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AUM

Also known as: AUM
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 857 (#489) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 814 (#519) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 853 (#572) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -3.8 (#295) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -13.7 (#491) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.242 (#463) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +29.2 More → 0.966 (#145) NetEff +29.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.6 More → 0.482 (#423) AdjNet -0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.5 More → 0.486 (#424) AdjNet -0.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 77.7 More → 0.501 (#421) AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 77.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 78.4 More → 0.244 (#567) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 78.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.221 (#519) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.215 (#533) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 23 More → 790 (#464) RD 103 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Spring Hill - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Tuskegee - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ Shorter - Incomplete score
2025-11-24 @ Ga. Southwestern - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs Florida Tech - Incomplete score
2025-12-02 vs Shorter - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 @ Trevecca Nazarene - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Lee - Incomplete score
2025-12-07 @ Jacksonville St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-11 vs Mississippi Col. - Incomplete score
2025-12-14 vs Delta St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-18 @ Union (TN) - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ Christian Brothers - Incomplete score
2026-01-04 @ Montevallo - Incomplete score
2026-01-08 vs West Ala. - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs UAH - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 @ West Florida - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Valdosta St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 vs Lee - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ Delta St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Mississippi Col. - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 vs Christian Brothers - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Union (TN) - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Chappelle Whitney - 10 27.7 17.7 6.0 1.3 2.0 0.3 2.1 14.7 10.5 -75 -6.8 -108.5 45.6 31.5 78.8 0.1 54.8 51.4
Marius Canery - 21 26.6 12.8 3.1 2.0 0.9 0.6 2.6 11.4 5.5 -57 -2.9 -12.1 37.9 34.6 67.1 -0.79 49.2 45.4
Colby Williams - 19 27.7 11.1 5.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 2.3 8.2 8.7 -41 -2.2 -12.9 47.4 31.2 74.3 -0.18 56.2 50.6
Elhadji Thiam - 22 24.5 8.9 4.9 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 5.4 9.8 -83 -3.8 -19.7 56.3 60.0 62.8 -0.13 61.1 57.6
Jayden Doyle - 15 25.5 6.9 5.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 7.0 6.7 -76 -5.4 -28.3 39.0 30.4 60.9 -2.61 44.7 42.4
Jamarious Martin - 22 29.1 6.7 2.6 3.1 0.8 0.0 1.4 7.4 4.4 -75 -3.4 -15.1 35.0 27.8 90.0 -2.5 42.8 39.6
Devin Barksdale - 20 20.1 6.5 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.0 0.8 6.0 3.5 -47 -2.4 -13.8 37.8 33.0 85.7 -1.48 52.3 50.0
Ti'Avain Scruggs - 19 16.5 6.4 3.5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.7 4.7 6.1 -83 -5.2 -31.0 50.6 34.2 47.5 -0.84 57.2 57.9
Jacob St. Clair - 18 18.8 4.6 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 4.4 1.2 - - - 37.5 33.8 100.0 - 51.6 51.2
Max Ogbalet-Ndiaye - 11 14.7 4.3 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 4.4 2.0 17 1.5 16.1 33.3 34.3 75.0 3.33 47.2 45.8
Omar Zeigler - 13 17.7 4.0 3.0 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.5 4.5 3.5 -11 -0.9 -4.5 28.8 27.6 55.6 0.31 38.9 35.6
Jamir Williams - 5 10.4 1.8 2.0 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 2.2 2.2 31 7.8 320.7 27.3 0 37.5 2.27 31.0 27.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG