Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 783 (#515) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 751 (#517) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 804 (#673) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.0 (#251) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.6 (#460) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.256 (#460) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.042 (#423) | NetEff -23.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.657 (#334) | AdjNet +5.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.670 (#334) | AdjNet +6.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.587 (#331) | AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 64.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.275 (#626) | AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 71.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.233 (#580) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.233 (#584) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 710 (#500) | RD 111 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Nova Southeastern | L | 63 - 91 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Embry-Riddle (FL) | L | 51 - 85 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Spring Hill | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Columbus St. | L | 59 - 84 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Ga. Southwestern | L | 49 - 81 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Alabama St. | L | 41 - 70 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 61 - 62 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Lee | L | 56 - 79 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Mississippi Col. | L | 55 - 61 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Delta St. | L | 48 - 64 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Mercer | L | 55 - 66 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | UAH | L | 50 - 75 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | West Florida | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Valdosta St. | L | 65 - 74 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Lee | L | 41 - 77 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 65 - 92 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Delta St. | L | 62 - 81 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Mississippi Col. | L | 80 - 82 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Christian Brothers | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Union (TN) | L | 66 - 84 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samya Brooks | - | 20 | 30.1 | 15.1 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 13.7 | 5.3 | -177 | -8.4 | -26.6 | 39.9 | 25.0 | 84.4 | -1.34 | 47.7 | 40.3 |
| Carrington Jones | - | 1 | 21.4 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 36 | 1.7 | 13.0 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 62.5 | 1.12 | 37.1 | 28.6 |
| Tamora Brown | - | 20 | 28.7 | 12.0 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 12.1 | 5.8 | -145 | -6.9 | -26.0 | 29.5 | 23.7 | 74.2 | -0.92 | 40.8 | 31.3 |
| Andie Flatgard | - | 13 | 31.5 | 9.2 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 8.0 | 3.8 | -100 | -6.7 | -22.4 | 40.4 | 37.3 | 66.7 | -1.9 | 54.9 | 53.8 |
| Navaeh Small | - | 20 | 30.0 | 6.0 | 9.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 6.9 | 8.2 | -172 | -8.2 | -27.2 | 36.2 | 0.0 | 61.3 | -1.76 | 39.2 | 36.2 |
| Eniyah Stinnette | - | 1 | 25.6 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 61.5 | 75.0 |
| Noel Warrior | - | 3 | 13.6 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 8 | 2.7 | 6.4 | 27.3 | 42.9 | 62.5 | 1.37 | 48.2 | 40.9 |
| Ameyah Gray | - | 20 | 17.2 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 3.8 | -97 | -4.6 | -21.9 | 27.9 | 24.2 | 87.2 | -0.42 | 43.6 | 32.6 |
| Jaden Toney | - | 17 | 18.3 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 2.2 | -57 | -3.8 | -21.5 | 37.3 | 25.0 | 60.0 | 0.26 | 46.7 | 41.8 |
| Shelby McAllister | - | 17 | 9.0 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.8 | 0.4 | -83 | -4.4 | -65.6 | 25.0 | 28.9 | 75.0 | -1.85 | 36.3 | 33.6 |
| Toccara Stagnaro | - | 19 | 12.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.3 | -122 | -8.1 | -538.2 | 24.4 | 8.3 | 62.9 | -1.92 | 38.1 | 25.6 |
| Gabby Litvak | - | 8 | 12.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 2.4 | - | - | - | 29.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 47.5 | 44.1 |
| Dezmariah Soto | - | 1 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Leah Jessup | - | 7 | 14.3 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.4 | -69 | -11.5 | -87.2 | 29.4 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -0.98 | 31.0 | 29.4 |
| Keziah Seay | - | 19 | 17.2 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.8 | -146 | -7.3 | -36.5 | 28.2 | 14.3 | 85.7 | -0.41 | 35.6 | 30.8 |
| Paige Taylor | - | 19 | 8.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | -58 | -2.9 | -32.2 | 38.1 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.84 | 43.3 | 38.1 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG