Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 889 (#385) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 798 (#521) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 853 (#572) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.0 (#252) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.7 (#491) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.242 (#463) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.966 (#145) | NetEff +29.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.482 (#423) | AdjNet -0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.486 (#424) | AdjNet -0.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.501 (#421) | AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 77.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.244 (#567) | AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 78.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.221 (#519) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.215 (#533) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 788 (#457) | RD 103 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Spring Hill | W | 95 - 68 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Tuskegee | L | 58 - 73 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Shorter | L | 76 - 78 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Ga. Southwestern | L | 78 - 94 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Florida Tech | L | 79 - 83 |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Shorter | W | 86 - 84 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Lee | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | Jacksonville St. | L | 39 - 66 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Mississippi Col. | L | 78 - 82 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Delta St. | L | 65 - 83 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Union (TN) | W | 74 - 71 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Christian Brothers | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2026-01-04 | @ | Montevallo | L | 62 - 89 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | West Ala. | L | 61 - 75 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | UAH | L | 66 - 100 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | West Florida | L | 71 - 101 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Valdosta St. | L | 80 - 110 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Lee | L | 61 - 95 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Delta St. | L | 62 - 76 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Mississippi Col. | W | 76 - 74 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Christian Brothers | W | 54 - 53 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Union (TN) | L | 64 - 71 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chappelle Whitney | - | 11 | 26.3 | 16.3 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 13.8 | 9.5 | -75 | -6.8 | -108.5 | 44.1 | 29.8 | 75.7 | -1.61 | 53.2 | 49.7 |
| Marius Canery | - | 22 | 26.2 | 12.6 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 11.5 | 5.1 | -57 | -2.9 | -12.1 | 37.7 | 33.9 | 67.1 | -1.32 | 48.7 | 45.0 |
| Colby Williams | - | 20 | 27.3 | 10.8 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 8.1 | 8.5 | -41 | -2.2 | -12.9 | 47.2 | 30.3 | 71.6 | -3.62 | 55.5 | 50.3 |
| Elhadji Thiam | - | 23 | 24.6 | 8.7 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 5.3 | 9.8 | -83 | -3.8 | -19.7 | 56.6 | 60.0 | 62.8 | -1.33 | 61.2 | 57.8 |
| Jayden Doyle | - | 16 | 25.2 | 6.6 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 7.0 | 6.2 | -76 | -5.4 | -28.3 | 37.5 | 29.2 | 60.9 | -0.17 | 43.0 | 40.6 |
| Jamarious Martin | - | 23 | 28.8 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 7.3 | 4.2 | -75 | -3.4 | -15.1 | 33.7 | 26.8 | 90.0 | -0.66 | 41.3 | 38.2 |
| Ti'Avain Scruggs | - | 20 | 16.9 | 6.4 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 4.9 | 6.0 | -83 | -5.2 | -31.0 | 48.0 | 33.3 | 47.6 | 0.61 | 54.9 | 55.1 |
| Devin Barksdale | - | 21 | 20.4 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 3.3 | -47 | -2.4 | -13.8 | 36.2 | 32.3 | 85.7 | -2.19 | 50.3 | 48.0 |
| Jacob St. Clair | - | 19 | 18.6 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 4.4 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 36.9 | 33.3 | 75.0 | - | 51.3 | 50.6 |
| Max Ogbalet-Ndiaye | - | 12 | 14.5 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 17 | 1.5 | 16.1 | 30.9 | 31.0 | 75.0 | -0.41 | 44.0 | 42.7 |
| Omar Zeigler | - | 14 | 16.8 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 4.2 | 3.4 | -11 | -0.9 | -4.5 | 28.8 | 27.6 | 50.0 | -0.57 | 38.3 | 35.6 |
| Jamir Williams | - | 5 | 10.4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 31 | 7.8 | 320.7 | 27.3 | 0 | 37.5 | 0.52 | 31.0 | 27.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG