Adams St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1032 (#132) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1084 (#126) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1105 (#72) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.8 (#143) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.3 (#183) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.439 (#372) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.959 (#152) | NetEff +28.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.647 (#332) | AdjNet +5.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.652 (#334) | AdjNet +5.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.587 (#340) | AdjO 90.2 | AdjD 86.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.611 (#135) | AdjO 86.8 | AdjD 81.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.666 (#176) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.670 (#155) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1170 (#64) | RD 139 | GP 6 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | vs | CSU Pueblo | L | 65 - 73 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Colo. Christian | W | 94 - 80 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Regis (CO) | W | 114 - 87 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | W | 96 - 78 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | N.M. Highlands | W | 92 - 79 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Fort Lewis | W | 95 - 93 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Helming | - | 6 | 25.7 | 17.2 | 7.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 10.5 | 14.3 | 112 | 5.1 | 21.5 | 61.9 | 50.0 | 91.7 | 1.72 | 75.4 | 73.0 |
| Dillan Baker | - | 6 | 29.1 | 14.8 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 9.5 | 12.2 | 156 | 7.1 | 28.9 | 50.9 | 34.4 | 80.0 | 2.24 | 65.4 | 60.5 |
| Jarmell Johnson | - | 6 | 19.6 | 13.7 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 8.5 | 30 | 1.4 | 8.2 | 52.8 | 30.4 | 70.4 | -0.62 | 63.2 | 59.4 |
| Jaylen Alexander | - | 6 | 27.8 | 12.7 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 7.2 | 15.8 | 122 | 5.8 | 23.7 | 69.8 | 14.3 | 68.2 | 0.62 | 72.1 | 70.9 |
| Luke Williams | - | 6 | 25.8 | 12.2 | 3.2 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 10.3 | 11.0 | 109 | 12.1 | 21.3 | 43.5 | 33.3 | 63.6 | 3.66 | 50.9 | 47.6 |
| Emilek Jallow | - | 5 | 20.9 | 8.8 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 5.8 | 8.4 | 143 | 7.9 | 36.9 | 51.7 | 45.0 | 71.4 | 1.52 | 68.6 | 67.2 |
| Jayce King | - | 6 | 10.9 | 4.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 24 | 1.1 | 8.7 | 41.7 | 42.1 | 50.0 | -1.71 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Jerrick Guidry | - | 6 | 14.0 | 4.3 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 61.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -2.13 | 68.9 | 69.4 |
| Nathan Day | - | 1 | 15.8 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 14 | 2.3 | 35.7 | 20.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.54 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Ivan Dorn Jr | - | 6 | 10.3 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 53.8 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 48.4 | 53.8 |
| Chaz Holman | - | 2 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -12 | -0.8 | -54.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.06 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Tajuan Jamestown | - | 6 | 12.4 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 15 | 0.7 | 5.5 | 37.5 | 25.0 | 66.7 | -2.86 | 48.3 | 43.8 |
| Thomas Adams | - | 2 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | -9 | -2.2 | -18.6 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.81 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG