.8 -0.2 21.2 10.0
Jenna Tierman - 24 4.4 0.5 1.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.7 -8 -0.3 -1.4 28.6 0.0 0 0.22 28.6 28.6
Lauren Bartkiewicz - 23 4.5 0.3 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 -4 -0.2 -0.7 22.2 0.0 66.7 0.14 34.4 22.2
Rylee Troth - 21 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
Rylee Mcelory - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Abby Haller - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Aleena Mccullough - 2 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.02 0.0 0.0
Abigail Malone - 23 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Makenna Johnson - 23 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 23 1.0 1.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.11 0.0 0.0
Emmalee Wolfe-plain - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Rylee McElroy - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Abby Hall - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 58 2.1 3.4 0 0 0 0.69 0 0
Abigayl Haller - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Bailey Taylor - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 -0.2 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Peyton Russell - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kendall Spreen - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -41 -1.1 -1.9 0.0 0.0 0 -0.62 0.0 0.0
Nyla Washington - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10 0.7 2.8 0 0 0 0.18 0 0
Tahirah Ellis - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -12 -0.4 -1.2 0 0 0 -0.2 0 0
Kenzie Weiland - 1 5.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 -27 -1.3 -5.6 0 0 0 -0.3 0 0
Aleyna Rick - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Olivia Rouser - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5 0.4 3.0 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0
Izzy Rodriguez - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -31 -1.7 -4.2 0 0 0 -0.28 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG