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AUM

Also known as: AUM
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 773 (#507) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 746 (#517) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 804 (#673) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -12.1 (#314) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -6.6 (#460) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.256 (#460) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -23.4 More → 0.042 (#423) NetEff -23.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.7 More → 0.657 (#334) AdjNet +5.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.0 More → 0.670 (#334) AdjNet +6.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 64.8 More → 0.587 (#331) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 64.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 71.1 More → 0.275 (#626) AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 71.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.233 (#580) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.233 (#584) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 111 | GP 23 More → 707 (#496) RD 111 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Nova Southeastern - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Embry-Riddle (FL) - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ Spring Hill - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Columbus St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Ga. Southwestern - Incomplete score
2025-12-01 @ Alabama St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 @ Trevecca Nazarene - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Lee - Incomplete score
2025-12-11 vs Mississippi Col. - Incomplete score
2025-12-14 vs Delta St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 @ Mercer - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs UAH - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 @ West Florida - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Valdosta St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 vs Lee - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Trevecca Nazarene - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ Delta St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Mississippi Col. - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 vs Christian Brothers - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Union (TN) - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Samya Brooks - 18 30.5 15.5 5.3 1.2 0.9 0.2 3.7 13.5 5.9 -177 -8.4 -26.6 41.2 25.0 83.7 -1.41 49.2 41.6
Carrington Jones - 1 21.4 13.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 5.0 36 1.7 13.0 28.6 0.0 62.5 2.72 37.1 28.6
Tamora Brown - 18 28.3 11.7 5.1 2.1 1.6 0.2 3.1 12.0 5.6 -145 -6.9 -26.0 29.2 22.2 74.0 1.25 40.3 31.0
Andie Flatgard - 12 32.4 10.0 2.7 2.5 0.8 0.0 2.8 8.5 4.7 -100 -6.7 -22.4 41.2 38.4 66.7 -1.13 55.9 54.9
Navaeh Small - 18 31.2 6.6 9.4 0.6 1.1 0.8 2.2 7.5 8.7 -172 -8.2 -27.2 37.0 0.0 62.1 -0.02 39.9 37.0
Eniyah Stinnette - 1 25.6 6.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 4.0 8.0 - - - 75.0 0 0.0 - 61.5 75.0
Noel Warrior - 3 13.6 4.7 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 3.7 2.3 8 2.7 6.4 27.3 42.9 62.5 1.3 48.2 40.9
Ameyah Gray - 18 17.3 4.4 3.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.9 4.4 3.7 -97 -4.6 -21.9 26.6 16.7 86.5 1.13 41.5 29.7
Jaden Toney - 16 17.7 4.1 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.0 1.6 3.8 2.1 -57 -3.8 -21.5 35.0 25.0 60.7 1.66 44.9 40.0
Shelby McAllister - 16 8.9 3.1 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.8 3.9 0.5 -83 -4.4 -65.6 25.4 29.7 75.0 -0.87 36.8 34.1
Toccara Stagnaro - 17 11.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.0 1.9 1.3 -122 -8.1 -538.2 25.0 8.3 64.5 -2.61 40.5 26.6
Leah Jessup - 6 14.4 2.2 2.5 0.8 0.8 0.2 2.2 2.8 1.5 -69 -11.5 -87.2 29.4 0.0 33.3 -3.07 31.0 29.4
Gabby Litvak - 6 11.8 2.0 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.2 1.7 - - - 30.8 33.3 0 -2.14 46.2 46.2
Dezmariah Soto - 1 4.1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Keziah Seay - 17 16.9 1.4 2.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 2.0 1.7 -146 -7.3 -36.5 26.5 9.1 83.3 -3.02 32.8 27.9
Paige Taylor - 17 8.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.5 -58 -2.9 -32.2 38.9 0.0 50.0 -3.38 41.8 38.9

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG