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AUM

Also known as: AUM
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 783 (#515) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 751 (#517) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 804 (#673) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -11.0 (#251) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -6.6 (#460) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.256 (#460) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -23.4 More → 0.042 (#423) NetEff -23.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.7 More → 0.657 (#334) AdjNet +5.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.0 More → 0.670 (#334) AdjNet +6.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 64.8 More → 0.587 (#331) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 64.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 71.1 More → 0.275 (#626) AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 71.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.233 (#580) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.233 (#584) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 111 | GP 23 More → 710 (#500) RD 111 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Nova Southeastern L 63 - 91
2025-11-15 @ Embry-Riddle (FL) L 51 - 85
2025-11-18 @ Spring Hill L 61 - 69
2025-11-22 vs Columbus St. L 59 - 84
2025-11-29 @ Ga. Southwestern L 49 - 81
2025-12-01 @ Alabama St. L 41 - 70
2025-12-04 @ Trevecca Nazarene L 61 - 62
2025-12-06 @ Lee L 56 - 79
2025-12-11 vs Mississippi Col. L 55 - 61
2025-12-14 vs Delta St. L 48 - 64
2026-01-02 @ Mercer L 55 - 66
2026-01-10 vs UAH L 50 - 75
2026-01-15 @ West Florida L 65 - 72
2026-01-17 @ Valdosta St. L 65 - 74
2026-01-22 vs Lee L 41 - 77
2026-01-24 vs Trevecca Nazarene L 65 - 92
2026-01-29 @ Delta St. L 62 - 81
2026-01-31 @ Mississippi Col. L 80 - 82
2026-02-05 vs Christian Brothers W 63 - 58
2026-02-07 vs Union (TN) L 66 - 84

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Samya Brooks - 20 30.1 15.1 5.1 1.1 1.1 0.2 3.5 13.7 5.3 -177 -8.4 -26.6 39.9 25.0 84.4 -1.34 47.7 40.3
Carrington Jones - 1 21.4 13.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 5.0 36 1.7 13.0 28.6 0.0 62.5 1.12 37.1 28.6
Tamora Brown - 20 28.7 12.0 5.3 2.0 1.5 0.2 3.2 12.1 5.8 -145 -6.9 -26.0 29.5 23.7 74.2 -0.92 40.8 31.3
Andie Flatgard - 13 31.5 9.2 2.5 2.5 0.8 0.0 3.1 8.0 3.8 -100 -6.7 -22.4 40.4 37.3 66.7 -1.9 54.9 53.8
Navaeh Small - 20 30.0 6.0 9.1 0.6 0.9 0.8 2.2 6.9 8.2 -172 -8.2 -27.2 36.2 0.0 61.3 -1.76 39.2 36.2
Eniyah Stinnette - 1 25.6 6.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 4.0 8.0 - - - 75.0 0 0.0 - 61.5 75.0
Noel Warrior - 3 13.6 4.7 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 3.7 2.3 8 2.7 6.4 27.3 42.9 62.5 1.37 48.2 40.9
Ameyah Gray - 20 17.2 4.5 3.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.9 4.3 3.8 -97 -4.6 -21.9 27.9 24.2 87.2 -0.42 43.6 32.6
Jaden Toney - 17 18.3 4.5 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.0 1.8 3.9 2.2 -57 -3.8 -21.5 37.3 25.0 60.0 0.26 46.7 41.8
Shelby McAllister - 17 9.0 2.9 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.9 3.8 0.4 -83 -4.4 -65.6 25.0 28.9 75.0 -1.85 36.3 33.6
Toccara Stagnaro - 19 12.4 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.0 2.2 1.3 -122 -8.1 -538.2 24.4 8.3 62.9 -1.92 38.1 25.6
Gabby Litvak - 8 12.7 2.1 2.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 2.1 2.4 - - - 29.4 33.3 100.0 - 47.5 44.1
Dezmariah Soto - 1 4.1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Leah Jessup - 7 14.3 1.9 2.3 0.9 0.7 0.1 2.0 2.4 1.4 -69 -11.5 -87.2 29.4 0.0 33.3 -0.98 31.0 29.4
Keziah Seay - 19 17.2 1.6 2.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.0 2.1 1.8 -146 -7.3 -36.5 28.2 14.3 85.7 -0.41 35.6 30.8
Paige Taylor - 19 8.6 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.8 -58 -2.9 -32.2 38.1 0.0 60.0 -0.84 43.3 38.1

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG